Will the GOM be active or not in 2004?

[cycloneye]

I say that the GOM particulary east of New Orleans will have more activity than the WGOM but time will tell about what part of the GOM will be more active.At least 3 systems will form in the GOM but this is a guess only.

The most important poll (Your Predictions) will be posted on april 1.

[Anonymous]

I think all of the GOM will be active all year.

[JCT777]

Yes, it will be active.

[wxman57]

I don't see anything to indicate that the Gulf will not see significant activity in 2004. The Atlantic SSTs will still be quite warm, not much pattern change there. There won't be any significant El Nino to reduce to total storm count. Trade winds will probably be normal, directing waves into the Caribbean and then likely into the Gulf. The QBO will be from a favorable westerly direction.

So it looks like 2004 will be an active season, and I can see no reason why the storms would avoid the GOM. I do think that the Gulf will see at least one major hurricane this season, and chances are it'll make landfall as a Cat 3-4.

[Lindaloo]

Sounds um exciting.

[Rainband]

Sounds um exciting.

I agree..aren't we sick

[ColdFront77]

There have been a few tropical storms making landfall since I have lived here in central Florida (since June 2000), but obviously nothing that interesting.

This portion of the east coast is indeed due for a landfalling hurricane... Florida is after all a "sitting duck."

[Anonymous]

Well, Lili and Isidore could have been Audrey and Camille all over again. Some big GOM cities I believe are due (ARE MORE LIKELY TO SEE A MAJOR STORM) are Corpus Christi, Bay St. Louis, Biloxi, Tampa, and New Orleans.

[Lindaloo]

Biloxi just had a hit in 98 too. I agree about New Orleans, that city is long overdue.


ROFL Rainband. I say Bring it on!!