A) CYC Noname (13P): At 23/0900Z...
Position near 14.8S 171.7E (280nm NE of Port Vila, Vanuatu)
Movement toward the W at 7 mph
Maximum sustained winds are 50 mph
Minimum central pressure is 991 mb
T# numbers: 3.0/3.0
13P is continuing to strengthen at a climatological rate under favorable environmental conditions. Expect westward progression until the ridge starts to break down. This will allow 13P to move in more of a southwesterly direction. Expect 13P to reach 75 mph by the 24 hour point while ending the forecast period at 48 hours as an 85 mph cyclone.
It is interesting to note that the Fiji Meteorological Service has given 13P the name “Ivy”. Fiji has “Ivy” at a lower current intensity (40 mph) with a lower forecast speed. (48 hours = 65 mph) Regardless, we’ll still with consistency and stand by the USN products. I expect the JTWC to give 13P her name by the afternoon advisory at 4pm EST (21Z).
https://metoc.npmoc.navy.mil/jtwc/warni ... 304web.txt
http://www.met.gov.fj/advisories.html
Please utilize the above link for the latest advisory. For latest forecast tracks and satellite imagery, go to the NRL Monterey's website at: http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc_pages/tc_home.html
