Imagine this 2004 season like 1941

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cycloneye
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Imagine this 2004 season like 1941

#1 Postby cycloneye » Tue Jul 27, 2004 1:37 pm

http://weather.unisys.com/hurricane/atl ... index.html

Can you imagine this 2004 season doing the same as the 1941 season when the first storm formed yes on 9/11 and only it was a 2 month season September and October.But look at the tracks some of the only 6 systems on that year took where Florida was a target.Also to note the CV season was dead that year.I am posting this only for information only but please dont begin to say that cycloneye is downplaying the season because I am not at all as a matter of fact my 13/8/3 numbers that I forecasted at april 15 will stand firm and not change during the whole season. :)
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#2 Postby Hurricanehink » Tue Jul 27, 2004 1:55 pm

Wow, talk about a late start. A lot of activity near the Gulf and Bahamas, though. Just curious, did they have recon then? Maybe there were more Cape Verde storms. There certainly could have been more storms that simply didn't affect land.
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#3 Postby Anonymous » Tue Jul 27, 2004 2:21 pm

Well, if it was this year...

Tropical Storm Alex would hit Texas at about 45 mph.

Hurricane Bonnie would hit Texas at 90 mph.

Hurricane Charley would spin off the US East Coast as an 80 mph storm.

Hurricane Danielle would batter Honduras as a 120 mph storm.

Hurricane Earl would strike South Florida as a DESTRUCTIVE category 3 storm causing billions of dollars in damage. It would then strike the Panhandle as a category 1 hurricane.

Finally, A weak Tropical Storm Frances would hit the West coast of Florida at 50 mph.

Sounds like Hurricane Season 2004 would be rather destructive.
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#4 Postby cycloneye » Tue Jul 27, 2004 2:24 pm

~Floydbuster wrote:Well, if it was this year...

Tropical Storm Alex would hit Texas at about 45 mph.

Hurricane Bonnie would hit Texas at 90 mph.

Hurricane Charley would spin off the US East Coast as an 80 mph storm.

Hurricane Danielle would batter Honduras as a 120 mph storm.

Hurricane Earl would strike South Florida as a DESTRUCTIVE category 3 storm causing billions of dollars in damage. It would then strike the Panhandle as a category 1 hurricane.

Finally, A weak Tropical Storm Frances would hit the West coast of Florida at 50 mph.

Sounds like Hurricane Season 2004 would be rather destructive.


It shows that you dont have to have an active season to have many landfalls but with only 6 named systems at 1941 the % of landfalls was way up.It only takes one to then have all the damage.
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#5 Postby Swimdude » Tue Jul 27, 2004 2:48 pm

I could go for that season. Texas is OVERDUE for a nice hurricane. See my signature. :grr:
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#6 Postby Yankeegirl » Tue Jul 27, 2004 2:59 pm

I agree with ya Swim dude... I live in Houston too, and I wasnt here for Alicia... But yes, I think we are overdue as well....
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#7 Postby Stormsfury » Tue Jul 27, 2004 4:00 pm

Anyways, 1941 isn't a match ...

From 1939 to 1941 ... the EQ PAC was in a strong warm episode ... (strong El Niño) ... no data in regards to QBO (since datasets extend only back to 1948).

SF
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#8 Postby PTrackerLA » Tue Jul 27, 2004 4:21 pm

Even if we only have 3 storms, if they are all hurricanes and hit land it could be worse than 2003 even with all the storms. I predict 10/7/4 for the rest of the season.
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#9 Postby The Dark Knight » Tue Jul 27, 2004 4:52 pm

I agree.....
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#10 Postby HURAKAN » Tue Jul 27, 2004 7:51 pm

Anything is possible but no season is like the other.
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