I'm not going to say anything more than this...
The convective pattern down there (8N 52W) looks more like an August system than a late May one.
In fact the whole IR4 satellite image looks like a fast-forward to 2 months from now:
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/WATL/IR4/20.jpg
I checked...we're not even in phase with an MJO maxima...that pettered out a few days ago.
MW
Wave Near 8N 52W
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Wave Near 8N 52W
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weatherlover427
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timNms
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Looks to be some shear coming out of the SW
http://wwwghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/GOES/goeseasthurr.html click on animate
http://wwwghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/GOES/goeseasthurr.html click on animate
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ncweatherwizard
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Just to clear up any confusion, I'm pretty sure that he's referring to the little wave near S Amer, not the big mess in the Carib.
I hadn't even paid attention to the wave (it's exam crunch time), but it does look pretty impressive given the situation (not developmentally but just unusually). Also look at the loop, and notice that there was a blob of convection associated with the wave earlier. Although it did not persist and was nothing but a blob, I'd say that is somewhat unusual for a wave to hold intact this early and this far west and be able to form much of any convection.
Of course, we've got this sizable ridge down there, and also shear is actually very low--about 5 to 10kts, so the wave would likely be healthy.
I hadn't even paid attention to the wave (it's exam crunch time), but it does look pretty impressive given the situation (not developmentally but just unusually). Also look at the loop, and notice that there was a blob of convection associated with the wave earlier. Although it did not persist and was nothing but a blob, I'd say that is somewhat unusual for a wave to hold intact this early and this far west and be able to form much of any convection.
Of course, we've got this sizable ridge down there, and also shear is actually very low--about 5 to 10kts, so the wave would likely be healthy.
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Anonymous
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