Ga/sc observations thread

[lookout]

not sure other than Stormsfury if there is any south carolinians here but if so,put it here. not sure how long i will be able to post tomorrow, power already went off once earlier and with big time ice on the way, its probably not going to last.

Currently 11:10pm, Light freezing rain. . 29.1. DP 27. East winds 12mph.

btw, temp has dropped almost 2 degrees in less than an hour and in the last 10 minutes its now 28.9. there appears to be a secondary push of colder air in south carolina. 23 in greer, 27 in greenwood.

[jshetley]

I have 22 degrees right now with light freezing drizzle here in Jonesville SC though the precip had been in the form of sleet most of the day. The GSP radar shows a slightly heavier batch of freezing rain headed my way that might cause problems with power here later tonight. Precip coverage seams to be increasing across Western Ga into SE Alabama as well.

[LarryWx]

I just hit freezing at about 12:20 AM for the first time tonight here north of the Atlanta perimeter in Fulton county. It had been steady between about 32.5 and 33 for the prior six hours or so. Perhaps this is the resumption of a slow downward trend?

A very fine drizzle seems to be falling at times with the E winds having recently increased.

[lookout]

I just hit freezing at about 12:20 AM for the first time tonight here north of the Atlanta perimeter in Fulton county. It had been steady between about 32.5 and 33 for the prior six hours or so. Perhaps this is the resumption of a slow downward trend?

A very fine drizzle seems to be falling at times with the E winds having recently increased.

larry its good to see you. i wish wwbb was up so we could see the regulars. so whats your thoughts on this amazing cad? temperature here at 12:30am is now down to 27.8. with freezing drizzle. it has been dropping steadily since about 10:30 to 11pm after holding steady and even rising a little back up to 31. ive been using a nws/faa site over the sc line as a precurser of temps here within 2 hours and its been working nicely all evening. right now that location is down to 26, dp 24. so im guessing it will be 26 here by 2:30am roughly. this second surge is moving pretty quick across north ga. athens/watk is now down to 29/30 depending on what site you believe so it looks to come your way eventually.

[LarryWx]

I just hit freezing at about 12:20 AM for the first time tonight here north of the Atlanta perimeter in Fulton county. It had been steady between about 32.5 and 33 for the prior six hours or so. Perhaps this is the resumption of a slow downward trend?

A very fine drizzle seems to be falling at times with the E winds having recently increased.

larry its good to see you. i wish wwbb was up so we could see the regulars. so whats your thoughts on this amazing cad? temperature here at 12:30am is now down to 27.8. with freezing drizzle. it has been dropping steadily since about 10:30 to 11pm after holding steady and even rising a little back up to 31. ive been using a nws/faa site over the sc line as a precurser of temps here within 2 hours and its been working nicely all evening. right now that location is down to 26, dp 24. so im guessing it will be 26 here by 2:30am roughly. this second surge is moving pretty quick across north ga. athens/watk is now down to 29/30 depending on what site you believe so it looks to come your way eventually.

lookout, good to see you also. I see that ChrisGa is also here from this area. This seems like the mother of all cads at least per the ETA model, which is most fascinating to follow. I don't recall one quite like this one with the setup of the surface faetures. Today the 850's were mainly at 6C or lower for much of north GA, which historically for Atlanta at least is well within the climo "limits" for ice to accumulate. So it was no surprise to see ice accumulate today in northeast GA. Tomorrow will be the test to see how it does with 850's near +10C. It may very well be cold enough at the surface to allow for significant accumulations. I've now fluctuating between 31.5 and 32. I see that many stations to my east especially have dropped a couple of degrees over the last couple of hours.

Looking at the precip. panels, the models as a whole give you a good bit more than me and you're currently colder. However, don't be surprised at how much many cities in the Atlanta area get closer to your temp. and very close to the Athens temp. as the strong wedge continues unabated . I'm sure you'd agree with me that your area is favored over my area for heavy precip. per the model consensus. However, I'd say that even we here have a shot at rather sig. precip. Roads have remained wet.

[lookout]

lookout, good to see you also. I see that ChrisGa is also here from this area. This seems like the mother of all cads at least per the ETA model, which is most fascinating to follow. I don't recall one quite like this one with the setup of the surface faetures. Today the 850's were mainly at 6C or lower for much of north GA, which historically for Atlanta at least is well within the climo "limits" for ice to accumulate. So it was no surprise to see ice accumulate today in northeast GA. Tomorrow will be the test to see how it does with 850's near +10C. It may very well be cold enough at the surface to allow for significant accumulations. I've now fluctuating between 31.5 and 32. I see that many stations to my east especially have dropped a couple of degrees over the last couple of hours.

Looking at the precip. panels, the models as a whole give you a good bit more than me and you're currently colder. However, don't be surprised at how much many cities in the Atlanta area get closer to your temp. and very close to the Athens temp. as the strong wedge continues unabated . I'm sure you'd agree with me that your area is favored over my area for heavy precip. per the model consensus. However, I'd say that even we here have a shot at rather sig. precip. Roads have remained wet.

Larry, gonna try and make this short since its late. i have a feeling i got a long day tomorrow with watching trees come close to falling on my house lol. the way it looks the only thing that will limit the amount of freezing rain toward the atlanta way is the actual amount of precip that falls. the eta has been extremely consistant in its precip amounts/totals for the monday timeframe and obviously indicates widespread 0.75-1.10 amounts in and around atlanta. for me in the 0z run im along the northern 1.5 inch line. the latest gfs if correct would spell a much differant story with precip but its been inconsistant with tomorrow so im more inclined to go along the etas line for that reason And the fact the eta is able to resolve this low level cold pool/resulted strong isentropic lift in the lower layers better than the gfs. the gfs cant be ignored though and i would hedge 80/20 toward the eta. (even with the gfs, south and east of athens recieves 0.50 to 1 inch) a 50 mile differance in axis of heavier/heaviest precip means a lot.bottom line it looks to me like a widespread and damazing icestorm from the atlanta metro itself on eastward. of course, especially winder eastward. chances are not reduced because of temps though because they are going to be cold. i agree with you about the temps, the way they have been dropping, continue to do so and the etas forecasted progs for tomorrow, i think most areas east of atlanta drop to 27-29. right now im at 27.1 and still dropping. the faa site i mentioned is now down to 25 with a dewpoint of 22 at 1am. it looks like its actually going to get colder there than gsp. its caught up to them and with a 22 dewpoint its possible now. so 25 here by 3am should do it. IF we continue this trend, it could be 22 or 23 here by sunrise. im positive i am going to be either 24 or 25 by sunrise. thats a lot of cold air and NOT a lot of space before it reaches atlanta. there is little doubt in my mind that atlanta itself will reach 27 or 28 by sunrise with very little if any temp recovery tomorrow. personally, im worried because i have some old oaks that almost got me back in 2000 with our last major icestorm. this one could be worse. hope my power doesnt go out before i can post in the morning!!

[lookout]

wanted to get one last reading before bed. its now down to an amazing 26.1 here at 2am. incredible how the temp has been constantly dropping the last few hours. note that athens at 2am is down to 28. lots of 30-32 readings already in the eastern atlanta metro/suburbs and the faa site across the sc line is down to 24, dewpoint 22.

[LarryWx]

One last for tonight (I think) ob from here: temp. slowly but steadily dropping and now is down to the 30.5-31 range with wet roads.

[Stormsfury]

Currently, sitting at 33º at 5 am ... fog and drizzle.

SF

[UnionSCwx]

Union, SC currently is 22.2° with very light Freezing Rain. I am not to sure the moisture is gonna get to us. It seems to be moving NE with very little if any Northern movement.

[john697]

Union, SC currently is 22.2° with very light Freezing Rain. I am not to sure the moisture is gonna get to us. It seems to be moving NE with very little if any Northern movement.

Noticed the same thing Union...moisture seems to be training thru central GA and SC...still going to be a bad day from whoever gets under the moisture. The 6z GFS and ETA seems to have the moisture further east.

BTW...hope you guys don't mind a NC person jumping in.

[UnionSCwx]

Union, SC currently is 22.2° with very light Freezing Rain. I am not to sure the moisture is gonna get to us. It seems to be moving NE with very little if any Northern movement.

Noticed the same thing Union...moisture seems to be training thru central GA and SC...still going to be a bad day from whoever gets under the moisture. The 6z GFS and ETA seems to have the moisture further east.

BTW...hope you guys don't mind a NC person jumping in.

Feel free anytime to add some info. I still think that I will be on the edge here in Union. Most of the moisture will move to my east. If it is gonna be FzR, I sorta hope it does. I would rather keep my power on Today. I work for the School system here in Union and I got the day off.