Will caribbean be at high risk or not this 2004 season?

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Will the caribbean be at high risk or not this season?

High risk
6
60%
Moderate risk
4
40%
Low risk
0
No votes
 
Total votes: 10

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cycloneye
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Will caribbean be at high risk or not this 2004 season?

#1 Postby cycloneye » Fri May 07, 2004 2:58 pm

Hopefully the systems go away from the islands fishing but the pattern that is shaping up suggests that the caribbean will see some storms and hurricanes travel from the eastern atlantic as low latitud systems and also homegrown systems will form in the caribbean.This poll is for the caribbean only.
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#2 Postby Hurricanehink » Fri May 07, 2004 3:23 pm

I have a feeling a storm will brew in there, or a few, but nothing too big. Moderate risk is my opinion.
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#3 Postby Wnghs2007 » Fri May 07, 2004 5:45 pm

I would say that the Carribean is due for a big season. I dont know why but I just have this gut feeling it is. We will just have to wait and see however.
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#4 Postby Guest » Fri May 07, 2004 6:45 pm

I think the Caribbean just for being what it is, is always at risk for at least a moderate chance of being affected by tropical activity.

You got the western Carib a hot bed for early & especially late season action & then you got the eastern Carib which sits right in the path of waves that come off Africa & develop into storms.
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#5 Postby AussieMark » Fri May 07, 2004 7:35 pm

The Carribean was very Lucky last year.

If Isabel was just a few degrees south it could of been a catastrophe.

Or if she was the size she was when she hit the states, that also could of been a catastrophe.

The Lesser ANtilles have not been struck by a Major since Lenny in 1999.
Puerto Rico have not been struck by a Major since Georges in 1998.

The Eastern Carribean section has been lucky in recent years.

Even though they had nemerous Major Hurricanes strike them between 1995 and 1998.

Most notable ones were: Luis, Marilyn, Hortense (Hortense was not Major but very destructive), Georges, Lenny.

It will be 5 years this November since the last Major Hurricane to strike that part of the Carribean.

In the same timeframe Central America has had some very deadly ones in recent years.

2002 - Isidore (Yucutan Peninsula)
2001 - Michelle (Cuba)
2001 - Iris (Belize)
2000 - Keith (Belize) (weakened to Category 1 prior to landfall)

Not saying its overdue just saying it has been 4-5 years since a Major Hurricane struck the Eastern Carribean.
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Josephine96

#6 Postby Josephine96 » Fri May 07, 2004 7:52 pm

I think there is a chance of the Caribben being impacted by a storm.
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