The windshear forcast for June 5th - June 8th is still the same as last times. The Bay of Campeche and some of the Northern GOM is still in a very bad environment for development. Anything to wonder in there will be shread to peices. But in the next 36 hours, the winds are suppost to calm down in the North GOM and only limit the windshear down in the Bay of Campeche. The Caribbean is finally getting better, windhear seems to be slowing down and the environment is getting better for Tropical Development. But also in the next 36 hours, shear is support to develop over the islands of Cuba, Jamaica, Hispaniola, and Puerto Rico. This shear will spread from Puerto Rico up into Belize and into the BOC, blocking the entrance to the GOM with shear. So if anything does develop and tries to move north...it will be caught in shear. This will last through the forcast period. Off the coast of africa..there is a large portion of shear that just seems to sit there. It has not moved or weakened at all since the last forcast. It begins right off the coast of Morocco and streatches into the Cape Verdes and almost reaches the Windward/Leeward islands. Anything the will come off the African coast will continue West and maybe develop for a short time but soon get caught in this large shear environment. The only area not really affected by shear is in the middle of the Atlantic. Its the only place free of shear and is the only real place as to were tropical development can occur. For most of the forcast anyways. Any thoughts?
http://www.wunderground.com/data/640x480/atlm_shear.gif
Windshear Forcast
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- FWBHurricane
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