INVEST 92L is UP....

Derecho · #1 Postby **Derecho** » Thu Jun 03, 2004 9:40 am

Geez, I don't even watch African Waves in June and I saw it first, people are slipping around here.... :-)

http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc_pages/04_ ... _full.html

Lindaloo · #2 Postby **Lindaloo** » Thu Jun 03, 2004 9:45 am

You are the man with the good eye Derecho. Something to watch.

Derecho · #3 Postby **Derecho** » Thu Jun 03, 2004 9:46 am

No eye, I just stopped by NRL to look at the EPAC invest, and saw 92L up.....

No model runs yet.

Lindaloo · #4 Postby **Lindaloo** » Thu Jun 03, 2004 9:47 am

Well thanks for staying on top of things. Can't wait to see the model runs.

OtherHD · #5 Postby **OtherHD** » Thu Jun 03, 2004 9:52 am

I'm shocked to see the NRL put an invest up for something so small and climatologically unfavorable. Did greatone get a promotion?

KatDaddy · #6 Postby **KatDaddy** » Thu Jun 03, 2004 9:52 am

Quite unusual to see an early season invest off the African Coast. It looks like a small area of thunderstorms.

#7 Postby **vbhoutex** » Thu Jun 03, 2004 9:54 am

Thanks Derecho!! :roll:

Looks relatively healthy for this early in the season. I haven't looked at anything yet, but my guess is we won't be watching it for too long. Conditions in that area just aren't the best to sustain development.

Derecho · #8 Postby **Derecho** » Thu Jun 03, 2004 9:54 am

OtherHD wrote:I'm shocked to see the NRL put an invest up for something so small, disorganized, and climatologically unfavorable. Did greatone get a promotion?

BWAAHHAHAHAAHAHA!

Actually I don't know how disorganized it is. QS is an old one and only got half of it. I'm having trouble loading the loop at NRL.

Sadly the PSU ship and buoy site is defunct, looked at the crappy Oceanweather map and there really aren't enough reports to get a sense of anything.

I'm anxiously awaiting the first person to proclaim that "It can't develop because there isn't enough coriolis at 8 North."

#9 Postby **Dean4Storms** » Thu Jun 03, 2004 9:58 am

I can make out a weak surface circulation when you put it in loop. I also saw an outflow boundary. Something to watch anyway.

Lindaloo · #10 Postby **Lindaloo** » Thu Jun 03, 2004 10:02 am

OtherHD wrote:I'm shocked to see the NRL put an invest up for something so small and climatologically unfavorable. Did greatone get a promotion?

We are doomed. :lol:

#11 Postby **vbhoutex** » Thu Jun 03, 2004 10:11 am

Scatt, like Derecho said only shows half but suggests a POSSIBLE attempt at a LLCC forming around 8N, 20W, as does the visible loop at NRL.

At least it is something to follow

AS TO THE PROMOTION Derecho's first comment said it all!!!!

OHD, r u studying to be a stand up comic when you go to Miami?

#12 Postby **wx247** » Thu Jun 03, 2004 10:14 am

Get out the maginfying glass for 92L!! LOL

Website · #13 Postby **Brent** » Thu Jun 03, 2004 10:14 am

Where did this come from? :eek:

I'm seriously sleeping on the job and so are a lot of people here. Wake up!!!! :wink:

It's a nice little area.

Ola · #14 Postby **Ola** » Thu Jun 03, 2004 10:36 am

Derecho wrote:I'm anxiously awaiting the first person to proclaim that "It can't develop because there isn't enough coriolis at 8 North."

its gonna crash into south america!!!!!

LOL, After so many years watching tropical systems, I am shocked to see people year after year making those same comments.

Anything above 5 north is fair game, and 99.999% of the time if a system develops it will not hit south america. Only tropical waves do that or a tropical cyclone once very 100 years or so.

HurricaneGirl · #15 Postby **HurricaneGirl** » Thu Jun 03, 2004 11:00 am

Why do they call them Invests??

https://www.youtube.com/user/senorpepr · #16 Postby **senorpepr** » Thu Jun 03, 2004 11:24 am

It's simply means it's a wave they are investigating. There's really nothing too official about it. They issue 90-series numbers to systems they are watching for development (invests) and assign 80-series numbers to test storms. Hopefully that answered your question

#17 Postby **MWatkins** » Thu Jun 03, 2004 11:51 am

I don't see anything official that triggered the invest...no model runs...no metwatch status anywhere...and the 11:30 TWO gives the all clear.

Could be that there are transmission problems and all of this is actually happening and I'm just not seeing it.

Otherwise...what gives with the invest? Either there's a real invest in the works and it is being COMPLETELY neglected in the TWO...or there is no legit invest.

MW

HurricaneGirl · #18 Postby **HurricaneGirl** » Thu Jun 03, 2004 11:54 am

Yes Mike it did!! See, I learned something new today! I was also wondering about the numbers too and you answered that as well. Thanks.

#19 Postby **dixiebreeze** » Thu Jun 03, 2004 12:09 pm

I did notice in the TWD this morning, that a "small but significant swirl" was noted, but I didn't expect it to lead to an Invest! :eek:

Thanks, Derecho

Scott_inVA · #20 Postby **Scott_inVA** » Thu Jun 03, 2004 12:10 pm

MWatkins wrote:I don't see anything official that triggered the invest...no model runs...no metwatch status anywhere...and the 11:30 TWO gives the all clear.

Could be that there are transmission problems and all of this is actually happening and I'm just not seeing it.

Otherwise...what gives with the invest? Either there's a real invest in the works and it is being COMPLETELY neglected in the TWO...or there is no legit invest.

MW

I'm glad Derecho hit the Navy page as I wasn't going to today.
No, as of 1PM EDT the tropicals haven't initialized on the Invest. Even the typically TD-happy UKMET and GFS had nothing but RA there in the last runs. I'll try running it again tonight.

Don't know what to add, Mike, except possibly USN has fleet activity INVOF the Invest so it's there for them. Just a guess on my part.

Scott

INVEST 92L is UP....

INVEST 92L is UP....

Interesting and Surprising

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