Tropical Update: 02 Mar

[senorpepr]

A) TC Monty (14S): At 02/0625Z...
Position near 22.0S 116.1E (120nm E of Learmonth, Australia)
Movement toward the SE at 6 mph
Maximum sustained winds are 75 mph
Minimum central pressure is 976 mb
T# numbers: OVERLAND
FINAL ADVISORY

The JTWC has a lot on their plate today. First, they issued their final advisory on Monty. Monty is dissipating rapidly as it crosses land.

https://metoc.npmoc.navy.mil/jtwc/warni ... 404web.txt

B) TC Evan (15P): At 02/1125Z...
Position near 14.3S 134.6E (235nm ESE of Darwin, Australia)
Movement toward the WSW at 2 mph
Maximum sustained winds are 30 mph
Minimum central pressure is 1002 mb
T# numbers: OVERLAND
FINAL ADVISORY

The JTWC also issued their final advisory on Evan as he tracks across land. This system should be monitored for regeneration as it is expect to reenter water within the next 24-36 hours.

https://metoc.npmoc.navy.mil/jtwc/warni ... 504web.txt

C) Invest (93S): At 02/1600Z...
Position near 13.8S 69.9E (310nm SSW of Diego Garcia)
Maximum sustained winds are 35 mph
Minimum central pressure is 1000 mb
T# numbers: 1.5/1.5

The JTWC has issued the TCFA for 93S. The satellite agencies has begun calculating the Dvorak technique on 93S and has a “good” chance at development.

https://metoc.npmoc.navy.mil/jtwc/warni ... 304web.txt

D) Invest (94S): At 02/1600Z...
Position near 5.1S 93.2E
Maximum sustained winds are 15 mph
Minimum central pressure is 1006 mb

This is the first of two invests that NRL Monterey added today. 94S is located just west of Sumatra Island of Indonesia. This will be monitored over the next few days…

E) Invest (95P): At 02/1125Z...
Position near 14.3S 151.5E
Maximum sustained winds are 15 mph

The second new invest is 95P, located in the Coral Sea. This system will also be monitored as it approaches Australia.

Please utilize the above link for the latest advisory. For latest forecast tracks and satellite imagery, go to the NRL Monterey's website at: http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc_pages/tc_home.html

Remember for storm information, to include watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your local weather office.

[Hurricanehink]

Correction, 93S became 16S.

[rainstorm]

thats alot going on in that part of the world

[Typhoon_Willie]

It sure is!

[senorpepr]

UPDATE

C) Noname (16S): At 02/2230Z...
Position near 13.9S 68.7E (740nm ENE of Mauritius)
Maximum sustained winds are 35 mph
Minimum central pressure is 1000 mb
T# numbers: 2.0/2.0

The JTWC has upgraded 93S to 16S. Moderate outflow with weak shear has allowed 16S to grow. Expect a gradual stregthening trend throughout the next couple of days.

https://metoc.npmoc.navy.mil/jtwc/warni ... 604web.txt

[Aslkahuna]

considering the fact the the average number of warned cyclones in the Southern Hemisphere at the end of February is 19.1 and we are only up to 16 now, activity has been by and large below normal in the mean up to now.

Steve

[F-Bo]

considering the fact the the average number of warned cyclones in the Southern Hemisphere at the end of February is 19.1 and we are only up to 16 now, activity has been by and large below normal in the mean up to now.

Steve

Yes

I remember a month and a half ago or so there was about a 17 day lull in all southern tropical activity. No invests, disturbances, or threats. When the storms go on strike for 2.5 weeks it usually does equate to below normal averages!