EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
439 PM EST WED MAR 26 2003
.DAY ONE...TONIGHT:
...THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING TONIGHT...A FEW MAY BE SEVERE...
MOISTURE IS GRADUALLY INCREASING WITH VERY COLD TEMPERATURES ALOFT.
SCATTERED STORMS MAY DEVELOP OVER INTERIOR SECTIONS AFTER 6 PM
ASSOCIATED WITH THE EAST AND WEST COAST SEA BREEZE COLLISION. ANY
STORMS THAT DEVELOP THIS EVENING WILL MOVE TOWARD THE NORTHEAST AT 20
MPH. A FEW OF THE STORMS MAY PRODUCE LARGE HAIL OR DAMAGING WIND
GUSTS.
A LARGER AREA OF RAIN AND THUNDERSTORMS IS EXPECTED TO OVERSPREAD THE
PENINSULA OVERNIGHT ASSOCIATED WITH A STRONG UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE
TRACKING EAST ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF OF MEXICO. SOME OF THESE
STORMS MAY ALSO PRODUCE HAIL AND HIGH WINDS.
PERSONS IN EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA ARE URGED TO KEEP INFORMED OF THE
WEATHER TONIGHT. IF YOU HAVE A NOAA WEATHER RADIO...ACTIVATE THE
WARNING ALARM FEATURE BEFORE GOING TO SLEEP FOR THE NIGHT.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY:
AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE ACROSS NORTH FLORIDA ON
THURSDAY. AS MOISTURE RETURNS TO CENTRAL FLORIDA AHEAD OF THIS
SYSTEM...SCATTERED LIGHTNING STORMS WILL CONTINUE INTO THURSDAY
MORNING. A FEW OF THESE STORMS COULD BRING GUSTY WINDS AND HAIL.
LATE SATURDAY A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THE REGION FROM THE
NORTHWEST. A LINE OF STRONG LIGHTNING STORMS MAY DEVELOP AHEAD OF
THIS FRONT AND SWEEP ACROSS CENTRAL FLORIDA SATURDAY NIGHT AND EARLY
SUNDAY.
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK (Central Fl)
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Stay alert Bronwyn!
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Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Extract from SPC 2day outlook
...FL...
SHORTWAVE TROUGH OVER THE NCNTRL GULF OF MEXICO WILL MOVE EWD
TOWARD THE FLORIDA PENINSULA DURING THE AFTERNOON. MODELS DIFFER ON
THE SPEED AND POSITION OF THE TROUGH. ALSO...INSTABILITY REMAINS IN
QUESTION. MODEL PROGS INDICATE AN INSTABILITY AXIS WILL EXIST AHEAD
OF THE UPPER-TROUGH WITH MLCAPES GENERALLY AROUND 1000-1500 J/KG.
SHEAR PROFILES SHOW STRONG VEERING WITH HEIGHT BUT MARGINAL SPEED
SHEAR. CONFIDENCE IN THE SCENARIO REMAINS UNCERTAIN. IF ENOUGH
INSTABILITY IS REALIZED...SUPERCELLS WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR
DAMAGING WINDS AND ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE. AN UPGRADE TO
SLIGHT RISK MAY BE NECESSARY IN LATER OUTLOOKS
...FL...
SHORTWAVE TROUGH OVER THE NCNTRL GULF OF MEXICO WILL MOVE EWD
TOWARD THE FLORIDA PENINSULA DURING THE AFTERNOON. MODELS DIFFER ON
THE SPEED AND POSITION OF THE TROUGH. ALSO...INSTABILITY REMAINS IN
QUESTION. MODEL PROGS INDICATE AN INSTABILITY AXIS WILL EXIST AHEAD
OF THE UPPER-TROUGH WITH MLCAPES GENERALLY AROUND 1000-1500 J/KG.
SHEAR PROFILES SHOW STRONG VEERING WITH HEIGHT BUT MARGINAL SPEED
SHEAR. CONFIDENCE IN THE SCENARIO REMAINS UNCERTAIN. IF ENOUGH
INSTABILITY IS REALIZED...SUPERCELLS WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR
DAMAGING WINDS AND ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE. AN UPGRADE TO
SLIGHT RISK MAY BE NECESSARY IN LATER OUTLOOKS
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ColdFront77
-
chadtm80
-
chadtm80
WOW.. could get interesting for EVERYONE
FLOOD WARNING
FLC001-007-023-041-121-125-281500-
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
1030 AM EST THU MAR 27 2003
...A RIVER FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES IN EFFECT FOR THE SANTA FE RIVER
AT FORT WHITE, THREE RIVERS ESTATES, AND THE 129 BRIDGE...
...BOATERS ARE REQUESTED TO OBSERVE A NO WAKE RESTRICTION FROM
BELOW US HIGHWAY 27 DOWN STREAM TO THE SUWANNEE RIVER...
AT 7 AM THE RIVER LEVEL AT FORT WHITE WAS 25.5 FEET AND FALLING
SLOWLY. FLOOD STAGE IS 24 FEET. AT 26 FEET SOME HOMES ALONG THE
RIVER EXPERIENCE SOME WATER UNDER THEIR MAIN FLOORS. DAMAGE TO
BASEMENT AREAS UNDERNEATH HOMES OF STILTS IS LIKELY.
AT THREE RIVERS ESTATES...AT 7 AM THE STAGE WAS 24.0 FEET AND FALLING.
24 FEET IS CONSIDERED A MAJOR FLOOD AT THREE RIVERS ESTATES. FLOOD
STAGE IS 19 FEET. THE RIVER IS FORECAST REMAIN BETWEEN 23.7 AND 23.9
FEET INTO NEXT WEEK. THAT LEVEL COMPARES TO THE APRIL,1970 FLOOD. AT
22 FEET THE SANTA FE ROAD IS CLOSED AND SEVERAL HOMES ARE FLO0DED.
AT THE HIGHWAY 129 BRIDGE...THE RIVER LEVEL AT 7 AM WAS 23.8 FEET AND
FALLING. FLOOD STAGE IS 21 FEET. THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO FALL VERY
SLOWLY. THIS LEVEL IS SIMILAR TO THE FLOOD OF APRIL, 1975.
STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.
$$
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 7AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME FRI SAT SUN
SANTA FE
FORT WHITE 24.0 25.5 THU 07 AM 25.4 25.3 25.2
U S 129 BRIDGE 21.0 23.8 THU 07 AM 23.7 23.6 23.5
THREE RIVERS ES 19.0 24.0 THU 07 AM 23.9 23.8 23.7
$$
KEEGAN
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH
AREAL OUTLINE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 78
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
1059 AM EST THU MAR 27 2003
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 78 IN EFFECT UNTIL 500 PM EST.
IN FLORIDA
THIS WATCH INCLUDES 44 COUNTIES
FLC001-007-023-041-047-075-083-121-125-272156-
IN NORTHERN FLORIDA THIS WATCH INCLUDES 9 COUNTIES...
ALACHUA BRADFORD COLUMBIA GILCHRIST
HAMILTON LEVY MARION SUWANNEE
UNION
AND THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS
$$
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH
AREAL OUTLINE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 78
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
1059 AM EST THU MAR 27 2003
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 78 IN EFFECT UNTIL 500 PM EST.
IN FLORIDA
THIS WATCH INCLUDES 44 COUNTIES
FLC003-019-031-035-089-107-109-272156-
IN NORTHEAST FLORIDA THIS WATCH INCLUDES 7 COUNTIES...
BAKER CLAY DUVAL FLAGLER
NASSAU PUTNAM ST. JOHNS
AND THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS
$$
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH
AREAL OUTLINE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 78
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
1059 AM EST THU MAR 27 2003
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 78 IN EFFECT UNTIL 500 PM EST.
IN FLORIDA
THIS WATCH INCLUDES 44 COUNTIES
FLC009-061-069-085-093-095-097-111-117-127-272156-
IN EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA THIS WATCH INCLUDES 10 COUNTIES...
BREVARD INDIAN RIVER LAKE MARTIN
OKEECHOBEE ORANGE OSCEOLA SEMINOLE
ST. LUCIE VOLUSIA
AND THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS
$$
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH
AREAL OUTLINE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 78
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
1059 AM EST THU MAR 27 2003
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 78 IN EFFECT UNTIL 500 PM EST.
IN FLORIDA
THIS WATCH INCLUDES 44 COUNTIES
FLC015-021-071-272156-
IN SOUTHWEST FLORIDA THIS WATCH INCLUDES 3 COUNTIES...
CHARLOTTE COLLIER LEE
AND THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS
$$
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH
AREAL OUTLINE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 78
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
1059 AM EST THU MAR 27 2003
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 78 IN EFFECT UNTIL 500 PM EST.
IN FLORIDA
THIS WATCH INCLUDES 44 COUNTIES
FLC017-053-057-081-101-103-115-272156-
IN WEST CENTRAL FLORIDA THIS WATCH INCLUDES 7 COUNTIES...
CITRUS HERNANDO HILLSBOROUGH MANATEE
PASCO PINELLAS SARASOTA
AND THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS
$$
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH
AREAL OUTLINE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 78
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
1059 AM EST THU MAR 27 2003
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 78 IN EFFECT UNTIL 500 PM EST.
IN FLORIDA
THIS WATCH INCLUDES 44 COUNTIES
FLC027-055-272156-
IN SOUTH CENTRAL FLORIDA THIS WATCH INCLUDES 2 COUNTIES...
DESOTO HIGHLANDS
$$
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH
AREAL OUTLINE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 78
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
1059 AM EST THU MAR 27 2003
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 78 IN EFFECT UNTIL 500 PM EST.
IN FLORIDA
THIS WATCH INCLUDES 44 COUNTIES
FLC043-051-272156-
IN SOUTHERN FLORIDA THIS WATCH INCLUDES 2 COUNTIES...
GLADES HENDRY
$$
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH
AREAL OUTLINE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 78
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
1059 AM EST THU MAR 27 2003
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 78 IN EFFECT UNTIL 500 PM EST.
IN FLORIDA
THIS WATCH INCLUDES 44 COUNTIES
FLC049-105-119-272156-
IN CENTRAL FLORIDA THIS WATCH INCLUDES 3 COUNTIES...
HARDEE POLK SUMTER
$$
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH
AREAL OUTLINE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 78
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
1059 AM EST THU MAR 27 2003
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 78 IN EFFECT UNTIL 500 PM EST.
IN FLORIDA
THIS WATCH INCLUDES 44 COUNTIES
FLC099-272156-
IN SOUTHEAST FLORIDA THIS WATCH INCLUDES 1 COUNTY...
PALM BEACH
AND THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS
$$
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH
COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED FOR THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
1102 AM EST THU MAR 27 2003
ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS FROM JUPITER INLET TO OCEAN REEF OUT 60 NM AND GULF
COASTAL WATERS FROM EAST CAPE SABLE TO CHOKOLOSKEE OUT 20 NM AND CHOKOLOSKEE TO
BONITA BEACH OUT 60 NM...INCLUDING THE WATERS OF BISCAYNE BAY AND LAKE
OKEECHOBEE.
AMZ610-272130-
LAKE OKEECHOBEE-
1102 AM EST THU MAR 27 2003
...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH UNTIL 5 PM...
.THIS AFTERNOON...SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 KNOTS. LAKE WATERS A MODERATE CHOP.
GUSTY WINDS AND HIGH SEAS IN NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH FREQUENT
LIGHTNING. SOME THUNDERSTORMS COULD BE SEVERE.
.TONIGHT...LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS LESS THAN 5 KNOTS. LAKE WATERS
SMOOTH. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
.FRIDAY...SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 KNOTS. LAKE WATERS A LIGHT CHOP.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS LESS THAN 5 KNOTS. LAKE
WATERS SMOOTH. PATCHY FOG.
.SATURDAY...LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS LESS THAN 5 KNOTS. LAKE WATERS
SMOOTH.
.SUNDAY...SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 KNOTS BECOMING NORTHWEST 20 TO 25
KNOTS IN THE AFTERNOON. LAKE WATERS ROUGH. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
LIKELY.
.MONDAY...NORTH WINDS 15 TO 20 KNOTS DECREASING TO 5 TO 10 KNOTS IN
THE EVENING. LAKE WATERS CHOPPY.
$$
CHRISTENSEN
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH
COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED FOR THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
1102 AM EST THU MAR 27 2003
ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS FROM JUPITER INLET TO OCEAN REEF OUT 60 NM AND GULF
COASTAL WATERS FROM EAST CAPE SABLE TO CHOKOLOSKEE OUT 20 NM AND CHOKOLOSKEE TO
BONITA BEACH OUT 60 NM...INCLUDING THE WATERS OF BISCAYNE BAY AND LAKE
OKEECHOBEE.
AMZ650-670-272130-
COASTAL WATERS FROM JUPITER INLET TO DEERFIELD BEACH, FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM JUPITER INLET TO DEERFIELD BEACH, FL EXTENDING FROM 20 NM TO 60 NM-
1102 AM EST THU MAR 27 2003
...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH UNTIL 5 PM...
.THIS AFTERNOON...SOUTH WINDS 15 TO 20 KNOTS. SEAS 2 TO 4 FEET NEARSHORE UP TO
5 FEET IN THE GULF STREAM. INTRACOASTAL WATERS CHOPPY. GUSTY WINDS AND
HIGH SEAS IN NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH FREQUENT LIGHTNING. SOME
THUNDERSTORMS COULD BE SEVERE.
.TONIGHT...SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 KNOTS. SEAS UP TO 4 FEET
SUBSIDING TO 2 FEET. INTRACOASTAL WATERS A MODERATE CHOP. SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY IN THE EVENING.
.FRIDAY...SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 KNOTS. SEAS 2 FEET OR LESS.
INTRACOASTAL WATERS A LIGHT CHOP.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 KNOTS. SEAS 2 FEET OR LESS.
INTRACOASTAL WATERS A LIGHT CHOP.
.SATURDAY...WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 KNOTS BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE
WINDS LESS THAN 5 KNOTS IN THE EVENING. SEAS 2 FEET OR LESS.
INTRACOASTAL WATERS A LIGHT CHOP.
.SUNDAY...LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS LESS THAN 5 KNOTS AFTER MIDNIGHT
BECOMING WEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS INCREASING TO 25 TO 30 KNOTS IN THE
EVENING. SEAS UP TO 5 FEET BUILDING TO 12 FEET. INTRACOASTAL WATERS
VERY ROUGH. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY.
.MONDAY...NORTH WINDS 20 TO 25 KNOTS. SEAS 8 TO 14 FEET.
INTRACOASTAL WATERS ROUGH.
$$
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH
EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED FOR
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL THUNDERSTORM WATCH
1115 AM EST THU MAR 27 2003
ATLC COASTAL WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO JUPITER INLET OUT TO 60NM
AMZ550-570-280330-
FLAGLER BEACH TO COCOA BEACH 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
FLAGLER BEACH TO COCOA BEACH OUT TO 20 NM-
1115 AM EST THU MAR 27 2003
...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IN EFFECT FOR THE ADJACENT COASTAL
WATERS UNTIL 500 PM...
...SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION...
.THIS AFTERNOON...WIND SOUTHEAST 15 TO 20 KNOTS THIS AFTERNOON. SEAS
BUILDING TO 4 TO 6 FEET LATE. INTRACOASTAL WATERS A MODERATE CHOP.
WINDS AND SEAS LOCALLY HIGHER IN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
.TONIGHT...WINDS SOUTHEAST TO SOUTH 15 TO 20 KNOTS BECOMING
SOUTHWEST OVERNIGHT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FEET. INTRACOASTAL WATERS A MODERATE
CHOP. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
.FRIDAY...WINDS SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 KNOTS. SEAS 2 TO 4 FEET.
INTRACOASTAL WATERS A LIGHT CHOP. SCATTERED SHOWERS.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...WIND BECOMING SOUTHWEST 10 KNOTS. SEAS 2 TO 3 FEET.
.SATURDAY...WIND SOUTHWEST 10 KNOTS BECOMING SOUTHEAST IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 TO 4 FEET. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE.
.SUNDAY...WIND BECOMING SOUTHWEST 15 KNOTS SHIFTING TO NORTHWEST AND
INCREASING TO 20 KNOTS. SEAS BUILDING TO 5 TO 7 FEET DURING THE DAY.
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
.MONDAY...WINDS NORTHWEST 20 KNOTS. SEAS 5 TO 7 FEET.
$$
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH
EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED FOR
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL THUNDERSTORM WATCH
1115 AM EST THU MAR 27 2003
ATLC COASTAL WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO JUPITER INLET OUT TO 60NM
AMZ555-575-280330-
COCOA BEACH TO JUPITER INLET 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
COCOA BEACH TO JUPITER INLET OUT TO 20 NM-
1115 AM EST THU MAR 27 2003
...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IN EFFECT FOR THE ADJACENT COASTAL
WATERS UNTIL 500 PM...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...
.THIS AFTERNOON...WIND SOUTHEAST 20 KNOTS. SEAS BUILDING TO 4 TO
6 FEET. INTRACOASTAL WATERS CHOPPY. WINDS AND SEAS LOCALLY
HIGHER NEAR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
.TONIGHT...WIND SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS. SEAS 3 TO 5 FEET
AND UP TO 6 FEET OFFSHORE. INTRACOASTAL WATERS A MODERATE CHOP IN
OPEN AREAS. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
.FRIDAY...WIND SOUTHWEST 10 KNOTS...BECOMING SOUTHEAST DURING THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 TO 3 FEET. INTRACOASTAL WATERS A LIGHT CHOP.
SCATTERED SHOWERS EARLY.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...WIND SOUTHWEST 10 KNOTS. SEAS 2 TO 3 FEET.
.SATURDAY...WIND SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST 10 KNOTS BECOMING SOUTHEAST IN
THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 TO 3 FEET.
ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
.SUNDAY...WIND SOUTH 15 KNOTS DURING THE DAY...BECOMING NORTHWEST
LATE AND INCREASING TO 20 KNOTS. SEAS 3 TO 5 FEET...BUILDING TO 5 TO
7 FEET. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
.MONDAY...WINDS NORTHWEST 20 KNOTS. SEAS 5 TO 7 FEET.
$$
BRAGAW
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH
WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
1115 AM EST THU MAR 27 2003
GULF COASTAL WATERS FROM BONITA BEACH TO THE MOUTH OF THE SUWANNEE
RIVER OUT TO 60 NM
IMPORTANT NOTICE TO MARINERS...MARINE FORECASTS ARE ISSUED AT LEAST
FOUR TIMES A DAY. BOATERS ON EXTENDED TRIPS SHOULD ROUTINELY MONITOR
SUBSEQUENT FORECAST ISSUANCES AND UPDATES FOR THE LATEST MARINE
WEATHER INFORMATION.
GMZ850-870-272130-
TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER OUT TO 60 NM-
1115 AM EST THU MAR 27 2003
UPDATED TO INCLUDE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH
...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM...
.THIS AFTERNOON...SOUTHEAST THEN SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 KNOTS. SEAS
2 TO 4 FEET. BAY AND INLAND WATERS A MODERATE CHOP. WINDS AND SEAS
HIGHER IN SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
.TONIGHT...SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 KNOTS. SEAS 2 FEET OR LESS. BAY
AND INLAND WATERS A LIGHT CHOP.
.FRIDAY...SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 KNOTS. SEAS 2 FEET OR LESS.
BAY AND INLAND WATERS A LIGHT CHOP.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 KNOTS. SEAS 2 FEET OR LESS.
BAY AND INLAND WATERS A LIGHT CHOP.
.SATURDAY...SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 KNOTS. SEAS 2 FEET OR LESS. BAY
AND INLAND WATERS A LIGHT CHOP.
.SUNDAY...NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 20 KNOTS. SEAS 5 TO 7 FEET. BAY AND
INLAND WATERS CHOPPY. NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS.
.MONDAY...NORTH WINDS AROUND 20 KNOTS. SEAS 5 TO 7 FEET. BAY AND
INLAND WATERS CHOPPY.
$$
RFM/BG/DMR/DN
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
SPECIAL MARINE WARNING
GMZ856-876-271700-
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SPECIAL MARINE WARNING FOR LARGE HAIL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
1103 AM EST THU MAR 27 2003
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN RUSKIN HAS ISSUED A
* SPECIAL MARINE WARNING FOR THE COASTAL WATERS FROM...
SAN CARLOS BAY TO CAPTIVA PASS IN LEE COUNTY OUT 20 NM.
BONITA BEACH TO ENGLEWOOD OUT 20 TO 60 NM.
CAPTIVA PASS IN LEE COUNTY TO GASPARILLA PASS IN CHARLOTTE COUNTY
OUT 20 NM.
GASPARILLA PASS IN CHARLOTTE COUNTY TO ENGLEWOOD IN SARASOTA COUNTY
OUT 20 NM.
* UNTIL NOON EST
* AT 1103 AM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS...WITH WIND GUSTS OVER 34 KNOTS...OVER AND
SOUTHWEST OF CAPTIVA. THE STORMS WERE MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH.
TRONG THUNDERSTORMS CAN PRODUCE WATERSPOUTS WITH LITTLE OR NO
ADVANCE WARNING. SEEK SAFETY IMMEDIATELY.
&&
LAT...LON 2591 8300 2633 8318 2695 8238 2641 8211
2627 8243 2624 8242 2621 8246
$$
72
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
FLOOD WATCH
FLZ019-028-029-034-GAZ159>161-272200-
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
1120 AM EST THU MAR 27 2003
...A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 500 PM EST THURSDAY
AFTERNOON...
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT
UNTIL 500 PM EST THURSDAY AFTERNOON FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES
IN SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA THIS WATCH INCLUDES 3
COUNTIES...
BROOKS...LANIER AND LOWNDES.
IN NORTH FLORIDA THIS WATCH INCLUDES 4 COUNTIES...
DIXIE...LAFAYETTE...MADISON AND TAYLOR.
THE COMBINATION OF AN UPPER AND SURFACE LOW WILL MOVE FROM THE
ADJACENT GULF NORTHEAST AND ACROSS THE EASTERN PANHANDLE AND SOUTH
CENTRAL GEORGIA DURING THIS AFTERNOON AND INTO THE EARLY EVENING.
THESE SYSTEMS WILL GENERATE VERY HEAVY TO TORRENTIAL SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE WATCH AREA. THIS WOULD CREATE FAVORABLE
CONDITIONS FOR WIDESPREAD FLOODING. THEREFORE A FLASH FLOOD WATCH
HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE SOUTHEAST BIG BEND AND EXTREME SOUTH CENTRAL
GEORGIA. MINOR FLOODING IS POSSIBLE ACROSS THE REST OF THE FLORIDA
BIG BEND AND SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA. AS THE LOW SYSTEMS MOVE NORTHEAST
OF THIS AREA...BEGINNING THIS EVENING...THE THREAT OF FLOODING WILL
DECREASE.
A FLASH FLOOD THREAT EXISTS ALONG STREAMS AND CREEKS IN THE INDICATED
AREAS. THIS INCLUDES HEADWATER AREAS OF SMALL TRIBUTARY RIVERS
UPSTREAM OF THE FIRST FORECAST POINT. URBAN FLOODING IS ALSO POSSIBLE
IN POOR DRAINAGE AREAS. PEOPLE ALONG CREEKS AND STREAMS SHOULD
MONITOR WATER LEVELS FREQUENTLY IF HEAVY RAIN OCCURS. BE READY TO
LEAVE IMMEDIATELY IF FLASH FLOODING IS OBSERVED OR A WARNING IS
ISSUED. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO DRIVE IN AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS ROADWAYS.
A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THE THREAT FOR FLOODING EXISTS WITHIN THE
WATCH AREA. PERSONS IN THE AFFECTED AREA SHOULD MONITOR NOAA WEATHER
RADIO AND LOCAL TELEVISION OR RADIO. BE READY TO MOVE TO HIGHER
GROUND IF FLOODING IS OBSERVED OR A WARNING IS ISSUED.
$$
24-BLOCK
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
FLOOD WATCH
FLZ020>023-030-031-035-036-GAZ132>136-149>152-162>164-272200-
BULLETIN...IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
1117 AM EST THU MAR 27 2003
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED A FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 500 PM
EST THURSDAY AFTERNOON FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS...
IN GEORGIA...
APPLING...ATKINSON...BACON...BRANTLEY...CHARLTON...CLINCH...COFFEE...
ECHOLS...JEFF DAVIS...PIERCE...WARE AND WAYNE.
IN FLORIDA...
ALACHUA...BAKER...BRADFORD...COLUMBIA...GILCHRIST...HAMILTON...
SUWANNEE AND UNION.
A FLOOD WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN SMALL STREAMS AND CREEKS ARE EXPECTED TO
RISE TO NEAR OR ABOVE BANKFULL LEVELS. THESE RISES ARE USUALLY DUE TO
EXCESSIVE RAINFALL OR HEAVY DOWNPOURS FALLING ON AN ALREADY SATURATED
GROUND. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE EXPECTED IN
THE WATCH AREA...WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS UP TO 3 INCHES POSSIBLE FROM
STRONGER STORMS.
REMEMBER...A WATCH MEANS THAT FLOODING IS POSSIBLE BUT NOT IMMINENT.
PEOPLE IN THE WATCH AREA SHOULD KEEP ABREAST OF THE LATEST
WEATHER...AND PREPARE TO MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND SHOULD A WARNING BE
ISSUED.
$$
BROYLES
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED FOR
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL THUNDERSTORM WATCH
1115 AM EST THU MAR 27 2003
ATLC COASTAL WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO JUPITER INLET OUT TO 60NM
AMZ555-575-280330-
COCOA BEACH TO JUPITER INLET 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
COCOA BEACH TO JUPITER INLET OUT TO 20 NM-
1115 AM EST THU MAR 27 2003
...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IN EFFECT FOR THE ADJACENT COASTAL
WATERS UNTIL 500 PM...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...
.THIS AFTERNOON...WIND SOUTHEAST 20 KNOTS. SEAS BUILDING TO 4 TO
6 FEET. INTRACOASTAL WATERS CHOPPY. WINDS AND SEAS LOCALLY
HIGHER NEAR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
.TONIGHT...WIND SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS. SEAS 3 TO 5 FEET
AND UP TO 6 FEET OFFSHORE. INTRACOASTAL WATERS A MODERATE CHOP IN
OPEN AREAS. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
.FRIDAY...WIND SOUTHWEST 10 KNOTS...BECOMING SOUTHEAST DURING THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 TO 3 FEET. INTRACOASTAL WATERS A LIGHT CHOP.
SCATTERED SHOWERS EARLY.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...WIND SOUTHWEST 10 KNOTS. SEAS 2 TO 3 FEET.
.SATURDAY...WIND SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST 10 KNOTS BECOMING SOUTHEAST IN
THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 TO 3 FEET.
ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
.SUNDAY...WIND SOUTH 15 KNOTS DURING THE DAY...BECOMING NORTHWEST
LATE AND INCREASING TO 20 KNOTS. SEAS 3 TO 5 FEET...BUILDING TO 5 TO
7 FEET. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
.MONDAY...WINDS NORTHWEST 20 KNOTS. SEAS 5 TO 7 FEET.
$$
BRAGAW
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MARINE WEATHER STATEMENT
GMZ853-856-876-271730-
MARINE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
1135 AM EST THU MAR 27 2003
THIS STATEMENT INCLUDES THE COASTAL WATERS FROM...
BONITA BEACH TO ENGLEWOOD TO VENICE INLET IN SARASOTA COUNTY OUT
20 NM.
...AND IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1230 PM EST.
AT 1135 AM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS...WITH WIND GUSTS OVER 25 KNOTS...6 MILES
SOUTHEAST OF GASPARILLA ISLAND...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH. THESE
THUNDERSTORMS EXTENDED SOUTHWEST FOR 70 MILES INTO THE GULF OF
MEXICO.
MARINERS CAN EXPECT LOCALLY HIGH WAVES...DANGEROUS LIGHTNING...AND
TORRENTIAL RAIN. SEEK SAFETY IMMEDIATELY.
WIND GUSTS OF 30 KNOTS OR MORE WILL OCCUR...PRODUCING BRIEFLY ROUGH
CONDITIONS. IF AT SEA...GO BELOW DECK UNTIL THE STORM HAS PASSED.
&&
$$
LAT...LON 2653 8281 2624 8223 2646 8194 2702 8244
KL
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
SHORT TERM FORECAST
SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
1130 AM EST THU MAR 27 2003
FLZ015>019-026>029-034-GMZ755-775-271830-
DIXIE-FRANKLIN-GADSDEN-JEFFERSON-LAFAYETTE-LEON-LIBERTY-MADISON-
SUWANNEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA 20 TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
SUWANNEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA OUT TO 20 NM-TAYLOR-WAKULLA-
1130 AM EST THU MAR 27 2003
.NOW...
THROUGH 130 PM EST...SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE NORTH OVER THE FLORIDA BIG BEND AND ITS COASTAL
WATERS. SOME OF THE THUNDERSTORMS WILL PRODUCE HEAVY RAIN...GUSTY
WINDS...AND POSSIBLE SMALL HAIL.
$$
BARRY
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
SHORT TERM FORECAST
SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
1127 AM EST THU MAR 27 2003
FLZ020>022-030-035-036-GAZ132>134-149-150-162-163-271730-
ALACHUA-ATKINSON-BACON-CLINCH-COFFEE-COLUMBIA-ECHOLS-GILCHRIST-
HAMILTON-JEFF DAVIS-SUWANNEE-UNION-WARE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DOUGLAS...GAINESVILLE...HOMERVILLE...
LAKE CITY...LIVE OAK...PEARSON...WAYCROSS
1127 AM EST THU MAR 27 2003
.NOW...
THROUGH 1220 PM...THUNDERSTORMS MOVING THROUGH BRANFORD...
LIVE OAK AND JASPER WILL CONTINUE MOVING NORTH THROUGH THE SUWANNEE
VALLEY INTO GEORGIA AFFECTING MOST OF THE COUNTIES WEST OF THE
OKEFENOKEE SWAMP. THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL IS MOVING THROUGH
STATENVILLE. FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS IS LIKELY WITH THESE
THUNDERSTORMS AS 2 TO 3 INCHES OF RAINFALL AN HOUR IS LIKELY IN
THE PATH OF THE HEAVIEST THUNDERSTORMS.
$$
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
SHORT TERM FORECAST
SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
1127 AM EST THU MAR 27 2003
FLZ024-025-032-033-037-271730-
CLAY-DUVAL-NASSAU-PUTNAM-ST JOHNS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FERNANDINA BEACH...GREEN COVE SPRINGS...
JACKSONVILLE...PALATKA...ST AUGUSTINE
1127 AM EST THU MAR 27 2003
.NOW...
THROUGH 1220 PM...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE MOVING THROUGH
NORTHERN PUTNAM AND CLAY COUNTIES AND WILL MOVE INTO THE SOUTH
AND WESTSIDE OF JACKSONVILLE BY NOON. OTHER SHOWERS ARE
REDEVELOPING ALONG THE COAST OF SAINT JOHNS COUNTY. HEAVY
RAINFALL SHOULD BE EXPECTED WITH THESE THUNDERSTORMS AS THEY
MOVE NORTH AT 25 MILES AN HOUR.
$$
KEEGAN
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
SHORT TERM FORECAST
SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
1131 AM EST THU MAR 27 2003
FLZ055>057-060>062-065-GMZ856-876-271730-
BONITA BEACH TO ENGLEWOOD 20 TO 60 NM-
BONITA BEACH TO ENGLEWOOD OUT TO 20 NM-CHARLOTTE-DESOTO-HARDEE-
HIGHLANDS-LEE-MANATEE-SARASOTA-
1131 AM EST THU MAR 27 2003
.NOW...
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP OVER SOUTHWEST
FLORIDA AND SPREAD NORTH AND EAST. A LARGE AREA EXTENDING FROM 60
MILES SOUTHWEST OF LEE COUNTY...NORTH AND EAST INTO CHARLOTTE...
DESOTO...SARASOTA AND SOUTHWEST HIGHLANDS COUNTY WILL MOVE
NORTHEAST AT 25 TO 30 MPH. STRONG GUSTY WINDS...HAIL TO DIME SIZE...
HEAVY RAIN AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING WILL AFFECT VENICE EAST TO
ARCADIA AND SOUTH TO SANIBEL ISLAND. THIS AREA WILL MOVE INTO
SARASOTA EAST TO MYAKKA CITY AND PLACID LAKES BY NOON.
$$
LOEPER
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
FLZ063-066>075-271700-
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
600 AM EST THU MAR 27 2003
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH FLORIDA.
.DAY ONE...TODAY
...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON...
AN UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE WILL CROSS THE REGION TODAY. THIS
COMBINED WITH PLENTY OF ATMOSPHERIC MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY WILL
RESULT IN SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS LATE THIS MORNING INTO
THE AFTERNOON. THE STORMS WILL BE ACCOMPANIED WITH FREQUENT CLOUD TO
GROUND LIGHTNING, SMALL HAIL, AND STRONG DAMAGING WINDS TO 60 MPH
ARE POSSIBLE. THE STORMS WILL INITIALLY DEVELOP ALONG THE WEST COAST
AND INTERIOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH FLORIDA AND MOVE EAST INTO THE
EASTERN METROPOLITAN COAST. THE STORMS COULD LINGER INTO THE EVENING
HOURS ALONG THE METROPOLITAN AREAS OF PALM BEACH, BROWARD, AND
MIAMI-DADE COUNTIES.
ADDITIONAL INFORMATIONAL AND DETAILED GRAPHICS CAN BE FOUND ON THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WEB SITE AT HTTP://WWW.MIAMIWEATHER.INFO.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY
A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA ON SUNDAY
BRINGING WITH ANOTHER CHANCE FOR SCATTERED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS.
MUCH COOLER AND DRIER AIR IS EXPECTED BY MONDAY.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED TODAY.
STAYED TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER
DETAILS OR UPDATES.
$$
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
AMZ550-555-570-575-FLZ041-044>047-053-054-058-059-064-141-144-147-
272200-
EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
1101 AM EST THU MAR 27 2003
...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH UNTIL 5 PM FOR ALL OF EAST CENTRAL
FLORIDA AND THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS...
A STRONG UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE AND DEVELOPING SURFACE LOW OVER
THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO WILL MOVE EAST AND PULL MOIST UNSTABLE
AIR INTO EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA. LIGHTNING STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO
INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY THIS AFTERNOON AS THIS UNSTABLE
AIRMASS SPREADS ACROSS THE AREA.
INCREASING LOW LEVEL WINDS AND COLD AIR ALOFT WILL ALLOW STORMS TO
INTENSIFY RAPIDLY THIS AFTERNOON...AND SOME STORMS MAY BECOME SEVERE
WITH DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND LARGE HAIL. IN ADDITION...THE LOW LEVEL
SHEAR ALONG THE COASTAL COUNTIES WILL BE FAVORABLE FOR STORMS TO
ROTATE. AN ISOLATED TORNADO OR WATERSPOUT ARE BOTH POSSIBLE WITH SOME
OF THE STRONGEST STORMS THAT DEVELOP. RESIDENTS OF EAST CENTRAL
FLORIDA SHOULD MONITOR THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND SEEK SHELTER INDOORS
IF THREATENING WEATHER APPROACHES. REMEMBER DEADLY LIGHTNING OCCURS
WITH ANY STORM AND IS OFTEN LOCATED WELL AHEAD OF THE HEAVY RAIN.
HEAVY RAIN WITH STORMS TODAY MAY CAUSE MINOR FLOODING. STANDING WATER
ON ROADS AND HIGHWAYS MAY MAKE DRIVING HAZARDOUS. SLOW DOWN TO AVOID
HYDROPLANING. DO NOT DRIVE INTO AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS THE ROAD.
FOR MARINE INTERESTS...STORMS THAT DEVELOP OVER THE MAINLAND WILL
MOVE NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH AND CROSS THE INTRACOASTAL AND NEARSHORE
WATERS. STRONG WIND GUST OVER 40 KNOTS...ROUGH SEAS AND DEADLY CLOUD
TO WATER LIGHTNING ARE ALL POSSIBLE. WATERSPOUTS MAY DEVELOP WITH A
FEW OF THE STORMS. MARINERS SHOULD MONITOR THE WEATHER AND SEEK SAFE
HARBOR WELL AHEAD OF THE STORMS.
THE DEVELOPING LOW OVER THE GULF WILL INCREASE SOUTHEAST WINDS TO 20
KNOTS SOUTH OF COCOA BEACH AND A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT.
SMALL CRAFT SHOULD ALSO EXERCISE CAUTION NORTH OF COCOA BEACH.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY:
THIS WEEKEND...A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THE REGION FROM THE
NORTHWEST. A LINE OF STRONG LIGHTNING STORMS MAY DEVELOP AHEAD OF
THIS FRONT AND SWEEP ACROSS CENTRAL FLORIDA LATE SATURDAY NIGHT AND
SUNDAY.
.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
SKYWARN SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEED THIS AFTERNOON. MONITOR
NOAA WEATHER RADIO IN CASE FORMAL ACTIVATION IS REQUIRED.
$$
GLITTO
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
FLZ020>025-030>033-035>038-040-
GAZ132>136-149>154-162>166-272200-
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
1130 AM EST THU MAR 27 2003
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST
GEORGIA.
.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...
...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR ALL OF NORTH FLORIDA THROUGH 5 PM...
...FLOOD WATCH THROUGH 500 PM EST FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN
GEORGIA...APPLING...ATKINSON...BACON...BRANTLEY...CHARLTON...
CLINCH...COFFEE...ECHOLS...JEFF DAVIS...PIERCE...WARE AND WAYNE...IN
NORTH FLORIDA...ALACHUA...BAKER...BRADFORD...COLUMBIA...GILCHRIST...
HAMILTON...SUWANNEE AND UNION.
...FLOODING CONTINUES ON AREA RIVERS...
SEVERE WEATHER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL
OF NORTH FLORIDA. HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE.
A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA. PERSONS SHOULD BE ON
THE LOOKOUT FOR DETERIORATING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR
STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND
OCCASIONALLY DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
FLOOD WATCH...A FLOOD WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN SMALL STREAMS AND CREEKS
ARE EXPECTED TO RISE TO NEAR OR ABOVE BANKFULL LEVELS. THESE RISES
ARE USUALLY DUE TO EXCESSIVE RAINFALL OR HEAVY DOWNPOURS FALLING ON
AN ALREADY SATURATED GROUND. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2
INCHES ARE EXPECTED IN THE WATCH AREA...WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS UP TO 3
INCHES POSSIBLE FROM STRONGER STORMS.
REMEMBER...A WATCH MEANS THAT FLOODING IS POSSIBLE BUT NOT IMMINENT.
PEOPLE IN THE WATCH AREA SHOULD KEEP ABREAST OF THE LATEST
WEATHER...AND PREPARE TO MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND SHOULD A WARNING BE
ISSUED.
RIVER FLOODING...RIVER FLOODING CONTINUES ACROSS PARTS OF SOUTHEAST
GEORGIA AND NORTHEAST FLORIDA. RAINFALL TODAY WILL LEAD TO PROLONGED
FLOODING ON THESE RIVERS. REFER TO THE LATEST FLOOD STATEMENTS AND
WARNINGS.
NO OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT THE AREA AGAIN SATURDAY NIGHT
INTO SUNDAY. SOME THUNDERSTORMS MAY BE STRONG.
SEVERAL AREA RIVERS WILL LIKELY CONTINUE NEAR OR ABOVE FLOOD STAGE.
NO OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS REQUESTED IN NORTH FLORIDA. SPOTTERS IN
SOUTHEAST GEORGIA ARE REQUESTED TO TO SELF-ACTIVATE IF WARNINGS ARE
ISSUED FOR YOUR AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
JACKSONVILLE WEBSITE ON THE INTERNET AT http://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/JAX.
$$
SANDRIK
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
ALZ065>069-FLZ007>019-026>029-034-GAZ120>131-142>148-155>161-272230-
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
1131 AM EST THU MAR 27 2003
THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST ALABAMA...SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL
GEORGIA...THE FLORIDA BIG BEND AND EASTERN PANHANDLE...AND THE
ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS.
.DAY ONE...
THE COMBINATION OF AN UPPER AND LOWER LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE
FROM THE ADJACENT GULF NORTHEAST AND ACROSS THE FLORIDA BIG BEND AND
SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA THIS AFTERNOON AND INTO THE EARLY EVENING.
THIS COMBINATION WILL GENERATE WIDESPREAD VERY HEAVY RAIN AND
THUNDERSTORMS WHICH WOULD CREATE FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR WIDESPREAD
FLOODING ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST BIG BEND AND EXTREME SOUTH
CENTRAL GEORGIA UNTIL 5 PM THIS EVENING. THUS A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS
IN EFFECT FOR THIS AREA UNTIL THAT TIME. SOME OF THE THUNDERSTORMS
WILL BE STRONG...ESPECIALLY OVER THE COASTAL WATERS AND COASTLINES.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...
THERE WILL BE A LULL IN THE WEATHER FRIDAY AND EARLY SATURDAY. A
SQUALL LINE IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND THE
WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE LATE SATURDAY. THE LINE WILL THEN CROSS
THE LOCAL REGION FROM WEST TO EAST FROM SATURDAY EVENING THROUGH
SUNDAY MORNING. STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS MAY ACCOMPANY THE FRONT WITH
HAIL AND STRONG WINDS THE PRIMARY THREAT. IN ADDITION, LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL IS EXPECTED. DRIER AIR WILL PUSH INTO THE AREA SUNDAY
AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL PICK UP QUICKLY ACROSS THE AREA BEHIND THE
DEPARTING FRONT...WITH SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES EXPECTED FROM SUNDAY
AFTERNOON INTO MONDAY MORNING ACROSS THE COASTAL WATERS. HAZARDOUS
WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
SOME OF THESE STORMS MAY APPROACH SEVERE LIMITS...AND SPOTTER
ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED LATER TODAY. LIKEWISE...SPOTTERS SHOULD
BE ALERT TO WIDESPREAD FLASH FLOODING ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST BIG BEND
AND EXTREME SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA AND MINOR FLOODING ELSEWHERE.
FOR ADDITIONAL WEATHER INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE VIA OUR WEB SITE AT http://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TLH/ OR
LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...LOCAL TELEVISION OR RADIO STATIONS.
$$
24-BLOCK
FLOOD WARNING
FLC001-007-023-041-121-125-281500-
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
1030 AM EST THU MAR 27 2003
...A RIVER FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES IN EFFECT FOR THE SANTA FE RIVER
AT FORT WHITE, THREE RIVERS ESTATES, AND THE 129 BRIDGE...
...BOATERS ARE REQUESTED TO OBSERVE A NO WAKE RESTRICTION FROM
BELOW US HIGHWAY 27 DOWN STREAM TO THE SUWANNEE RIVER...
AT 7 AM THE RIVER LEVEL AT FORT WHITE WAS 25.5 FEET AND FALLING
SLOWLY. FLOOD STAGE IS 24 FEET. AT 26 FEET SOME HOMES ALONG THE
RIVER EXPERIENCE SOME WATER UNDER THEIR MAIN FLOORS. DAMAGE TO
BASEMENT AREAS UNDERNEATH HOMES OF STILTS IS LIKELY.
AT THREE RIVERS ESTATES...AT 7 AM THE STAGE WAS 24.0 FEET AND FALLING.
24 FEET IS CONSIDERED A MAJOR FLOOD AT THREE RIVERS ESTATES. FLOOD
STAGE IS 19 FEET. THE RIVER IS FORECAST REMAIN BETWEEN 23.7 AND 23.9
FEET INTO NEXT WEEK. THAT LEVEL COMPARES TO THE APRIL,1970 FLOOD. AT
22 FEET THE SANTA FE ROAD IS CLOSED AND SEVERAL HOMES ARE FLO0DED.
AT THE HIGHWAY 129 BRIDGE...THE RIVER LEVEL AT 7 AM WAS 23.8 FEET AND
FALLING. FLOOD STAGE IS 21 FEET. THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO FALL VERY
SLOWLY. THIS LEVEL IS SIMILAR TO THE FLOOD OF APRIL, 1975.
STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.
$$
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 7AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME FRI SAT SUN
SANTA FE
FORT WHITE 24.0 25.5 THU 07 AM 25.4 25.3 25.2
U S 129 BRIDGE 21.0 23.8 THU 07 AM 23.7 23.6 23.5
THREE RIVERS ES 19.0 24.0 THU 07 AM 23.9 23.8 23.7
$$
KEEGAN
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH
AREAL OUTLINE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 78
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
1059 AM EST THU MAR 27 2003
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 78 IN EFFECT UNTIL 500 PM EST.
IN FLORIDA
THIS WATCH INCLUDES 44 COUNTIES
FLC001-007-023-041-047-075-083-121-125-272156-
IN NORTHERN FLORIDA THIS WATCH INCLUDES 9 COUNTIES...
ALACHUA BRADFORD COLUMBIA GILCHRIST
HAMILTON LEVY MARION SUWANNEE
UNION
AND THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS
$$
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH
AREAL OUTLINE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 78
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
1059 AM EST THU MAR 27 2003
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 78 IN EFFECT UNTIL 500 PM EST.
IN FLORIDA
THIS WATCH INCLUDES 44 COUNTIES
FLC003-019-031-035-089-107-109-272156-
IN NORTHEAST FLORIDA THIS WATCH INCLUDES 7 COUNTIES...
BAKER CLAY DUVAL FLAGLER
NASSAU PUTNAM ST. JOHNS
AND THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS
$$
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH
AREAL OUTLINE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 78
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
1059 AM EST THU MAR 27 2003
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 78 IN EFFECT UNTIL 500 PM EST.
IN FLORIDA
THIS WATCH INCLUDES 44 COUNTIES
FLC009-061-069-085-093-095-097-111-117-127-272156-
IN EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA THIS WATCH INCLUDES 10 COUNTIES...
BREVARD INDIAN RIVER LAKE MARTIN
OKEECHOBEE ORANGE OSCEOLA SEMINOLE
ST. LUCIE VOLUSIA
AND THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS
$$
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH
AREAL OUTLINE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 78
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
1059 AM EST THU MAR 27 2003
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 78 IN EFFECT UNTIL 500 PM EST.
IN FLORIDA
THIS WATCH INCLUDES 44 COUNTIES
FLC015-021-071-272156-
IN SOUTHWEST FLORIDA THIS WATCH INCLUDES 3 COUNTIES...
CHARLOTTE COLLIER LEE
AND THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS
$$
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH
AREAL OUTLINE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 78
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
1059 AM EST THU MAR 27 2003
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 78 IN EFFECT UNTIL 500 PM EST.
IN FLORIDA
THIS WATCH INCLUDES 44 COUNTIES
FLC017-053-057-081-101-103-115-272156-
IN WEST CENTRAL FLORIDA THIS WATCH INCLUDES 7 COUNTIES...
CITRUS HERNANDO HILLSBOROUGH MANATEE
PASCO PINELLAS SARASOTA
AND THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS
$$
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH
AREAL OUTLINE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 78
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
1059 AM EST THU MAR 27 2003
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 78 IN EFFECT UNTIL 500 PM EST.
IN FLORIDA
THIS WATCH INCLUDES 44 COUNTIES
FLC027-055-272156-
IN SOUTH CENTRAL FLORIDA THIS WATCH INCLUDES 2 COUNTIES...
DESOTO HIGHLANDS
$$
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH
AREAL OUTLINE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 78
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
1059 AM EST THU MAR 27 2003
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 78 IN EFFECT UNTIL 500 PM EST.
IN FLORIDA
THIS WATCH INCLUDES 44 COUNTIES
FLC043-051-272156-
IN SOUTHERN FLORIDA THIS WATCH INCLUDES 2 COUNTIES...
GLADES HENDRY
$$
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH
AREAL OUTLINE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 78
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
1059 AM EST THU MAR 27 2003
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 78 IN EFFECT UNTIL 500 PM EST.
IN FLORIDA
THIS WATCH INCLUDES 44 COUNTIES
FLC049-105-119-272156-
IN CENTRAL FLORIDA THIS WATCH INCLUDES 3 COUNTIES...
HARDEE POLK SUMTER
$$
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH
AREAL OUTLINE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 78
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
1059 AM EST THU MAR 27 2003
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 78 IN EFFECT UNTIL 500 PM EST.
IN FLORIDA
THIS WATCH INCLUDES 44 COUNTIES
FLC099-272156-
IN SOUTHEAST FLORIDA THIS WATCH INCLUDES 1 COUNTY...
PALM BEACH
AND THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS
$$
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH
COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED FOR THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
1102 AM EST THU MAR 27 2003
ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS FROM JUPITER INLET TO OCEAN REEF OUT 60 NM AND GULF
COASTAL WATERS FROM EAST CAPE SABLE TO CHOKOLOSKEE OUT 20 NM AND CHOKOLOSKEE TO
BONITA BEACH OUT 60 NM...INCLUDING THE WATERS OF BISCAYNE BAY AND LAKE
OKEECHOBEE.
AMZ610-272130-
LAKE OKEECHOBEE-
1102 AM EST THU MAR 27 2003
...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH UNTIL 5 PM...
.THIS AFTERNOON...SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 KNOTS. LAKE WATERS A MODERATE CHOP.
GUSTY WINDS AND HIGH SEAS IN NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH FREQUENT
LIGHTNING. SOME THUNDERSTORMS COULD BE SEVERE.
.TONIGHT...LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS LESS THAN 5 KNOTS. LAKE WATERS
SMOOTH. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
.FRIDAY...SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 KNOTS. LAKE WATERS A LIGHT CHOP.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS LESS THAN 5 KNOTS. LAKE
WATERS SMOOTH. PATCHY FOG.
.SATURDAY...LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS LESS THAN 5 KNOTS. LAKE WATERS
SMOOTH.
.SUNDAY...SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 KNOTS BECOMING NORTHWEST 20 TO 25
KNOTS IN THE AFTERNOON. LAKE WATERS ROUGH. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
LIKELY.
.MONDAY...NORTH WINDS 15 TO 20 KNOTS DECREASING TO 5 TO 10 KNOTS IN
THE EVENING. LAKE WATERS CHOPPY.
$$
CHRISTENSEN
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH
COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED FOR THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
1102 AM EST THU MAR 27 2003
ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS FROM JUPITER INLET TO OCEAN REEF OUT 60 NM AND GULF
COASTAL WATERS FROM EAST CAPE SABLE TO CHOKOLOSKEE OUT 20 NM AND CHOKOLOSKEE TO
BONITA BEACH OUT 60 NM...INCLUDING THE WATERS OF BISCAYNE BAY AND LAKE
OKEECHOBEE.
AMZ650-670-272130-
COASTAL WATERS FROM JUPITER INLET TO DEERFIELD BEACH, FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM JUPITER INLET TO DEERFIELD BEACH, FL EXTENDING FROM 20 NM TO 60 NM-
1102 AM EST THU MAR 27 2003
...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH UNTIL 5 PM...
.THIS AFTERNOON...SOUTH WINDS 15 TO 20 KNOTS. SEAS 2 TO 4 FEET NEARSHORE UP TO
5 FEET IN THE GULF STREAM. INTRACOASTAL WATERS CHOPPY. GUSTY WINDS AND
HIGH SEAS IN NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH FREQUENT LIGHTNING. SOME
THUNDERSTORMS COULD BE SEVERE.
.TONIGHT...SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 KNOTS. SEAS UP TO 4 FEET
SUBSIDING TO 2 FEET. INTRACOASTAL WATERS A MODERATE CHOP. SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY IN THE EVENING.
.FRIDAY...SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 KNOTS. SEAS 2 FEET OR LESS.
INTRACOASTAL WATERS A LIGHT CHOP.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 KNOTS. SEAS 2 FEET OR LESS.
INTRACOASTAL WATERS A LIGHT CHOP.
.SATURDAY...WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 KNOTS BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE
WINDS LESS THAN 5 KNOTS IN THE EVENING. SEAS 2 FEET OR LESS.
INTRACOASTAL WATERS A LIGHT CHOP.
.SUNDAY...LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS LESS THAN 5 KNOTS AFTER MIDNIGHT
BECOMING WEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS INCREASING TO 25 TO 30 KNOTS IN THE
EVENING. SEAS UP TO 5 FEET BUILDING TO 12 FEET. INTRACOASTAL WATERS
VERY ROUGH. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY.
.MONDAY...NORTH WINDS 20 TO 25 KNOTS. SEAS 8 TO 14 FEET.
INTRACOASTAL WATERS ROUGH.
$$
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH
EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED FOR
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL THUNDERSTORM WATCH
1115 AM EST THU MAR 27 2003
ATLC COASTAL WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO JUPITER INLET OUT TO 60NM
AMZ550-570-280330-
FLAGLER BEACH TO COCOA BEACH 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
FLAGLER BEACH TO COCOA BEACH OUT TO 20 NM-
1115 AM EST THU MAR 27 2003
...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IN EFFECT FOR THE ADJACENT COASTAL
WATERS UNTIL 500 PM...
...SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION...
.THIS AFTERNOON...WIND SOUTHEAST 15 TO 20 KNOTS THIS AFTERNOON. SEAS
BUILDING TO 4 TO 6 FEET LATE. INTRACOASTAL WATERS A MODERATE CHOP.
WINDS AND SEAS LOCALLY HIGHER IN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
.TONIGHT...WINDS SOUTHEAST TO SOUTH 15 TO 20 KNOTS BECOMING
SOUTHWEST OVERNIGHT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FEET. INTRACOASTAL WATERS A MODERATE
CHOP. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
.FRIDAY...WINDS SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 KNOTS. SEAS 2 TO 4 FEET.
INTRACOASTAL WATERS A LIGHT CHOP. SCATTERED SHOWERS.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...WIND BECOMING SOUTHWEST 10 KNOTS. SEAS 2 TO 3 FEET.
.SATURDAY...WIND SOUTHWEST 10 KNOTS BECOMING SOUTHEAST IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 TO 4 FEET. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE.
.SUNDAY...WIND BECOMING SOUTHWEST 15 KNOTS SHIFTING TO NORTHWEST AND
INCREASING TO 20 KNOTS. SEAS BUILDING TO 5 TO 7 FEET DURING THE DAY.
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
.MONDAY...WINDS NORTHWEST 20 KNOTS. SEAS 5 TO 7 FEET.
$$
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH
EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED FOR
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL THUNDERSTORM WATCH
1115 AM EST THU MAR 27 2003
ATLC COASTAL WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO JUPITER INLET OUT TO 60NM
AMZ555-575-280330-
COCOA BEACH TO JUPITER INLET 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
COCOA BEACH TO JUPITER INLET OUT TO 20 NM-
1115 AM EST THU MAR 27 2003
...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IN EFFECT FOR THE ADJACENT COASTAL
WATERS UNTIL 500 PM...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...
.THIS AFTERNOON...WIND SOUTHEAST 20 KNOTS. SEAS BUILDING TO 4 TO
6 FEET. INTRACOASTAL WATERS CHOPPY. WINDS AND SEAS LOCALLY
HIGHER NEAR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
.TONIGHT...WIND SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS. SEAS 3 TO 5 FEET
AND UP TO 6 FEET OFFSHORE. INTRACOASTAL WATERS A MODERATE CHOP IN
OPEN AREAS. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
.FRIDAY...WIND SOUTHWEST 10 KNOTS...BECOMING SOUTHEAST DURING THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 TO 3 FEET. INTRACOASTAL WATERS A LIGHT CHOP.
SCATTERED SHOWERS EARLY.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...WIND SOUTHWEST 10 KNOTS. SEAS 2 TO 3 FEET.
.SATURDAY...WIND SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST 10 KNOTS BECOMING SOUTHEAST IN
THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 TO 3 FEET.
ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
.SUNDAY...WIND SOUTH 15 KNOTS DURING THE DAY...BECOMING NORTHWEST
LATE AND INCREASING TO 20 KNOTS. SEAS 3 TO 5 FEET...BUILDING TO 5 TO
7 FEET. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
.MONDAY...WINDS NORTHWEST 20 KNOTS. SEAS 5 TO 7 FEET.
$$
BRAGAW
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH
WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
1115 AM EST THU MAR 27 2003
GULF COASTAL WATERS FROM BONITA BEACH TO THE MOUTH OF THE SUWANNEE
RIVER OUT TO 60 NM
IMPORTANT NOTICE TO MARINERS...MARINE FORECASTS ARE ISSUED AT LEAST
FOUR TIMES A DAY. BOATERS ON EXTENDED TRIPS SHOULD ROUTINELY MONITOR
SUBSEQUENT FORECAST ISSUANCES AND UPDATES FOR THE LATEST MARINE
WEATHER INFORMATION.
GMZ850-870-272130-
TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER OUT TO 60 NM-
1115 AM EST THU MAR 27 2003
UPDATED TO INCLUDE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH
...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM...
.THIS AFTERNOON...SOUTHEAST THEN SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 KNOTS. SEAS
2 TO 4 FEET. BAY AND INLAND WATERS A MODERATE CHOP. WINDS AND SEAS
HIGHER IN SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
.TONIGHT...SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 KNOTS. SEAS 2 FEET OR LESS. BAY
AND INLAND WATERS A LIGHT CHOP.
.FRIDAY...SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 KNOTS. SEAS 2 FEET OR LESS.
BAY AND INLAND WATERS A LIGHT CHOP.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 KNOTS. SEAS 2 FEET OR LESS.
BAY AND INLAND WATERS A LIGHT CHOP.
.SATURDAY...SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 KNOTS. SEAS 2 FEET OR LESS. BAY
AND INLAND WATERS A LIGHT CHOP.
.SUNDAY...NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 20 KNOTS. SEAS 5 TO 7 FEET. BAY AND
INLAND WATERS CHOPPY. NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS.
.MONDAY...NORTH WINDS AROUND 20 KNOTS. SEAS 5 TO 7 FEET. BAY AND
INLAND WATERS CHOPPY.
$$
RFM/BG/DMR/DN
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
SPECIAL MARINE WARNING
GMZ856-876-271700-
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SPECIAL MARINE WARNING FOR LARGE HAIL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
1103 AM EST THU MAR 27 2003
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN RUSKIN HAS ISSUED A
* SPECIAL MARINE WARNING FOR THE COASTAL WATERS FROM...
SAN CARLOS BAY TO CAPTIVA PASS IN LEE COUNTY OUT 20 NM.
BONITA BEACH TO ENGLEWOOD OUT 20 TO 60 NM.
CAPTIVA PASS IN LEE COUNTY TO GASPARILLA PASS IN CHARLOTTE COUNTY
OUT 20 NM.
GASPARILLA PASS IN CHARLOTTE COUNTY TO ENGLEWOOD IN SARASOTA COUNTY
OUT 20 NM.
* UNTIL NOON EST
* AT 1103 AM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS...WITH WIND GUSTS OVER 34 KNOTS...OVER AND
SOUTHWEST OF CAPTIVA. THE STORMS WERE MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH.
TRONG THUNDERSTORMS CAN PRODUCE WATERSPOUTS WITH LITTLE OR NO
ADVANCE WARNING. SEEK SAFETY IMMEDIATELY.
&&
LAT...LON 2591 8300 2633 8318 2695 8238 2641 8211
2627 8243 2624 8242 2621 8246
$$
72
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
FLOOD WATCH
FLZ019-028-029-034-GAZ159>161-272200-
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
1120 AM EST THU MAR 27 2003
...A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 500 PM EST THURSDAY
AFTERNOON...
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT
UNTIL 500 PM EST THURSDAY AFTERNOON FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES
IN SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA THIS WATCH INCLUDES 3
COUNTIES...
BROOKS...LANIER AND LOWNDES.
IN NORTH FLORIDA THIS WATCH INCLUDES 4 COUNTIES...
DIXIE...LAFAYETTE...MADISON AND TAYLOR.
THE COMBINATION OF AN UPPER AND SURFACE LOW WILL MOVE FROM THE
ADJACENT GULF NORTHEAST AND ACROSS THE EASTERN PANHANDLE AND SOUTH
CENTRAL GEORGIA DURING THIS AFTERNOON AND INTO THE EARLY EVENING.
THESE SYSTEMS WILL GENERATE VERY HEAVY TO TORRENTIAL SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE WATCH AREA. THIS WOULD CREATE FAVORABLE
CONDITIONS FOR WIDESPREAD FLOODING. THEREFORE A FLASH FLOOD WATCH
HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE SOUTHEAST BIG BEND AND EXTREME SOUTH CENTRAL
GEORGIA. MINOR FLOODING IS POSSIBLE ACROSS THE REST OF THE FLORIDA
BIG BEND AND SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA. AS THE LOW SYSTEMS MOVE NORTHEAST
OF THIS AREA...BEGINNING THIS EVENING...THE THREAT OF FLOODING WILL
DECREASE.
A FLASH FLOOD THREAT EXISTS ALONG STREAMS AND CREEKS IN THE INDICATED
AREAS. THIS INCLUDES HEADWATER AREAS OF SMALL TRIBUTARY RIVERS
UPSTREAM OF THE FIRST FORECAST POINT. URBAN FLOODING IS ALSO POSSIBLE
IN POOR DRAINAGE AREAS. PEOPLE ALONG CREEKS AND STREAMS SHOULD
MONITOR WATER LEVELS FREQUENTLY IF HEAVY RAIN OCCURS. BE READY TO
LEAVE IMMEDIATELY IF FLASH FLOODING IS OBSERVED OR A WARNING IS
ISSUED. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO DRIVE IN AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS ROADWAYS.
A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THE THREAT FOR FLOODING EXISTS WITHIN THE
WATCH AREA. PERSONS IN THE AFFECTED AREA SHOULD MONITOR NOAA WEATHER
RADIO AND LOCAL TELEVISION OR RADIO. BE READY TO MOVE TO HIGHER
GROUND IF FLOODING IS OBSERVED OR A WARNING IS ISSUED.
$$
24-BLOCK
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
FLOOD WATCH
FLZ020>023-030-031-035-036-GAZ132>136-149>152-162>164-272200-
BULLETIN...IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
1117 AM EST THU MAR 27 2003
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED A FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 500 PM
EST THURSDAY AFTERNOON FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS...
IN GEORGIA...
APPLING...ATKINSON...BACON...BRANTLEY...CHARLTON...CLINCH...COFFEE...
ECHOLS...JEFF DAVIS...PIERCE...WARE AND WAYNE.
IN FLORIDA...
ALACHUA...BAKER...BRADFORD...COLUMBIA...GILCHRIST...HAMILTON...
SUWANNEE AND UNION.
A FLOOD WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN SMALL STREAMS AND CREEKS ARE EXPECTED TO
RISE TO NEAR OR ABOVE BANKFULL LEVELS. THESE RISES ARE USUALLY DUE TO
EXCESSIVE RAINFALL OR HEAVY DOWNPOURS FALLING ON AN ALREADY SATURATED
GROUND. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE EXPECTED IN
THE WATCH AREA...WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS UP TO 3 INCHES POSSIBLE FROM
STRONGER STORMS.
REMEMBER...A WATCH MEANS THAT FLOODING IS POSSIBLE BUT NOT IMMINENT.
PEOPLE IN THE WATCH AREA SHOULD KEEP ABREAST OF THE LATEST
WEATHER...AND PREPARE TO MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND SHOULD A WARNING BE
ISSUED.
$$
BROYLES
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED FOR
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL THUNDERSTORM WATCH
1115 AM EST THU MAR 27 2003
ATLC COASTAL WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO JUPITER INLET OUT TO 60NM
AMZ555-575-280330-
COCOA BEACH TO JUPITER INLET 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
COCOA BEACH TO JUPITER INLET OUT TO 20 NM-
1115 AM EST THU MAR 27 2003
...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IN EFFECT FOR THE ADJACENT COASTAL
WATERS UNTIL 500 PM...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...
.THIS AFTERNOON...WIND SOUTHEAST 20 KNOTS. SEAS BUILDING TO 4 TO
6 FEET. INTRACOASTAL WATERS CHOPPY. WINDS AND SEAS LOCALLY
HIGHER NEAR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
.TONIGHT...WIND SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS. SEAS 3 TO 5 FEET
AND UP TO 6 FEET OFFSHORE. INTRACOASTAL WATERS A MODERATE CHOP IN
OPEN AREAS. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
.FRIDAY...WIND SOUTHWEST 10 KNOTS...BECOMING SOUTHEAST DURING THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 TO 3 FEET. INTRACOASTAL WATERS A LIGHT CHOP.
SCATTERED SHOWERS EARLY.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...WIND SOUTHWEST 10 KNOTS. SEAS 2 TO 3 FEET.
.SATURDAY...WIND SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST 10 KNOTS BECOMING SOUTHEAST IN
THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 TO 3 FEET.
ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
.SUNDAY...WIND SOUTH 15 KNOTS DURING THE DAY...BECOMING NORTHWEST
LATE AND INCREASING TO 20 KNOTS. SEAS 3 TO 5 FEET...BUILDING TO 5 TO
7 FEET. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
.MONDAY...WINDS NORTHWEST 20 KNOTS. SEAS 5 TO 7 FEET.
$$
BRAGAW
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MARINE WEATHER STATEMENT
GMZ853-856-876-271730-
MARINE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
1135 AM EST THU MAR 27 2003
THIS STATEMENT INCLUDES THE COASTAL WATERS FROM...
BONITA BEACH TO ENGLEWOOD TO VENICE INLET IN SARASOTA COUNTY OUT
20 NM.
...AND IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1230 PM EST.
AT 1135 AM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS...WITH WIND GUSTS OVER 25 KNOTS...6 MILES
SOUTHEAST OF GASPARILLA ISLAND...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH. THESE
THUNDERSTORMS EXTENDED SOUTHWEST FOR 70 MILES INTO THE GULF OF
MEXICO.
MARINERS CAN EXPECT LOCALLY HIGH WAVES...DANGEROUS LIGHTNING...AND
TORRENTIAL RAIN. SEEK SAFETY IMMEDIATELY.
WIND GUSTS OF 30 KNOTS OR MORE WILL OCCUR...PRODUCING BRIEFLY ROUGH
CONDITIONS. IF AT SEA...GO BELOW DECK UNTIL THE STORM HAS PASSED.
&&
$$
LAT...LON 2653 8281 2624 8223 2646 8194 2702 8244
KL
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
SHORT TERM FORECAST
SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
1130 AM EST THU MAR 27 2003
FLZ015>019-026>029-034-GMZ755-775-271830-
DIXIE-FRANKLIN-GADSDEN-JEFFERSON-LAFAYETTE-LEON-LIBERTY-MADISON-
SUWANNEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA 20 TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
SUWANNEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA OUT TO 20 NM-TAYLOR-WAKULLA-
1130 AM EST THU MAR 27 2003
.NOW...
THROUGH 130 PM EST...SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE NORTH OVER THE FLORIDA BIG BEND AND ITS COASTAL
WATERS. SOME OF THE THUNDERSTORMS WILL PRODUCE HEAVY RAIN...GUSTY
WINDS...AND POSSIBLE SMALL HAIL.
$$
BARRY
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
SHORT TERM FORECAST
SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
1127 AM EST THU MAR 27 2003
FLZ020>022-030-035-036-GAZ132>134-149-150-162-163-271730-
ALACHUA-ATKINSON-BACON-CLINCH-COFFEE-COLUMBIA-ECHOLS-GILCHRIST-
HAMILTON-JEFF DAVIS-SUWANNEE-UNION-WARE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DOUGLAS...GAINESVILLE...HOMERVILLE...
LAKE CITY...LIVE OAK...PEARSON...WAYCROSS
1127 AM EST THU MAR 27 2003
.NOW...
THROUGH 1220 PM...THUNDERSTORMS MOVING THROUGH BRANFORD...
LIVE OAK AND JASPER WILL CONTINUE MOVING NORTH THROUGH THE SUWANNEE
VALLEY INTO GEORGIA AFFECTING MOST OF THE COUNTIES WEST OF THE
OKEFENOKEE SWAMP. THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL IS MOVING THROUGH
STATENVILLE. FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS IS LIKELY WITH THESE
THUNDERSTORMS AS 2 TO 3 INCHES OF RAINFALL AN HOUR IS LIKELY IN
THE PATH OF THE HEAVIEST THUNDERSTORMS.
$$
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
SHORT TERM FORECAST
SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
1127 AM EST THU MAR 27 2003
FLZ024-025-032-033-037-271730-
CLAY-DUVAL-NASSAU-PUTNAM-ST JOHNS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FERNANDINA BEACH...GREEN COVE SPRINGS...
JACKSONVILLE...PALATKA...ST AUGUSTINE
1127 AM EST THU MAR 27 2003
.NOW...
THROUGH 1220 PM...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE MOVING THROUGH
NORTHERN PUTNAM AND CLAY COUNTIES AND WILL MOVE INTO THE SOUTH
AND WESTSIDE OF JACKSONVILLE BY NOON. OTHER SHOWERS ARE
REDEVELOPING ALONG THE COAST OF SAINT JOHNS COUNTY. HEAVY
RAINFALL SHOULD BE EXPECTED WITH THESE THUNDERSTORMS AS THEY
MOVE NORTH AT 25 MILES AN HOUR.
$$
KEEGAN
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
SHORT TERM FORECAST
SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
1131 AM EST THU MAR 27 2003
FLZ055>057-060>062-065-GMZ856-876-271730-
BONITA BEACH TO ENGLEWOOD 20 TO 60 NM-
BONITA BEACH TO ENGLEWOOD OUT TO 20 NM-CHARLOTTE-DESOTO-HARDEE-
HIGHLANDS-LEE-MANATEE-SARASOTA-
1131 AM EST THU MAR 27 2003
.NOW...
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP OVER SOUTHWEST
FLORIDA AND SPREAD NORTH AND EAST. A LARGE AREA EXTENDING FROM 60
MILES SOUTHWEST OF LEE COUNTY...NORTH AND EAST INTO CHARLOTTE...
DESOTO...SARASOTA AND SOUTHWEST HIGHLANDS COUNTY WILL MOVE
NORTHEAST AT 25 TO 30 MPH. STRONG GUSTY WINDS...HAIL TO DIME SIZE...
HEAVY RAIN AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING WILL AFFECT VENICE EAST TO
ARCADIA AND SOUTH TO SANIBEL ISLAND. THIS AREA WILL MOVE INTO
SARASOTA EAST TO MYAKKA CITY AND PLACID LAKES BY NOON.
$$
LOEPER
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
FLZ063-066>075-271700-
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
600 AM EST THU MAR 27 2003
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH FLORIDA.
.DAY ONE...TODAY
...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON...
AN UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE WILL CROSS THE REGION TODAY. THIS
COMBINED WITH PLENTY OF ATMOSPHERIC MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY WILL
RESULT IN SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS LATE THIS MORNING INTO
THE AFTERNOON. THE STORMS WILL BE ACCOMPANIED WITH FREQUENT CLOUD TO
GROUND LIGHTNING, SMALL HAIL, AND STRONG DAMAGING WINDS TO 60 MPH
ARE POSSIBLE. THE STORMS WILL INITIALLY DEVELOP ALONG THE WEST COAST
AND INTERIOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH FLORIDA AND MOVE EAST INTO THE
EASTERN METROPOLITAN COAST. THE STORMS COULD LINGER INTO THE EVENING
HOURS ALONG THE METROPOLITAN AREAS OF PALM BEACH, BROWARD, AND
MIAMI-DADE COUNTIES.
ADDITIONAL INFORMATIONAL AND DETAILED GRAPHICS CAN BE FOUND ON THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WEB SITE AT HTTP://WWW.MIAMIWEATHER.INFO.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY
A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA ON SUNDAY
BRINGING WITH ANOTHER CHANCE FOR SCATTERED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS.
MUCH COOLER AND DRIER AIR IS EXPECTED BY MONDAY.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED TODAY.
STAYED TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER
DETAILS OR UPDATES.
$$
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
AMZ550-555-570-575-FLZ041-044>047-053-054-058-059-064-141-144-147-
272200-
EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
1101 AM EST THU MAR 27 2003
...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH UNTIL 5 PM FOR ALL OF EAST CENTRAL
FLORIDA AND THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS...
A STRONG UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE AND DEVELOPING SURFACE LOW OVER
THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO WILL MOVE EAST AND PULL MOIST UNSTABLE
AIR INTO EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA. LIGHTNING STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO
INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY THIS AFTERNOON AS THIS UNSTABLE
AIRMASS SPREADS ACROSS THE AREA.
INCREASING LOW LEVEL WINDS AND COLD AIR ALOFT WILL ALLOW STORMS TO
INTENSIFY RAPIDLY THIS AFTERNOON...AND SOME STORMS MAY BECOME SEVERE
WITH DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND LARGE HAIL. IN ADDITION...THE LOW LEVEL
SHEAR ALONG THE COASTAL COUNTIES WILL BE FAVORABLE FOR STORMS TO
ROTATE. AN ISOLATED TORNADO OR WATERSPOUT ARE BOTH POSSIBLE WITH SOME
OF THE STRONGEST STORMS THAT DEVELOP. RESIDENTS OF EAST CENTRAL
FLORIDA SHOULD MONITOR THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND SEEK SHELTER INDOORS
IF THREATENING WEATHER APPROACHES. REMEMBER DEADLY LIGHTNING OCCURS
WITH ANY STORM AND IS OFTEN LOCATED WELL AHEAD OF THE HEAVY RAIN.
HEAVY RAIN WITH STORMS TODAY MAY CAUSE MINOR FLOODING. STANDING WATER
ON ROADS AND HIGHWAYS MAY MAKE DRIVING HAZARDOUS. SLOW DOWN TO AVOID
HYDROPLANING. DO NOT DRIVE INTO AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS THE ROAD.
FOR MARINE INTERESTS...STORMS THAT DEVELOP OVER THE MAINLAND WILL
MOVE NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH AND CROSS THE INTRACOASTAL AND NEARSHORE
WATERS. STRONG WIND GUST OVER 40 KNOTS...ROUGH SEAS AND DEADLY CLOUD
TO WATER LIGHTNING ARE ALL POSSIBLE. WATERSPOUTS MAY DEVELOP WITH A
FEW OF THE STORMS. MARINERS SHOULD MONITOR THE WEATHER AND SEEK SAFE
HARBOR WELL AHEAD OF THE STORMS.
THE DEVELOPING LOW OVER THE GULF WILL INCREASE SOUTHEAST WINDS TO 20
KNOTS SOUTH OF COCOA BEACH AND A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT.
SMALL CRAFT SHOULD ALSO EXERCISE CAUTION NORTH OF COCOA BEACH.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY:
THIS WEEKEND...A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THE REGION FROM THE
NORTHWEST. A LINE OF STRONG LIGHTNING STORMS MAY DEVELOP AHEAD OF
THIS FRONT AND SWEEP ACROSS CENTRAL FLORIDA LATE SATURDAY NIGHT AND
SUNDAY.
.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
SKYWARN SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEED THIS AFTERNOON. MONITOR
NOAA WEATHER RADIO IN CASE FORMAL ACTIVATION IS REQUIRED.
$$
GLITTO
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
FLZ020>025-030>033-035>038-040-
GAZ132>136-149>154-162>166-272200-
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
1130 AM EST THU MAR 27 2003
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST
GEORGIA.
.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...
...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR ALL OF NORTH FLORIDA THROUGH 5 PM...
...FLOOD WATCH THROUGH 500 PM EST FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN
GEORGIA...APPLING...ATKINSON...BACON...BRANTLEY...CHARLTON...
CLINCH...COFFEE...ECHOLS...JEFF DAVIS...PIERCE...WARE AND WAYNE...IN
NORTH FLORIDA...ALACHUA...BAKER...BRADFORD...COLUMBIA...GILCHRIST...
HAMILTON...SUWANNEE AND UNION.
...FLOODING CONTINUES ON AREA RIVERS...
SEVERE WEATHER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL
OF NORTH FLORIDA. HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE.
A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA. PERSONS SHOULD BE ON
THE LOOKOUT FOR DETERIORATING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR
STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND
OCCASIONALLY DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
FLOOD WATCH...A FLOOD WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN SMALL STREAMS AND CREEKS
ARE EXPECTED TO RISE TO NEAR OR ABOVE BANKFULL LEVELS. THESE RISES
ARE USUALLY DUE TO EXCESSIVE RAINFALL OR HEAVY DOWNPOURS FALLING ON
AN ALREADY SATURATED GROUND. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2
INCHES ARE EXPECTED IN THE WATCH AREA...WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS UP TO 3
INCHES POSSIBLE FROM STRONGER STORMS.
REMEMBER...A WATCH MEANS THAT FLOODING IS POSSIBLE BUT NOT IMMINENT.
PEOPLE IN THE WATCH AREA SHOULD KEEP ABREAST OF THE LATEST
WEATHER...AND PREPARE TO MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND SHOULD A WARNING BE
ISSUED.
RIVER FLOODING...RIVER FLOODING CONTINUES ACROSS PARTS OF SOUTHEAST
GEORGIA AND NORTHEAST FLORIDA. RAINFALL TODAY WILL LEAD TO PROLONGED
FLOODING ON THESE RIVERS. REFER TO THE LATEST FLOOD STATEMENTS AND
WARNINGS.
NO OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT THE AREA AGAIN SATURDAY NIGHT
INTO SUNDAY. SOME THUNDERSTORMS MAY BE STRONG.
SEVERAL AREA RIVERS WILL LIKELY CONTINUE NEAR OR ABOVE FLOOD STAGE.
NO OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS REQUESTED IN NORTH FLORIDA. SPOTTERS IN
SOUTHEAST GEORGIA ARE REQUESTED TO TO SELF-ACTIVATE IF WARNINGS ARE
ISSUED FOR YOUR AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
JACKSONVILLE WEBSITE ON THE INTERNET AT http://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/JAX.
$$
SANDRIK
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
ALZ065>069-FLZ007>019-026>029-034-GAZ120>131-142>148-155>161-272230-
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
1131 AM EST THU MAR 27 2003
THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST ALABAMA...SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL
GEORGIA...THE FLORIDA BIG BEND AND EASTERN PANHANDLE...AND THE
ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS.
.DAY ONE...
THE COMBINATION OF AN UPPER AND LOWER LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE
FROM THE ADJACENT GULF NORTHEAST AND ACROSS THE FLORIDA BIG BEND AND
SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA THIS AFTERNOON AND INTO THE EARLY EVENING.
THIS COMBINATION WILL GENERATE WIDESPREAD VERY HEAVY RAIN AND
THUNDERSTORMS WHICH WOULD CREATE FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR WIDESPREAD
FLOODING ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST BIG BEND AND EXTREME SOUTH
CENTRAL GEORGIA UNTIL 5 PM THIS EVENING. THUS A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS
IN EFFECT FOR THIS AREA UNTIL THAT TIME. SOME OF THE THUNDERSTORMS
WILL BE STRONG...ESPECIALLY OVER THE COASTAL WATERS AND COASTLINES.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...
THERE WILL BE A LULL IN THE WEATHER FRIDAY AND EARLY SATURDAY. A
SQUALL LINE IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND THE
WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE LATE SATURDAY. THE LINE WILL THEN CROSS
THE LOCAL REGION FROM WEST TO EAST FROM SATURDAY EVENING THROUGH
SUNDAY MORNING. STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS MAY ACCOMPANY THE FRONT WITH
HAIL AND STRONG WINDS THE PRIMARY THREAT. IN ADDITION, LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL IS EXPECTED. DRIER AIR WILL PUSH INTO THE AREA SUNDAY
AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL PICK UP QUICKLY ACROSS THE AREA BEHIND THE
DEPARTING FRONT...WITH SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES EXPECTED FROM SUNDAY
AFTERNOON INTO MONDAY MORNING ACROSS THE COASTAL WATERS. HAZARDOUS
WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
SOME OF THESE STORMS MAY APPROACH SEVERE LIMITS...AND SPOTTER
ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED LATER TODAY. LIKEWISE...SPOTTERS SHOULD
BE ALERT TO WIDESPREAD FLASH FLOODING ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST BIG BEND
AND EXTREME SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA AND MINOR FLOODING ELSEWHERE.
FOR ADDITIONAL WEATHER INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE VIA OUR WEB SITE AT http://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TLH/ OR
LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...LOCAL TELEVISION OR RADIO STATIONS.
$$
24-BLOCK
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chadtm80
13 counties are now under advisories, watches, or severe weather warnings.
Alachua County
Coastal Volusia County
Flagler County
Inland Volusia County
Lake County
Marion County
Northern Brevard County
Orange County
Osceola County
Polk County
Putnam County
Seminole County
Southern Brevard County
St. Johns County
Sumter County
Alachua County
Coastal Volusia County
Flagler County
Inland Volusia County
Lake County
Marion County
Northern Brevard County
Orange County
Osceola County
Polk County
Putnam County
Seminole County
Southern Brevard County
St. Johns County
Sumter County
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-
Stormsfury
- Category 5
- Posts: 10549
- Age: 53
- Joined: Wed Feb 05, 2003 6:27 pm
- Location: Summerville, SC
Thunderstorms are firing up in Florida.
http://weather.cod.edu/analysis/loops/r ... pl?Florida
Latest RUC QPF outputs show the potential for heavy rainfalls in Central Florida, but particularly SW Florida towards the Everglades.
http://www.rap.ucar.edu/weather/model/d ... rcp&loop=1
http://weather.cod.edu/analysis/loops/r ... pl?Florida
Latest RUC QPF outputs show the potential for heavy rainfalls in Central Florida, but particularly SW Florida towards the Everglades.
http://www.rap.ucar.edu/weather/model/d ... rcp&loop=1
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-
wx247
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 14279
- Age: 41
- Joined: Wed Feb 05, 2003 10:35 pm
- Location: Monett, Missouri
- Contact:
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0341
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1236 PM CST THU MAR 27 2003
AREAS AFFECTED...FL
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 78...
VALID 271836Z - 272000Z
SUPERCELLS IN NCNTRL FL WILL HAVE A LARGE HAIL/HIGH WIND THREAT
WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR A BRIEF ISOLATED TORNADO OVER THE NEXT FEW
HOURS. OTHER SEVERE STORMS NEAR TAMPA BAY WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL
FOR LARGE HAIL.
OUTFLOW BOUNDARY AS SEEN FROM JACKSONVILLE 88D HAS MOVED SW
ACROSS NCNTRL FL AHEAD OF SEVERE CONVECTION IN ALACHUA AND LEVY
COUNTIES. SUPERCELL JUST WEST OF GAINSVILLE MAY TEMPORARILY HAVE
A SLIGHT INCREASE IN TORNADO POTENTIAL AS THE STORM INTERACTS
WITH THE BOUNDARY. AS THE BOUNDARY MOVES SWWD AND INTERACTS WITH
OTHER STORMS...THE THREAT FOR LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS WILL
BE ENHANCED.
..BROYLES.. 03/27/2003
ATTN...WFO...MFL...MLB...TBW...JAX...TAE...
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1236 PM CST THU MAR 27 2003
AREAS AFFECTED...FL
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 78...
VALID 271836Z - 272000Z
SUPERCELLS IN NCNTRL FL WILL HAVE A LARGE HAIL/HIGH WIND THREAT
WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR A BRIEF ISOLATED TORNADO OVER THE NEXT FEW
HOURS. OTHER SEVERE STORMS NEAR TAMPA BAY WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL
FOR LARGE HAIL.
OUTFLOW BOUNDARY AS SEEN FROM JACKSONVILLE 88D HAS MOVED SW
ACROSS NCNTRL FL AHEAD OF SEVERE CONVECTION IN ALACHUA AND LEVY
COUNTIES. SUPERCELL JUST WEST OF GAINSVILLE MAY TEMPORARILY HAVE
A SLIGHT INCREASE IN TORNADO POTENTIAL AS THE STORM INTERACTS
WITH THE BOUNDARY. AS THE BOUNDARY MOVES SWWD AND INTERACTS WITH
OTHER STORMS...THE THREAT FOR LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS WILL
BE ENHANCED.
..BROYLES.. 03/27/2003
ATTN...WFO...MFL...MLB...TBW...JAX...TAE...
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Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
-
wx247
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 14279
- Age: 41
- Joined: Wed Feb 05, 2003 10:35 pm
- Location: Monett, Missouri
- Contact:
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 79
STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
215 PM EST THU MAR 27 2003
THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
SOUTH FLORIDA
COASTAL WATERS
EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 215 PM UNTIL 700
PM EST.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS
TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS ALONG AND 50 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST
OF A LINE FROM 45 MILES EAST OF KEY WEST FLORIDA TO 40 MILES WEST
NORTHWEST OF WEST PALM BEACH FLORIDA.
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA.
PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING
WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE
WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION... CONTINUE...WW 78...
DISCUSSION...FAVORABLE SHEAR PROFILES ACROSS S FL FOR SUPERCELLS AS
MID LEVEL JET EXTENDS ACROSS AREA. AS AIRMASS HAS BECOME
MODERATELY UNSTABLE...EXPECT THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP EWD ACROSS S
FL INCLUDING KEYS. ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE LIKELY ASSOCIATED WITH
SUPERCELLS ALONG WITH LARGE HAIL.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND
GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500.
MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24030.
...HALES
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Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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wx247
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 14279
- Age: 41
- Joined: Wed Feb 05, 2003 10:35 pm
- Location: Monett, Missouri
- Contact:
What county are you in?
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Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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wx247
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 14279
- Age: 41
- Joined: Wed Feb 05, 2003 10:35 pm
- Location: Monett, Missouri
- Contact:
Okay... keep us updated! Stay safe everyone!
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Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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