My 2004 Atlantic Hurricane season prediction.....
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.
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Stephanie
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Garrett - I know Ma Nature does her own little thing. I do believe that the odds of a "big one" occurring keep increasing as each year passes by - but like everyone said, it doesn't mean it'll happen this year. Still, just before the new tropical season gets started, people living from the Gulf Coast to Maine are constantly reminded about what they need to do when a hurricane is approaching. Time and time again the mets remind us that we should not get complacent because this may be the year.
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MGC
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Since 2004 in nearly in the books, I thought I'd revisit my 2004 forecast that I posted back in Feburary. My bigest miss was the number of major hurricanes. I predicted 2 so I was way low. But, I don't know anyone that predicted as many majors as there were. I predicted 7 hurricanes and actual to date has been 8. My prediction of a major hurricane hitting a major city nearly came to pass. With near misses by Charley, Ivan and Jeanne. Damage predictions of billions was accurate though. As predicted, a weak El Nino has developed, squashing TC activity late in the season........MGC
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