A mid-level circulation at Caribbean

#1 Postby **cycloneye** » Sun May 16, 2004 7:14 pm

http://storm2k.org/Weather-Central/Trop ... lantic.htm

The caribbean paragrafh of the discussion from Berg notes that NO surface low has formed.Now let's see if the area persists for more than 24-36 hours and if so then more close scrutiny has to be made and what the models say in their future runs will be important to follow but regardless of what comes out of this area if anything this is like a warmup for the season.

Derek Ortt · #2 Postby **Derek Ortt** » Sun May 16, 2004 7:17 pm

Definately is a mid-level circulation. Discussed the possibility myself in the evening discussion. However, I have seen so many of these in this area and less than half ever make it down to the surface, so too soon to become all that concerned, IMO

Anonymous · #3 Postby **Anonymous** » Sun May 16, 2004 7:18 pm

the MLC is very evident on shortwave IR imagery. Don't be surprised if this one weakens and another one develops if we see development. We can sometimes go through multiple circulations during this stage.

#4 Postby **cycloneye** » Sun May 16, 2004 7:23 pm

But the shear has to lessen greatly for it to get going.

Josephine96 · #5 Postby **Josephine96** » Sun May 16, 2004 7:30 pm

Come on LLC and less wind shear.. :wink:

lol

#6 Postby **dixiebreeze** » Sun May 16, 2004 8:42 pm

When is the shear forecast to dissipate?

A mid-level circulation at Caribbean

A mid-level circulation at Caribbean

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