12z ETA = Going to be historic hit...

iCez2003 · #1 Postby **iCez2003** » Mon Jan 26, 2004 9:18 am

At 18 hRS it has an EVEN stronger ULL, and its developing it farther S, well it will develop farther S:

Compare this new run (RH)
http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... _018.shtml

To the old run at 24:
http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... _024.shtml

Okay just out to 24 HRs, the ULL is unbelievably strong.

Heady Guy · #2 Postby **Heady Guy** » Mon Jan 26, 2004 9:19 am

I did not think the eta came out this early.

Anonymous · #3 Postby **Anonymous** » Mon Jan 26, 2004 9:24 am

so that means tons of snow for who and how much?

tarheelwx · #4 Postby **tarheelwx** » Mon Jan 26, 2004 9:25 am

If true, a bust for the Carolinas icestorm west of 95 and north of I-20.
Tarheelwx

iCez2003 · #5 Postby **iCez2003** » Mon Jan 26, 2004 9:26 am

36 HRs is gona look good,
ETa is warmer because the ULL is stronger, but once it crashes SE temps will as well...

Anonymous · #6 Postby **Anonymous** » Mon Jan 26, 2004 9:27 am

so philadelphia on northward to New England, heavy hit for plenty of snow

Anonymous · #7 Postby **Anonymous** » Mon Jan 26, 2004 9:32 am

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... 6_036m.gif

NO! It's cranking out heavy precip over DCA metro but it appears to be sleet

.

Looking good for PHL-NYC though.

iCez2003 · #8 Postby **iCez2003** » Mon Jan 26, 2004 9:34 am

Hopefully 42 wont be that inland, but with those VVs it def wont be rain, not IMO

Anonymous · #9 Postby **Anonymous** » Mon Jan 26, 2004 9:38 am

brettjrob wrote:http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/namer/eta/12/images/eta_p06_036m.gif

NO! It's cranking out heavy precip over DCA metro but it appears to be sleet .

Looking good for PHL-NYC though.

great, so how much do you see, I'm hoping for upwards of 10.

iCez2003 · #10 Postby **iCez2003** » Mon Jan 26, 2004 9:39 am

The QPF outputs at 42 are going to be $^##$ crazy , I'll garuntee that, now when does it change back to snow for PHL?

TheWeatherZone · #11 Postby **TheWeatherZone** » Mon Jan 26, 2004 9:42 am

HOLY MOTHER OF PEARL!!!

Mike~

iCez2003 · #12 Postby **iCez2003** » Mon Jan 26, 2004 9:42 am

BET YOUR ASS!
http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... _042.shtml

Anonymous · #13 Postby **Anonymous** » Mon Jan 26, 2004 9:42 am

The 42hr QPF is a historic storm for NJ/E PA/NYC provided they're all snow. Looks like easily over a foot in 6 hours for NW NJ.

DAMMIT, didn't you guys already get this on DEC 30 2000? It's my turn now

!

dabiggiu · #14 Postby **dabiggiu** » Mon Jan 26, 2004 9:42 am

SWEET JESUS MARY AND JOSEPH

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... _042.shtml

TheWeatherZone · #15 Postby **TheWeatherZone** » Mon Jan 26, 2004 9:43 am

Thats a freaken snowstorm for PHL points north people HOLY CRAP! LOL

Mike~

Anonymous · #16 Postby **Anonymous** » Mon Jan 26, 2004 9:44 am

whats it mean, all that precip snow or some sleet? This is starting to get me really excited!!! :eek:

TheWeatherZone · #17 Postby **TheWeatherZone** » Mon Jan 26, 2004 9:44 am

Hey ICEZ man, you excited yet? I sure am, this could be a nice one dude...

I fell out of my chair, I thought it was inland but Holy Mother of Pearl, she just explodes...

Mike~

iCez2003 · #18 Postby **iCez2003** » Mon Jan 26, 2004 9:44 am

Big question tho, where does low go from there? Could it slow down drastically with that strength and the 50/50...Also, when does PHL turn back to snow?

If all snow PHL = at least 10 inches

iCez2003 · #19 Postby **iCez2003** » Mon Jan 26, 2004 9:46 am

Anyone got the soundings for ETA at like 30-36-42 for PHL/NYC/DC?

dabiggiu · #20 Postby **dabiggiu** » Mon Jan 26, 2004 9:47 am

WOW... I'M STUNNED!!!

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... _048.shtml

12z ETA = Going to be historic hit...

12z ETA = Going to be historic hit...

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