Here We Go again!!!!!!!!!! :rolleyes:

Wnghs2007 · #1 Postby **Wnghs2007** » Wed Jul 21, 2004 11:11 pm

Well Guess what folks. No sooner than I read a post about this wave being in the death zone. Than does convection start simply out of nowhere to refire. Yes in the last few frames a nice little flare has started to build on what looks to be a weak MLC. Now lets see if this can continue.

IR-Vis

Regular IR

I know its not much yet but atleast its better than an hour ago. :wink:

Hyperstorm · #2 Postby **Hyperstorm** » Wed Jul 21, 2004 11:22 pm

Even though there is some dry air and I don't expect the same amount of convection that occurred last night, there should be a blowup soon.

Wait until 7:00 in the morning and you'll really see the difference....

Guest · #3 Postby **Guest** » Wed Jul 21, 2004 11:23 pm

We shall see. Funny what the weather can do just when you give up!

Wnghs2007 · #4 Postby **Wnghs2007** » Wed Jul 21, 2004 11:24 pm

NEWeatherguy wrote:We shall see. Funny what the weather can do just when you give up!

Im never a quitter and I wont quit giving my hope that this thing will become our first TD. I still think it is a possibility before it rams into the Central American Coastline.

Anonymous · #5 Postby **Anonymous** » Wed Jul 21, 2004 11:27 pm

Yep noticed that convection also. To me it also has seemed to have slowed it's motion just a wee bit.

Hyperstorm · #6 Postby **Hyperstorm** » Wed Jul 21, 2004 11:28 pm

Actually, there is a blowup of convection that is located just south of Cuba at this time. It will be interesting to see if the wave continued moving WNW during the day and is now refiring near its axis further north. It could also be more related to the upper trough nearby, but very interesting indeed. If no major blowup occurs near the MLC near 16N 72W, then I would assume that the wave outran the convection and is located over Cuba. If that's the case, then the system may reach southern Florida tomorrow and the MLC to the south will dissipate soon. I'm not sure on that though and I'll keep continuity thinking the wave is still just southeast of Jamaica tonight.

Interesting setup here tonight...

Typhoon_Willie · #7 Postby **Typhoon_Willie** » Wed Jul 21, 2004 11:28 pm

Lets hope that this storm is not a quitter

bahamaswx · #8 Postby **bahamaswx** » Wed Jul 21, 2004 11:44 pm

I don't see much refiring.

Wnghs2007 · #9 Postby **Wnghs2007** » Wed Jul 21, 2004 11:46 pm

bahamaswx wrote:I don't see much refiring.

Give it a few hours and then we can talk! :wink:

But it is in the Begining stages. So just give it some time and a nice blob SHOULD. appear. Im not saying that it will just saying that looking at all the data it SHOULD appear.

bahamaswx · #10 Postby **bahamaswx** » Wed Jul 21, 2004 11:51 pm

I doubt it will compare to what we saw this morning.

Wnghs2007 · #11 Postby **Wnghs2007** » Wed Jul 21, 2004 11:52 pm

bahamaswx wrote:I doubt it will compare to what we saw this morning.

We shall see!

#12 Postby **Stormcenter** » Thu Jul 22, 2004 12:28 am

I think it's in the process of pulsating upward.
It should look impressive tomorrow am.

Anonymous · #13 Postby **Anonymous** » Thu Jul 22, 2004 12:48 am

I agree 100% at least I hope so.

#14 Postby **cycloneye** » Thu Jul 22, 2004 6:17 am

Well it is over 7:00 AM and it does not compare from yesterday to today at his time as yesterday there was already a big blob south of Hispanola and this morning no big deep convection blowup has occured.

Aquawind · #15 Postby **Aquawind** » Thu Jul 22, 2004 6:31 am

Dang the luck....

#16 Postby **Trader Ron** » Thu Jul 22, 2004 6:35 am

Stick a Fork in it. You could see it was falling apart yesterday around 5:00 PM.

Ten days and counting for zero storms in July.

The Dark Knight · #17 Postby **The Dark Knight** » Thu Jul 22, 2004 7:18 am

Hmmmmmm.......

Hyperstorm · #18 Postby **Hyperstorm** » Thu Jul 22, 2004 7:18 am

As cycloneye already discussed, there is no major blowup of convection this morning. It looks like dry air has a lot to do with this. Wxman57 was right when he said that the wave encountered a hot spot SE of the upper low. If it really wanted to develop, we would be seeing strong convection right now. I wouldn't quite stick a fork on it just yet, though. Talk to me in about 2 days and we'll see for sure what this system might do. However, now it looks like the GOM threat (at least the eastern half) is diminishing somewhat.

Wave in Central Atlantic looking good this morning, we need more convection over the center, though.

Major convection crisis in the Tropical Atlantic...

Website · #19 Postby **Brent** » Thu Jul 22, 2004 9:12 am

It looks like crap. Yesterday at this time it had already blown up. :grr:

Anonymous · #20 Postby **Anonymous** » Thu Jul 22, 2004 10:22 am

Nothing to get excited about. Don't mean to sound discouraging here, but once again, absolutely nothing is going on. I also noticed a huge area of dry air in the central tropical Atlantic on the tropical outlook, via AccuWeather. It doesn't look good at this time.

Give it till mid or late August..............

Here We Go again!!!!!!!!!! :rolleyes:

Here We Go again!!!!!!!!!! :rolleyes:

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