Thursday Weather

[Anonymous]

It's only 4 days out and several NY and PHI stations ae saying pm lt. snow on wednesday and snow on thursday. Accuweather and weather.com say snow & wind for thursday, could anyone give a VERY EARLY snow amount forecast?
I live in Northern Ocean in Central NJ, do i have the best chance for seeing the heaviest snow?

[donsutherland1]

1evans,

My very early estimate would have you receiving 3"-6" Wednesday night into Thursday.

[Anonymous]

very cool, thankyou

[RuggieWeather]

4" to 8" with best track producing up to 10" in the sweet spot could be somewhere in NJ with bombogenesis off Delmarvia.

[NCGal]

snow from the next 2 systems? If so, what are your thoughts about accumulation?

[Anonymous]

that sweet spot, do you think it would be in Northern Ocean County( Brick, NJ) does it look as if we are going to see accumulating snow here in NJ, does it look sizeable? 8-10

[RuggieWeather]

NC Girl you will get missed on Thursday from this system, even the NWS is talking snow I don't think this time. It's us to the north that will have the fun with this one and it will be a good wind whipped powder over 6" in many areas from DC to PHL to NY city.

Coastal NJ and SE New England coast 6" to 12" near Blizzard conditions Thursday.

[Anonymous]

OM I know I'm being a nuisance wx weenie, but............

How much in N VA for Thursday anyone?



Thanks,
-Arctic Blast Jeb!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! Bring it!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

[Anonymous]

NC Girl you will get missed on Thursday from this system, even the NWS is talking snow I don't think this time. It's us to the north that will have the fun with this one and it will be a good wind whipped powder over 6" in many areas from DC to PHL to NY city.

Coastal NJ and SE New England coast 6" to 12" near Blizzard conditions Thursday.

that would rock, does this look likely?

[Colin]

Mark, I'm thinking 2-5" for you right now, maybe up to 6" if it tracks a little farther south than predicted right now.

[RuggieWeather]

This far out I'd say a good chance of 3" to 6" with potential up to a foot if Bombogenesis along VA/Delmavia coast

[RuggieWeather]

Arctic air can do magical stuff with any moisture in the air Squeezes it out and coastal storm developing with east wind and north to NW flow aloft big time convergence for snow Ration 1:20 with this air .50" Liquid and 10" of snow easy. This is quite possible in NJ.

[RuggieWeather]

GO EAGLES

[neo gravitas]

This far out I'd say a good chance of 3" to 6" with potential up to a foot if Bombogenesis along VA/Delmavia coast

Seriously. Bombogenesis. From a clipper moving se? The chance that DCA sees 12" wed/thurs is zero. The low is forecasted to deepen as it moves east, but this is not a storm where you'll see a trasnfer of energy to the coast, and therefore rapid intensification will not occur anywhere near the coastal mid-atlantic. Maybe the cape sees some real intense weather from this, but that's it. Maybe upto 6 in DCA/BWI corridor, maybe somone in the usually favored spots in NJ sees a little more. This is going to be a nice quick event, nothing to get worked up about and virtually no chance of it becoming something more.

[Anonymous]

Twenty-four hours is not enough time for cold air to get established over VA after what will amount to highs in the mid 50s Monday and upper 40s Tuesday.

There is something of a chance that the Rain/Snow line will slop up someone's parade with this on Thursday. It may be a slight chance, but folks we are still 4 days out from this event.

I still say 1 inch, MAYBE 2 inches for N VA IF the Slop Line doesn't mess with us on Thursday.

Not trying to be sarcastic, but just emphasizing a little caution.



JEB..............Cautious in N VA........but hoping for the Big Dog........

[Lowpressure]

Jeb- NWS is talking at or exceeding warning criteria for D.C, that is 4.5 locally.

[Anonymous]

Jeb- NWS is talking at or exceeding warning criteria for D.C, that is 4.5 locally.

That's good news, Lowpressure:) Thanks !!!

Four inches of snow would be pretty.



-JEB

[Lowpressure]

They did however mention your slop line in the SE counties as a possibility. I think it stays more coastal. I also am not convinced we see mid 50s tomorrow and mid 40s after that. I think mos are too high this time. Cold air may be a bit slower to exit, and certainly quick to return. I like you will watch the old slop line, but I say it stays SE of us this time. Next weekend there will be no slop line to watch for us.