0z gfs!

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BL03
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0z gfs!

#1 Postby BL03 » Fri Jan 23, 2004 10:57 pm

Stupid gfs!!! Kills the storm!
http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/namer/gfs/00/images/gfs_p48_066l.gif



Its gfs so dont worry!
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Re: 0z gfs!

#2 Postby FLguy » Fri Jan 23, 2004 11:00 pm

BL03 wrote:Stupid gfs!!! Kills the storm!
http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/namer/gfs/00/images/gfs_p48_066l.gif



Its gfs so dont worry!


its way too dry. the differences between the ETA and GFS QPF are astounding.
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Re: 0z gfs!

#3 Postby Chris the Weather Man » Fri Jan 23, 2004 11:02 pm

FLguy wrote:
BL03 wrote:Stupid gfs!!! Kills the storm!
http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/namer/gfs/00/images/gfs_p48_066l.gif



Its gfs so dont worry!


its way too dry. the differences between the ETA and GFS QPF are astounding.



Yes, Very True
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#4 Postby Guest » Fri Jan 23, 2004 11:02 pm

Yes they are especially East of the apps........
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#5 Postby FLguy » Fri Jan 23, 2004 11:04 pm

king of weather wrote:Yes they are especially East of the apps........


i think the GFS is too dry too far west as well. i mean, give me a freaken break .25" of liquid in DCA. thats BS. the GFS has been all over the place with the event while the ETA has basically been consistent and was FIRST to see the event last weekend. the GFS is garbage.
Last edited by FLguy on Fri Jan 23, 2004 11:05 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#6 Postby thstorm87 » Fri Jan 23, 2004 11:04 pm

guess you guys will have to lower you totals after seeing this.
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Anonymous

#7 Postby Anonymous » Fri Jan 23, 2004 11:07 pm

I got THREE fricken words for you about that damn GFS.



Good For Sh!t.


That's all GFS is ever good for. Throw the son of a b!tch in the trash and bury it in the landfill.




-JEB
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#8 Postby Guest » Fri Jan 23, 2004 11:07 pm

Not Me thestorm87! They are staying!
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#9 Postby thstorm87 » Fri Jan 23, 2004 11:09 pm

dont you think the gfs would have started to catch on by now, if its indeed going to happen?
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#10 Postby FLguy » Fri Jan 23, 2004 11:09 pm

hell event he NGM is trending toward more QPF (even despite the fact that it doesnt go out far enough).

ETA:

Image

NGM:

Image

GFS:

Image

of the US generated models the GFS is clearly becoming the outlier.
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#11 Postby FLguy » Fri Jan 23, 2004 11:10 pm

thstorm87 wrote:dont you think the gfs would have started to catch on by now, if its indeed going to happen?


the gfs in some cases never catches up until 12 hours before the start of an event.
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#12 Postby BL03 » Fri Jan 23, 2004 11:11 pm

thstorm87 wrote:dont you think the gfs would have started to catch on by now, if its indeed going to happen?


GFS loses storms during this time! The best models now are the short range like the ETA!

Hopefully GFS will wake up tom!
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#13 Postby Anonymous » Fri Jan 23, 2004 11:12 pm

Like I said.........You can take that gfs and throw it out!!!!!!!!!!!!!


I don't need some half-@ssed gfs, all I need is snow lol. :)



-JEB!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
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#14 Postby Stormsfury » Fri Jan 23, 2004 11:12 pm

Actually, I like the SREF outputs ...

SF
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#15 Postby FLguy » Fri Jan 23, 2004 11:12 pm

Image
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#16 Postby FLguy » Fri Jan 23, 2004 11:13 pm

jeb you can now feel free to jizz on your screen after looking at the SREF
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Anonymous

#17 Postby Anonymous » Fri Jan 23, 2004 11:13 pm

Yeah baby the SREF ROCKS!!!!!




-JEB!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
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#18 Postby FLguy » Fri Jan 23, 2004 11:15 pm

the GFS is CLEARLY an outlier. and the SREF 24hr prob of at least 10" falls almost right within my area of heaviest accumulation.
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#19 Postby Anonymous » Fri Jan 23, 2004 11:17 pm

That fricken gfs almost gave me another heart attack!!! We almost had to call in the paramedics again!!!!!




-JEB
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#20 Postby verycoolnin » Fri Jan 23, 2004 11:19 pm

If your a SE VA guy like myself this is still good news because this is the continuos run of colder air. But the GFS isn't very good with short tem forecast (or long term for that matter), I wouldn't worry about it if you live in DC, you'll pick up signifigant snow fall (6in+)
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