Damage Likely to be HIGH???

[chadtm80]

Take a look at these shots of the area that should be affected by the cane.. Looks like we could be looking at some heavy damage once she passes through

Porto Alegre


criciuma


criciuma




Hope they know what there in for

[ChaserUK]

this is actually very worrying. Their buildings obviously do not take into account Hurricane Force winds? What the hell is gonna happen when this hits?

[Guest]

Oh my. If them people only knew what they were in for. And all those places along the water. This is looking very bad.

[cycloneye]

Landfall is comming very soon there so I hope that the people are prepared for the worst and hope for the best.They can expect a big flooding event(10-15 inches) and damage because of the winds.

[OtherHD]

Fortunately, Porto Alegre will be a bit to the south of the projected landfall area, unless 01L happens to take a dip to the SW right away.

[chadtm80]

Getting closer.. http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html Hold on to your butts

[PTrackerLA]

Getting closer.. http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html Hold on to your butts

Sure is getting closer and could also be strengthening. The central core is just now making landfall and the eye is only about 6 hours away IMO.

[Rainband]

Sad that they are sooo in denial of this impending disaster

[OtherHD]

Observations from Torres, Brazil, which is very close to the possible impact area:

http://autobrand.wunderground.com/cgi-b ... %2C+Brazil

[Rainband]

Thanks for the link lyle.

[OtherHD]

Here is a great map of the area:

http://worldtwitch.com/rio_grande_do_sul_map.htm

[rainstorm]

Fortunately, Porto Alegre will be a bit to the south of the projected landfall area, unless 01L happens to take a dip to the SW right away.

south of the center is where the highest surge and winds will be

[Guest]

Oh my She is getting stronger! Not looking good at all for those people.

[OtherHD]

Fortunately, Porto Alegre will be a bit to the south of the projected landfall area, unless 01L happens to take a dip to the SW right away.

south of the center is where the highest surge and winds will be

Right, but Porto Alegre is well to the south. I guess I misspoke. Also, take a look at the map I posted above. I would think PA will be protected from surge due to that strip of land separating it from the ocean.

[wxman57]

The current track appears to be about 280 degrees. On its present course, it'll pass well to the north of Puerto Alegre. Only the extreme outer bands may extend that far to the south.

[rainstorm]

Fortunately, Porto Alegre will be a bit to the south of the projected landfall area, unless 01L happens to take a dip to the SW right away.

south of the center is where the highest surge and winds will be

Right, but Porto Alegre is well to the south. I guess I misspoke. Also, take a look at the map I posted above. I would think PA will be protected from surge due to that strip of land separating it from the ocean.

thanks

[Aslkahuna]

so the strongest winds are likely to be confined to the eyewall region which means a relatively narrow swath of severe winds. However, significant tree damage can be caused in the deep tropics with winds of only 40kt or higher since the trees either are not rooted deeply or, as in the case of banana trees, not strong structurally. Finally, in the shanty town areas of the cities or in outlying villages is where we are likely to see major structural damage since homes and buildings there are not constructed to any kind of code at all. Most shanty town shacks are goners if the winds go over 50kt.

Steve

[weatherlover427]

Unfortunately that looks like a very densely populated region, which means that they could be in for some serious troubles especially since such an occurrence is so rare in that area. We can only hope and pray for the best for all who live in that area.

[rainstorm]

is the coastline flat there or mountainous? if the water is shallow an 8-10 ft surge seems likely. plus that area doesnt get alot of rain. 10+ inches in a short time could be disastrous

[Derecho]

1) Porto Alegre isn't on the ocean, it's inland on a bay separated from the ocean. And it's going to be missed by a lot. That's the place you see a shot of on the water.

2) Having checked around it seems that people don't actually LIVE on the beach down there.

3) The coast where it's making landfall seems to be comprised of a beach with very high basalt cliffs behind it.

I suspect the damage will be far less epic than people are expecting/hoping for, and, as usual, will be caused by the "boring" stuff (rain) not surge or winds.