New forecasts out by NOAA tonite say!!!!

[greg81988]

The latest forecast from the NOAA tonite at 7:30 say the Low will track right along the VA adn NC border then track northward. It looks like the snow will last at least 24 hours in Richmond,VA. And then even better they develop a storm Friday night that begins to spread precip over Virginia around midnight Friday. This is a big change from earlier today. What are yalls thoughts on this???

[meso_jr]

Okay... why isn't anybody responding to this person's posts? This is his second or third one that hasn't been replied to! I really can't contribute much, but I know that there are plenty of people that can. Come on, guys! Where's the love?


Jay

[rainstorm]

the 2 lows sound too close together. the track for the 1st is certainly possible

[greg81988]

the second low doenst form until the 1st is off the coast already. so that is why

[therock1811]

I'd say we don't know yet...however the possibility is out there...watch this for a few days, then we can talk more about it...

[FLguy]

lets try taking this one storm at a time...

[Lowpressure]

NWS D.C. is talking a good deal about the mid week system. To the point where they may issue winter storm info in a day or two. They are impressed with model run consistency and ensemble data. Looks like we will be talking about this one. They did mention the Saturday/weekend system but as already stated, they are focusing on the first system.

[Anonymous]

There will be a goodly amount of Sleet/FRZRA in SE VA, and that nasty Slop Line tends to have a most nasty habit of slinking NW...........Folks, we better get right CAUTIOUS about this next storm. Remember, N VA will see 50+temps on Monday and high 40s on Tuesday. I know a front will hit on Wednesday, But ya gotta realize, when you're dealing with a Low Pressure system WITH a counterclockwise circulation, ya gotta realize the reality of the Red/Green Line in the Tidewater, creeping NW straight towards yours truly.

MAAN, I HATE that darned Slop Line............................................ :bcry: :bcry: :bcry: :bcry:

Don't forget the heartbreak we endured with this feature back in December. We got 5 inches of pristine snow, only to watch the rain beat it into SLOP. You gotta face up to the infamous Red/Green Line. Hey though, the ride's FREE

That's why I have forecast 1 to 4 inches in N VA. If you live in the MTS.......get ready to rejoice. IF you live north of DC........get ready to rejoice.

Here in the N VA region at ONLY 300 feet elevation, we realize that snow is really nice to behold........but realistically we also understand that with most "snowstorms" here, we'll accept a free ride on the Red/Green Line. Absolutely NO walkers allowed on the premises lol. If you live in Virginia, you get a free ticket for LIFE on the day you were born with no questions asked. Sometimes it takes us to a winter wonderland folks, then, there are those times when it takes us straight to Slopland.

It's part and parcel of living down here folks.


-Hoping for a good snow JEB.......but facing up to the Red/Green Line.

[neo gravitas]

There should be virtually no 'slop' as you call it with the mid-week system. It's a clipper, almost all of the precip will be north of the low, it will be moving east, not north, for almost the entire period of the storm in its southern most extent so no warm ocean air can be drawn in. The front that preceds the storm should bring down plenty of cold air at all levels, should p-type is not a big issue. The prime concern for snow lovers is that even though this should be a relatively strong system for a clipper, it is still moving nw to se which means it will have limited mositure to work with. Cold may allow higher ratios further north, but its still going to be pretty dry.

[Anonymous]

Okay. So this event will have moisture issues, not warm-layer issues.

So no rain/snow problem. Thanks for setting me straight, neo gravitas.

I still cautiously predict 1 to 2 inches for N VA, maybe 4 inches in the sweet spot.


-JEB

[Anonymous]

Is there any possibility that this particular clipper could slow down and deepen anywhere near N VA and maybe give Woodbridge more snowfall?



-JEB, hopeful in N VA

[neo gravitas]

I don't think this is gonna be your big dog, under virtually any circumstance. I do think someone in the DCA/BWI corridor will see 6", but even that's probably optimistic. Brutal, brutal cold is on the way late week, and some models have cyclogenesis in the GOM from a diff impulse by then. Probably too much cold keeps this very suppressed, but if you want to dream big, that storm has more potential than mid-week's.

[Anonymous]

I don't think this is gonna be your big dog, under virtually any circumstance. I do think someone in the DCA/BWI corridor will see 6", but even that's probably optimistic. Brutal, brutal cold is on the way late week, and some models have cyclogenesis in the GOM from a diff impulse by then. Probably too much cold keeps this very suppressed, but if you want to dream big, that storm has more potential than mid-week's.

I tend to agree with you on the cold air likely suppressing any GOM storm late week/next weekend. That storm will likely offer good snow/wintry precip chances for the South.

When you say brutal, brutal cold, are you saying it will get colder than it was THIS week?


-JEB