Update on late week system. Some Changes!

[Guest]

Well as of late a few things have changed. One big one is the expected low track. It now appears that its gonna track into the western Lakes and into Canada.
Which first off means that the heavier snows will now likely fall in the Min, Northern Wi and the Western Up of Mich. Areas south and east of here into the upper Ohiovalley and lower lakes will just have some light snow and flurries to deal with at the end.
But with that beeing said it now looks like the Ohio Valley and se Mich could see some severe weather. It is still early and it may change again. But this is what the models are trending towards.
It looks like areas of the ma up into the ne could be spared from the severe threat with a cad setting up. This is something as well that may change but i have seen it in a few discussions today.
Either way stay tuned because this is becoming a changing situation. And it may and probably will change.

[StormCrazyIowan]

Hey, ya missed me! Whaddya see happenin in lil ol' Iowa??

[luke42]

Yes, the forecast is changing a bit. Not as much snow forecasted for my area, yet it sounds like we are going to get some on Friday. Just as the snow is almost gone, we get more!! At least this stuff will be fairly heavy, and will melt pretty quickly. So the storm is tracking a little further west like I hoped. Hopefully it keeps going west. LOL

[StormCrazyIowan]

Yeah I don't want snow, but I would like a thunderstorm or two out of this!

[Guest]

Looks like the roller coaster ride continues with the models. Today the models have split. And this in my book stinks!
Now for what this all means.
As far as the weekend system the low will track somewhere up in the western lakes which still suggest the heavier snows to fall in western and northern Wi, Min, Northern Ia, the Western UP of Mich and possibly the Eastern Dakotas.
Which means the lighter snows will fall farther south and east into the Lower lakes and upper Ohio valley with a small problem mainly in Se Mich and Ohio into western Pa with the snows.
Before i get to that as of right now it looks like the areas i just mentioned in Se Mich and Ohio have a lesser threat as of today with severe weather.
But getting back to the snow problem. Today the models again are suggesting a series of lows developing on the front as it slowly pushes east keeping more moisture on the back side of the front which could cause more snow. As of right now im going with the idea that the front comes thru these areas with some T-Storms aheads of it and some snow shower activity behind it maybe giving these areas a inch or two at most of snow. More or less im going in between both end of the models. .

Now with all that beeing said the models are split in the extended forecast as well. On one end you have a more zonal and less stormy pattern and warmer as well. And on the other end you have a trof in the eastern half of the nation with more storminess in the east and the north and colder. Either way it does look like the colder air behind Sundays front in the Se will be short lived.
Either way like i have been saying this week its a changing forecast from day to day now so check back in for later updates.
And to reply to StormcrazyIowan it looks snowier if your from i80 and north in Ia. Doesent look good if you want severe storms. Most of Iowa should see some snow from this either way you cut it.
More updates later.

[Rainband]

Thanks for the update..

Johnathan 8)

[wx247]

Good analysis guys.

Garrett

[luke42]

Wow, the forecast has changed again. This time, we are going to get nailed. At least we aren't in the major snowfall totals, but still, this will be quite a bit of snow for late March. Get this folks, some counties in the western U.P. are expected to get from one to two FEET of wet, heavy snow by the time all is said and done. My county is expected to get around a foot of snow by Saturday afternoon. Geez, this could be a record storm, even by the U.P.'s standards!

[StormCrazyIowan]

Well, thank you for the update! I live about 5 miles south of I-80. The local mets were calling for some snow showers in my area yesterday, but today (of course), it has changed and they are saying piddly showers for the next two days. No big surprise there! I still want my storms! Guess I better just pack up and move, Ohhhhhhhhhhhhh-klahoma here I come! Just kidding........for now.

[StormCrazyIowan]

And now they expect snow here again! What gives?

[Guest]

Hey StormCrazyIowan. What happening like i said is the forecast are still changing but are now starting to come together. Which unforunatly means for you that you will have a rain to snow situation there. The low looks to go to your s and e. Which means your on the colder side and wont see much if any in the way of T-Storms. If i could i would switch with you. Looks as if the Ohio valley will be seeing the severe weather. Mainly Ky,Tn,Oh and In. SPC is saying this now as well. I still may see some light snow or flurries at the end but nothing more then probably a coating on grassy areas at most. I was hoping for more but its not looking good as of late. The Heaviest snows looks to fall in Northern Wi, Min, And the western Up of Mich. I will have a full update later on all this.