18Z update is posted. A very strong STY Nida -- tied as the strongest cyclone in 2004 -- is battering the Philippines. Meanwhile, TD 05W is weakening as it makes landfall in Vietnam, TS 06W is becoming stronger while following in Nida's wake, and Invest 93B still promises hope for development.
Enjoy!
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Tropical Update: 16 May
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Invest 93B is getting organized...
Code: Select all
WTIO21 PGTW 162200
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC/
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 162151Z MAY 04//
RMKS/
1. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMCONSUL CALCUTTA AND AMEMBASSY DHAKA
2. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY COLOMBO AND AMCONSUL MADRAS
3. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN
A 180 NM RADIUS OF 18.8N7 89.9E6 WITHIN THE NEXT 06 TO 24 HOURS.
AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL
CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO
BE 25 TO 30 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 162030Z2 INDICATES THAT A
CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 18.4N3 89.8E5. THE SYSTEM IS
MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS.
4. REMARKS: THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 18.1N0
91.2E2, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 18.4N3 89.8E5, APPROXIMATELY 250 NM
SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF CALCUTTA. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE
IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE CONVECTION IS CONSOLIDATING OVER A
PARTIALLY EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. UPPER LEVEL
CONDITIONS ARE IMPROVING WITH GOOD DIFFLUENCE EQUATORWARD AND
WEAKER VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED
AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1002
MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL
CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO GOOD.
5. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED
BY 172200Z2.//
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