Hurricane Season 2004 is here along with my 7 year anniversary.
Flooding tropical rains this week for Houston-Galveston. 5-10" and higher storm totals. Here is the forecast discussion.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
330 AM CDT MON JUN 7 2004
...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL LIKELY THIS WEEK ACROSS SOUTHEAST TEXAS...
.DISCUSSION...
IT LOOKS LIKE IT'S GOING TO BE A BUSY WEATHER WEEK ACROSS PORTIONS
OF SOUTHEAST TEXAS WITH THE THREAT OF LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL. DEEP
TROPICAL MOISTURE IS BEGINNING TO STREAM OUT OF THE WESTERN
CARIBBEAN SEA...THE SOUTHERN GULF OF MEXICO AND THE EASTERN PACIFIC
TOWARD TEXAS. IT IS A BIT TOO EARLY TO TELL EXACTLY WHERE THE
HEAVIEST RAINS WILL FALL...BUT IT DOES APPEAR THAT SOME PORTIONS OF
SOUTHEAST TEXAS MAY EXPERIENCE SOME FLOODING WITH 5 TO 10 INCH
RAINFALL TOTALS...AND MAYBE EVEN MORE...NOT OUT OF THE QUESTION IN
THE NEXT 3 OR 4 DAYS. DEEP TROPICAL MOISTURE IN COMBINATION WITH
UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES...A DEVELOPING DIVERGENT FLOW ALOFT...A
STRENGTHENING LOW LEVEL JET AND TRAINING OF CELLS POINT TOWARD A
HEAVY RAINFALL EVENT ON TUESDAY...BUT IT CANNOT BE RULED OUT THAT
SOME HEAVY RAINFALL MAY BE OBSERVED AS EARLY AS THIS AFTERNOON IN
OUR SOUTHWEST COUNTIES. WILL MENTION LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL POSSIBLE
THIS AFTERNOON DOWN THERE AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL LIKELY AREAWIDE
ON TUESDAY. IF THE GFS IS CORRECT...WE WILL BE UNDER A PROLONGED
PERIOD OF HIGH PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES OF 1.90 TO 2.20 INCHES.
WILL CALL FOR INCREASING POPS THIS AFTERNOON AND RAISE THEM TO
LIKELY TOMORROW AREAWIDE. WILL KEEP HIGH POPS IN THE FORECAST
THROUGH THURSDAY AND TAPER THEM DOWNWARD AT THE END OF THE WEEK AND
NEXT WEEKEND.
THIS WEEK HAPPENS TO BE THE THREE YEAR ANNIVERSARY OF TROPICAL STORM
ALLISON. 42/46
&&
.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SCEC ALL WATERS THIS MORNING.
&&
Deep Moisture Alert!
and a little precaution never hurt anyone.
