ITS MAY 15

[AussieMark]

Its May 15.

Guess what that means, Yep its the start of the Eastern Pacific Hurricane Season.

Wonder what massive hurricanes will develop this year and let us watch their beauty without bothering anyone.

WIll any Majors form.
Will any Hurricanes form before the Atlantic's first
Will we see any Major Hurricane landfalls.

all these qustions will be answered over the next few months.

Ao let the games begin.

[AussieMark]

000
ABPZ20 KNHC 151109
TWOEP
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
4 AM PDT SAT MAY 15 2004

TODAY IS THE FIRST DAY OF THE 2004 EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC
HURRICANE SEASON...WHICH EXTENDS THROUGH NOVEMBER 30TH. LONG-TERM
SEASONAL AVERAGES FOR THE NUMBER OF NAMED STORMS AND HURRICANES ARE
15 AND 9...RESPECTIVELY.

HERE IS THE LIST OF NAMES FOR 2004:

NAME PRONUNCIATION
------------------------------
AGATHA
BLAS
CELIA
DARBY
ESTELLE
FRANK
GEORGETTE
HOWARD
ISIS (EYE SIS)
JAVIER (HA VEE AIR)
KAY
LESTER
MADELINE
NEWTON
ORLENE (OR LEAN)
PAINE
ROSLYN
SEYMOUR
TINA
VIRGIL
WINIFRED
XAVIER (ZAY VIER)
YOLANDA (YO LAHN DA)
ZEKE

THE TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK IS ISSUED FOUR TIMES A DAY...AT 4
AM...10 AM...4 PM AND 10 PM PACIFIC TIME. IT BRIEFLY DESCRIBES
SIGNIFICANT AREAS OF DISTURBED WEATHER AND THEIR POTENTIAL
FOR TROPICAL STORM FORMATION.

A SEPARATE PRODUCT...THE SPECIAL TROPICAL DISTURBANCE STATEMENT...
MAY BE ISSUED AT ANY TIME TO DESCRIBE STRONG...FORMATIVE
WEATHER SYSTEMS THAT HAVE NOT YET REACHED TROPICAL DEPRESSION
STATUS. THE SPECIAL TROPICAL DISTURBANCE STATEMENT IS ISSUED UNDER
THE WMO HEADER WOPZ41 KNHC AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIADSAEP.

A STANDARD PACKAGE OF PRODUCTS...CONSISTING OF THE TROPICAL CYCLONE
FORECAST/ADVISORY...AND THE CYCLONE DISCUSSION...IS ISSUED EVERY
SIX HOURS FOR ALL ONGOING TROPICAL CYCLONES. PUBLIC ADVISORIES ARE
ALSO ISSUED FOR TROPICAL CYCLONES THREATENING LAND AREAS. IN
ADDITION...A SPECIAL ADVISORY PACKAGE MAY BE ISSUED AT ANY TIME TO
ADVISE OF SIGNIFICANT UNEXPECTED CHANGES OR TO MODIFY WATCHES OR
WARNINGS.

AN ADDITIONAL PRODUCT...OF WHICH USERS MAY BE LESS FAMILIAR...IS THE
TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATE. THE TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATE IS A BRIEF
STATEMENT TO INFORM OF SIGNIFICANT CHANGES IN A TROPICAL CYCLONE OR
TO POST OR CANCEL WATCHES OR WARNINGS. IT IS USED IN LIEU OF OR TO
PRECEDE THE ISSUANCE OF A SPECIAL ADVISORY PACKAGE. TROPICAL
CYCLONE UPDATES...WHICH CAN BE ISSUED AT ANY TIME...CAN BE FOUND
UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ61 KNHC...AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCUEP.

TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY.

FORECASTER AVILA/LAWRENCE

[ColdFront77]

I heard that the Mexican coastline, which must mean the Eastern Pacific is expected 29 tropical cyclones this year.

[Anonymous]

I heard that the Mexican coastline, which must mean the Eastern Pacific is expected 29 tropical cyclones this year.

You may have heard 19 NS....29 is way out there.