South Carib

#21 Postby **wx247** » Sun May 16, 2004 4:32 pm

chadtm80 wrote:Yes, but there is just something about these Late may Blobs that gets my blood PUMPING.. lol

You are not alone Chad. This forum has blossomed in posting activity within the last 48 hours. As soon as the Atlantic season approaches... watch out!!

#22 Postby **cycloneye** » Sun May 16, 2004 4:52 pm

Yeah Chad anyone that posts about a blob someplace in the atlantic,GOM or caribbean will get all the attention and the forum becomes very active even if nothing happens.

#23 Postby **dixiebreeze** » Sun May 16, 2004 5:53 pm

chadtm80 wrote:Yes, but there is just something about these Late may Blobs that gets my blood PUMPING.. lol

And why not --- that's why we're here. Bring on the Blobs.

#24 Postby **wxman57** » Sun May 16, 2004 5:58 pm

Although convection has waned this afternoon, the GFS continues to try to spin something up later next week:

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... _144.shtml

The 144hr GFS doesn't indicate too much shear for development. For now, just something to watch. Might have a slight chance of development if it survives another 3-5 days.

Anonymous · #25 Postby **Anonymous** » Sun May 16, 2004 6:23 pm

wxman57 wrote:Although convection has waned this afternoon, the GFS continues to try to spin something up later next week:

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... _144.shtml

The 144hr GFS doesn't indicate too much shear for development. For now, just something to watch. Might have a slight chance of development if it survives another 3-5 days.

Agreed...if this low were to do anything it would take a while just like most other Caribbean systems. The models are also beginning to trend westward with time. This sort of reminds me of May 2002, when the NHC issued the tropical disturbance statement.

Anonymous · #26 Postby **Anonymous** » Sun May 16, 2004 6:25 pm

Btw, based on the latest European run, the low will only have about six days to develop into a true tropical system before acquiring extratropical characteristics over Cuba by day 7.

chadtm80 · #27 Postby **chadtm80** » Sun May 16, 2004 7:16 pm

CARIBBEAN...
PERSISTENT CONVECTION REMAINS OVER PARTS OF THE SW CARIBBEAN
ALTHOUGH THE STRONGEST STORMS HAVE SHIFTED NWD FROM PANAMA/COSTA
RICA TO OVER OPEN WATERS E OF NICARAGUA SINCE YESTERDAY. THE
CONVECTION HAS BEEN CYCLING THROUGH PERIODS OF STRONGER/WEAKER
INTENSITY...AND NOW APPEARS TO BE IN A RELATIVE LULL. WATER
VAPOR AND VISIBLE IMAGERY DO SUGGEST THAT THE STRONG CONVECTION
FROM EARLIER IN THE DAY CAUSED THE DEVELOPMENT OF A MID-LEVEL
CIRCULATION NEAR 12N82W BUT THERE IS NO EVIDENCE OF A SURFACE
CIRCULATION. AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE IS ALIGNED OVER THE AREA FROM
THE SW CARIBBEAN NWD TO THE YUCATAN CHANNEL AND WLY UPPER FLOW
IS ADVECTING MUCH OF THE CIRRUS DEBRIS EWD INTO THE ATLC.
ELSEWHERE...A LARGE AREA OF SHOWERS IS MOVING ACROSS THE LEEWARD
ISLANDS FROM THE ATLC BUT THIS APPEARS TO BE DUE TO WEAK
LOW-LEVEL CONVERGENCE AHEAD OF A MINOR TROUGH ABOUT 250 NM E OF
THE ISLANDS.

southerngale · #28 Postby **southerngale** » Sun May 16, 2004 7:18 pm

rofl

chadtm80 · #29 Postby **chadtm80** » Sun May 16, 2004 7:26 pm

Why I dont know what your talking about :lol:

southerngale · #30 Postby **southerngale** » Sun May 16, 2004 7:36 pm

I knew I should have quoted your post Chad...ya lil sneak!!

chadtm80 · #31 Postby **chadtm80** » Sun May 16, 2004 7:37 pm

<--- Still clueless.. lol

#32 Postby **cycloneye** » Sun May 16, 2004 7:38 pm

Chad what happened was that you posted the november 30th TWO by error instead of what now you have posted.

chadtm80 · #33 Postby **chadtm80** » Sun May 16, 2004 7:39 pm

come again? :wink:

chadtm80 · #34 Postby **chadtm80** » Mon May 17, 2004 3:18 pm

Still got some storms down there.. Growing slightly from this morning. Hey, I just cant let it go.. lol

South Carib

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