#6 Postby paul e » Mon Jan 26, 2004 4:51 pm
Looks identical to the 12z run.. So, at least if the ETA was some kind of a trend, its only a trend within itself, and not passed on to the GFS as well. Thank god for small miracles. Also I think its important to remember that no matter what the model shows, we simply cannot expect a change in location of 25 miles one way or the other to be a statistically significant occurance. The models simply cannot forecast yet to that degree. So while a tiny displacement in the 18z eta run might create meaningful results in the forecast maps, theres absolutely no reason to believe this kind of change will be significant when the real event occurs.
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