NHC sees possible formation of Agatha within next 36 hours

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Wnghs2007
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NHC sees possible formation of Agatha within next 36 hours

#1 Postby Wnghs2007 » Thu May 20, 2004 7:51 pm

Image

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/tafb/danger_pacbw.gif

Well here is the TWO:

000
ABPZ20 KNHC 202211
TWOEP
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
4 PM PDT THU MAY 20 2004

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

THERE HAS BEEN SOME INCREASE IN ORGANIZATION WITH THE AREA OF
DISTURBED WEATHER NOW CENTERED ABOUT 450 MILES SOUTH OF MANZANILLO.
ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO AS THE
SYSTEM MOVES SLOWLY TO THE NORTHWEST.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH
FRIDAY.

FORECASTER FRANKLIN

So there you go looks pretty good chance of development in 90E!!! :multi: :multi: :multi: :101:
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#2 Postby Matthew5 » Thu May 20, 2004 7:56 pm

It is looking very much like a tropical depression right now 8-)
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#3 Postby HURAKAN » Thu May 20, 2004 8:13 pm

I think Agatha will form soon and Mexico may be afected.

Sandy Delgado
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#4 Postby lilbump3000 » Thu May 20, 2004 8:18 pm

Let the seasons begin.
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#5 Postby Aquawind » Thu May 20, 2004 8:20 pm

Right on schedule..IR looks like some rotation and some deep convection near it.. 8-)


http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html
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#6 Postby MWatkins » Thu May 20, 2004 9:39 pm

Hey...that's a new graphic. Looks like the TPC is taking a que from the Navy. I like it.

MW
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#7 Postby wx247 » Thu May 20, 2004 10:01 pm

If that convection can hold together, we will have ourselves a depression very soon!
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#8 Postby MGC » Thu May 20, 2004 10:11 pm

Looks very promising for our first EPAC TC.......MGC
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#9 Postby wx247 » Fri May 21, 2004 8:01 am

Yes, here is this morning EPAC Outlook from NHC, too!

000
ABPZ20 KNHC 211020
TWOEP
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
4 AM PDT FRI MAY 21 2004

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE WITH THE AREA OF DISTURBED
WEATHER CENTERED ABOUT 450 MILES SOUTH OF MANZANILLO. THIS SYSTEM
HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION OVER THE NEXT DAY
OR SO AS THE SYSTEM MOVES SLOWLY TO THE NORTHWEST.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH
SATURDAY.

FORECASTER FRANKLIN
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#10 Postby Typhoon_Willie » Fri May 21, 2004 9:05 am

Wow our first EPAC system... Cool something to track that is close by home.
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