???

[Cheesy_Poofs]

First, the Sterling AFD, is saying the CWA will be " dry- slotted " until tomorrow morning at 7AM....


000
FXUS61 KLWX 261459 AAA
AFDLWX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
1000 AM EST MON JAN 26 2004

SOME CHANGES WILL BE COMING UP WITH THE MORNING UPDATE...

WINTER STORM WARNING OVER LWR SRN MD WILL BE DOWNGRADED TO A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR OCCASIONAL -FZDZ.

12Z IAD SOUNDING SHOWS A CLASSIC FREEZING DRIZZLE SOUNDING WITH NO
MOISTURE ABV -10C INDICATING NO ICE CRYSTALS WILL BE INTRODUCED INTO
THE CLOUDS. LATEST RUC AND 12Z MESOETA SUGGEST CWA WILL REMAIN
DRY-SLOTTED THRU 12Z TUE. THIS INDICATES THE MOST LIKELY SCENARIO TO
OCCUR FOR THE REST OF TODAY AND TONIGHT THRU 7AM TUE IS "OFF AND ON"
FZDZ. 12Z MESOETA NOW BRINGS THE SLUG OF MOISTURE (700-500 RH)
ASSOCIATED WITH NEW LOW OFF HAT AFTER 12Z TUE. BUT PERHAPS BY
TOMORROW TEMPS COULD CLIMB JUST ABV FREEZING IN SOME AREAS THAT THIS
COULD BE A RAIN EVENT FOR SOME PLACES. FAVORED CLIMO LOCATIONS LIKE
WRN/NCNTRL MD AND THE NRN SHENANDAOH VALLEY WILL LIKELY SEE SOME
FZRA. WILL LEAVE WARNING FOR THE REST OF THE CWA AS IS FOR NOW AND
WILL MAKE ANY NECESSARY CHANGES IN THE AFTERNOON AFTER ALL 12Z MODEL
DATA IS IN.

LOWERED HIGHS EVERYWHERE AND WENT WITH PERSISTENCE. HIGHS PERHAPS A
DEG OR SO ABV YESTERDAYS HIGHS. STILL EVERYONE BLO FREEZING TODAY.
AGAIN THINK THAT THRU 7AM TUE THE MOST LIKELY SCENARIO TO OCCUR IS
OCCASIONAL -FZDZ AS CWA REMAINS DRY-SLOTTED.

ROSA

THEN, the WSWARNING re-issued 5 minutes later,said we should get between .25-.50" of ice tonight, and it should END by tomorrow morning.

WINTER STORM WARNING

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
1005 AM EST MON JAN 26 2004

DCZ001-MDZ004>007-009>011-013-014-VAZ041-042-052>054-262200-
ANNE ARUNDEL MD-ARLINGTON/FALLS CHURCH/ALEXANDRIA VA-CARROLL MD-
DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA DC-FAIRFAX VA-FAUQUIER VA-FREDERICK MD-
HARFORD MD-HOWARD MD-LOUDOUN VA-MONTGOMERY MD-NORTHERN BALTIMORE MD-
PRINCE GEORGES MD-PRINCE WILLIAM/MANASSAS/MANASSAS PARK VA-
SOUTHERN BALTIMORE MD-

...WINTER STORM WARNING CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT...

PERIODS OF FREEZING DRIZZLE MIXING WITH SLEET AND SNOW AT TIMES IS
EXPECTED THROUGHOUT THE DAY TODAY. THIS WILL CAUSE LIGHT ICING ON
EXPOSED SURFACES AS TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN WELL BELOW FREEZING.

AN ADDITIONAL AREA OF PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP BY EARLY
THIS EVENING ACROSS THE AREA. AT THIS TIME LATEST INFORMATION
SUGGESTS THAT THIS WILL FALL IN THE FORM OF SLEET MIXED WITH
FREEZING RAIN IN THE EVENING HOURS...BECOMING MOSTLY FREEZING RAIN
AFTER MIDNIGHT. AT THIS TIME...ICE ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE
BETWEEN ONE QUARTER AND ONE HALF INCH. ANY STEADY PRECIPITATION
OVERNIGHT TONIGHT WILL COME TO AN END EARLY TUESDAY MORNING.

ANY ICING WILL MAKE FOR HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS AS TEMPERATURES
WILL REMAIN VERY COLD THROUGH TONIGHT. TRAVEL THIS MORNING SHOULD BE
AVOIDED IF POSSIBLE...BUT IF YOU MUST VENTURE OUT...ALLOW PLENTY OF
TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER
DETAILS OR UPDATES.

$$


What's up with that? I thought the AFD said we would be dry-slotted until tomorrow morning, but the WSWARNING is saying something completely different??

[Anonymous]

Doubtless we will find out tonight...............................


Temps are starting to warm up though, we just rose four degrees in an hour under clouds and NE winds...............hmmm........................




-JEB!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

[Cheesy_Poofs]

I'm gonna watch the noon newscasts to see what they say...because the NWS is really confuseing me..the term " dry-slotted " means no precip, correct?

[Dave C]

You may have a coastal front backing in.

[Cheesy_Poofs]

Here's what I gatherd from watching the noon newscasts:

There is a chance of ice overnight tonight, and it could accumalate .25-.50....
one forecaster though, Howard Bernstien said tonight's ice will cause problems, but he's more worried about ice tomorrow afternoon, since he thinks tomorrow afternoon's ice could be moderate.