This Could Become Alex!

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This Could Become Alex!

#1 Postby Storm Man » Sun May 23, 2004 8:28 am

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#2 Postby wx247 » Sun May 23, 2004 9:10 am

I am not totally convinced.
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#3 Postby HURAKAN » Sun May 23, 2004 9:12 am

Probably but not surely.

Sandy Delgado
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#4 Postby dixiebreeze » Sun May 23, 2004 9:24 am

Don't cut off my limb :lol: I say it's very possible.
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#5 Postby Storm Man » Sun May 23, 2004 9:26 am

SURFACE SYNOPTIC FEATURES...
SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS ACROSS THE CARIBBEAN FROM 17N66W THROUGH
A 1009 MB LOW CENTERED S OF HAITI NEAR 16N72W CONTINUING W ALONG
15N75W THEN SW ACROSS COSTA RICA NEAR 10N85W. SEE SIGNIFICANT
CLOUDS/CONVECTION BELOW.
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#6 Postby wx247 » Sun May 23, 2004 9:26 am

dixiebreeze wrote:Don't cut off my limb :lol: I say it's very possible.


No limb cutting here... I would say, if anything, the chances are best for only a weak TD.
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#7 Postby george_r_1961 » Sun May 23, 2004 1:05 pm

No tropical development.
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#8 Postby Josephine96 » Sun May 23, 2004 2:42 pm

I think it could develop :wink:
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#9 Postby Matthew5 » Sun May 23, 2004 2:43 pm

Once the low just south of Hati shoots out into the Atlatnic some models hint at something. http://www.goes.noaa.gov/GSSLOOPS/prvs.html
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#10 Postby vbhoutex » Sun May 23, 2004 2:49 pm

See everything streaming off to the East just N of the islands? Thjat is called beign sheared away. It is a broad trough of low pressure and multiple vortices developing all over,with an attendant low pressure area, but there is almost no chance of development. Harbinger of things to come? Possibly! It is early to even see this much of that type of activity.
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#11 Postby wx247 » Sun May 23, 2004 3:25 pm

vbhoutex wrote:See everything streaming off to the East just N of the islands? Thjat is called beign sheared away. It is a broad trough of low pressure and multiple vortices developing all over,with an attendant low pressure area, but there is almost no chance of development. Harbinger of things to come? Possibly! It is early to even see this much of that type of activity.


Exactly. Come back here (as in... this area) when the shear lifts and then we could have something... assuming we have nice looking waves like these in the Atlantic presently.
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#12 Postby vacanechaser » Sun May 23, 2004 3:33 pm

vbhoutex wrote:See everything streaming off to the East just N of the islands? Thjat is called beign sheared away. It is a broad trough of low pressure and multiple vortices developing all over,with an attendant low pressure area, but there is almost no chance of development. Harbinger of things to come? Possibly! It is early to even see this much of that type of activity.


I agree... Don't hold your breath... The shear is way to strong and does not look likely to relax anytime soon.. No need to wish-cast.. There will be plenty to track soon enough..
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#13 Postby MGC » Sun May 23, 2004 7:11 pm

It will not happen yet. But keep looking...............MGC
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#14 Postby abajan » Sun May 23, 2004 9:44 pm

Looks like it's gonna be one heck of a season...IMHO.

Fasten your seatbelts folks.
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#15 Postby HURAKAN » Sun May 23, 2004 11:22 pm

PROBABLY, TIME WILL TELL.

Sandy Delgado
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#16 Postby weatherlover427 » Mon May 24, 2004 6:29 am

I feel some TLC in this forum. :) Come on! Let's hear it for Alex!!
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#17 Postby Hurricanehink » Mon May 24, 2004 2:22 pm

Hip hip horray! Alex is just around the corner... well, let's hope so.
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Looks the same

#18 Postby george_r_1961 » Mon May 24, 2004 2:57 pm

That system looks the same on sattelite today as it did yesterday. No better..no worse. There is a narrow timeframe for tropical development but it appears less likely than it did yesterday.
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