Question.....For SF and any others

[hurricanedude]

The past week has been very warm, the Bay temp has went from 39 to 51....so it would be VERY hard to get it to snow in Coastal SE Va even if a storm were to develop.....strong onshore breeze would almost guarantee a rain storm......your thoughts?

[Stormsfury]

The past week has been very warm, the Bay temp has went from 39 to 51....so it would be VERY hard to get it to snow in Coastal SE Va even if a storm were to develop.....strong onshore breeze would almost guarantee a rain storm......your thoughts?

Ah yes, believe me, you're gonna feel a DRASTIC CHANGE in sensible weather soon enough ... let's put it this way ... even if my area DOESN'T get a little taste of wintry precip on Friday night, the low temperatures are PROGGED by CHS to be in the upper teen's/low 20's ...

SF

[WXBUFFJIM]

How about just mid 30s for VAB and freezing for highs in Norfolk Thursday and Friday. This is a bonified arctic airmass plunging into new territory. Lows in the upper teens to mid 20s seems respectiful for the tidewater area later this week. The colder temps away from the water obviously.

Hopefully you enjoyed that 78 in norfolk, VA today. It'll be 30 degrees colder Tuesday with 48 as the high, and 45 degrees colder Thursday and Friday for highs compared to today.

Jim

[hurricanedude]

yeah, that 78 wa just 2 degrees shy of the all time warmest January day...It felt good, and by no means am I complaining, I will take this anyday, forget the ice and snow...give me 78 and low s in the 60 degree range anyday!!

[Stormsfury]

You oughta see Wakefield's AFD this afternoon ...

Very interesting ...

CONTG W/ CHC POPS MON NGT SE HALF OF FA...ESP THRU MDNGT. COLDER
AMS FILTERS INTO RGN...W/ TEMPS FALLING INTO 30S/LWR 40S (THAT'S
JUST THE START). NOTICEABLY COLDER TUE...AND P-MSNY. HI TEMPS IN THE
40S. DRY/COLD WX XPCTD TUE NGT (TEMPS FALLING INTO TEENS/LWR 20S?)...
AND WED.

FOR XTNDD...THU-SUN...BROAD TROF ALOFT DOMINATES...AND DOESN'T FAVOR
STM DVLPMNT NR MDATLC RGN. NO RUN-RUN CONTINUITY WRT WK SYSTEMS
TRAVELING SE IN NWLY FLO (OUT OF CANADA)...GOING W/ P-MCLDY AND CONTD
COLD FOR NOW. UPCOMING PTRN HAS THE LUK OF JAN 2000...WHEN TRYING TO
FIGURE OUT WHICH/IF ANY SYSTEM WOULD BRING SGFNT PCPN WAS DIFFICULT
(EVENTUALLY ONE DID...WE'LL SEE IF THERE IS A REPEAT).

[FLguy]

You oughta see Wakefield's AFD this afternoon ...

Very interesting ...

CONTG W/ CHC POPS MON NGT SE HALF OF FA...ESP THRU MDNGT. COLDER
AMS FILTERS INTO RGN...W/ TEMPS FALLING INTO 30S/LWR 40S (THAT'S
JUST THE START). NOTICEABLY COLDER TUE...AND P-MSNY. HI TEMPS IN THE
40S. DRY/COLD WX XPCTD TUE NGT (TEMPS FALLING INTO TEENS/LWR 20S?)...
AND WED.

FOR XTNDD...THU-SUN...BROAD TROF ALOFT DOMINATES...AND DOESN'T FAVOR
STM DVLPMNT NR MDATLC RGN. NO RUN-RUN CONTINUITY WRT WK SYSTEMS
TRAVELING SE IN NWLY FLO (OUT OF CANADA)...GOING W/ P-MCLDY AND CONTD
COLD FOR NOW. UPCOMING PTRN HAS THE LUK OF JAN 2000...WHEN TRYING TO
FIGURE OUT WHICH/IF ANY SYSTEM WOULD BRING SGFNT PCPN WAS DIFFICULT
(EVENTUALLY ONE DID...WE'LL SEE IF THERE IS A REPEAT).

which basically plays right into what you and i were talking about as it relates to the pattern and the potential for something major in the 12-14 timeframe.

[Stormsfury]

What was funny was that I thought it resembled more of a 1996 event, but a repeat of the 2000 Carolina Crusher would work just fine for me ... (just put it 50 miles SE, and I'm all smiles...)

Anyway, I gotta check some reanalysis maps days before the 2000 event and see how they match up.

SF

[hurricanedude]

Local Mets calling for snow thursaday, where they getting that from....I dont see it mentioned on any forecast..IE wunderground ETC!!
This a reasonable shot for snow or is my local man a wishcater?

[Stormsfury]

Wunderground generally uses the NWS zone forecasts so I'd put more weight on that than Accuweather any day.