Is ex 97L trying to come back or we can stick a fork?

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cycloneye
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Is ex 97L trying to come back or we can stick a fork?

#1 Postby cycloneye » Fri Jul 23, 2004 6:34 am

Image

A little ball of convection has formed southsouthwest of Jamaica but will this convection be part of a comeback of ex97L or it is over for it and we can stick a fork.But whatever this area does it looks like it will track towards Belize and the Yucatan as the steering will move it that way.
Last edited by cycloneye on Fri Jul 23, 2004 6:39 am, edited 2 times in total.
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#2 Postby bahamaswx » Fri Jul 23, 2004 6:36 am

Stick a fork in it.
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#3 Postby The Dark Knight » Fri Jul 23, 2004 6:36 am

Maybe it is......
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#4 Postby chadtm80 » Fri Jul 23, 2004 7:06 am

Fork 97L
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#5 Postby cycloneye » Fri Jul 23, 2004 7:15 am

I didn't mention my take on it but stick a fork.
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#6 Postby tailgater » Fri Jul 23, 2004 7:58 am

No fork yet, I've tracking the remnants across Jamaica to Cayman Isle now south of west tip Cuba I think once the trough to the NE starts lifting it will be on again IMHO :roll:
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Not dead yet.

#7 Postby Stormcenter » Fri Jul 23, 2004 8:02 am

Not dead yet but on serious life support.
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Re: Not dead yet.

#8 Postby jlauderdal » Fri Jul 23, 2004 8:12 am

Stormcenter wrote:Not dead yet but on serious life support.


Pitchfork!! We are really reaching for development. 2-4 more weeks and we will all be getting the chance to wake up in the middle of the night and check sat pics, models, etc. Don't worry our time will come.
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#9 Postby rbaker » Fri Jul 23, 2004 8:56 am

said it before, and will say it again, as long as convection is there over water and keeps firing its still a wave, just not the same wave as it was two days ago when it was almost a depression. Besides pressures have been running last night around 1011-1013mb range, which is lower than normal.
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Re: Not dead yet.

#10 Postby Stormcenter » Fri Jul 23, 2004 9:13 am

jlauderdal wrote:
Stormcenter wrote:Not dead yet but on serious life support.


Pitchfork!! We are really reaching for development. 2-4 more weeks and we will all be getting the chance to wake up in the middle of the night and check sat pics, models, etc. Don't worry our time will come.


LMAO!!!!!!!! :lol:
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#11 Postby Josephine96 » Fri Jul 23, 2004 10:01 am

I also say Raise the White Flag on that system.. it's dead in the water
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#12 Postby Steve » Fri Jul 23, 2004 10:02 am

>>as long as convection is there over water and keeps firing its still a wave

Indeed it is. The northern energy got sapped and merged into what is now 98L. The southern energy is just that, wave energy. It's not particularly strong, but if it intersects with any fronts or other 'features' that happen to be in the Gulf when it crosses, it could be the proverbial spark. Needless to say, much of the convection is racing ahead. But the wave is not. It's slowed down considerably since Tuesday. For now, it's potential heat for whatever, but it shouldn't be forked until it's outta there.

Steve
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#13 Postby rbaker » Fri Jul 23, 2004 8:04 pm

yea, most people already had the provovial fork in it, well take a look at satellite pictures now. Not saying its back completely, but most people wanted to put "the white flag on this one". Pressures are still relatively low in the are from about 1011-1012, and where these storms keep firing up is in the same place, so those supposely fast easterlies are not racing it off to the west, or else it would have been in Honduras or Belize by now. Is everyone going to jump back on the band wagon now?
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#14 Postby lilbump3000 » Fri Jul 23, 2004 8:10 pm

Well it has flared up well these past several hours. I still dont believe it will develop but about 2 days ago i stuck the fork in it, but now im taking the fork out a little bit. This system just might have a chance if it sits there.
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#15 Postby Dean4Storms » Fri Jul 23, 2004 8:41 pm

Alot of folks put a fork into the wave that was to become Andrew once upon a time too. Never say never in the tropics.
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rbaker

#16 Postby rbaker » Fri Jul 23, 2004 8:49 pm

dean4storms, could have not said it better.
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#17 Postby bahamaswx » Fri Jul 23, 2004 8:50 pm

And there's also no point in watching dead, convection-less, circulation-less, dried up waves until they show potential.
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#18 Postby Stormchaser16 » Fri Jul 23, 2004 8:57 pm

Why shouldnt we have stuck a fork in it? It lost ALL convection, had no amount of circulation left, and still does not have any circulation, we stuck a fork in it because we saw no further potential for development and still do not see any rbaker. I think you are ragging on the people who stuck a fork in it just a tad too much........ its a wave, with some convection, that is it, that is all it is likely to be anytime soon.
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#19 Postby bahamaswx » Fri Jul 23, 2004 8:59 pm

Stormchaser16, could have not said it better.
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#20 Postby corpusbreeze » Fri Jul 23, 2004 9:05 pm

Bret in 1999 developed out of a wave just like this one.
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