Why 92-93 analog hold no merit IMHO...

Stormsfury · #1 Postby **Stormsfury** » Sat Dec 27, 2003 2:26 pm

I've seen the 92-93 analog in another thread on WWBB. But I see NO such resemblance. I'll let you decide ... does these two maps look even remotely similar?

First of all, NO SCAND blocking, NO PV in Eastern Canada, for starters if you wanna compare actual dates 12/27/92 and currently. And to kick it off, the US is in zonal flow in 1992, while currently, 2003 ridge Eastern/Central, trough West.

Dec 27th, 1992 500mb Heights.

Dec 27th, 2003 500mb Heights.

Also, the QBO and SOI values are vastly different. The QBO values are as different as night and day on Dec 27th, 1992 and 2003. In 1992, the QBO was already WEST, meanstwhile, the QBO remains WAY NEG (EAST) now.

SOI values ---

http://stormsfury1.com/Temp/1992-2003

SST's - somewhat similar -

Again, I do NOT know why 92-93 is even considered ...

therock1811 · #2 Postby **therock1811** » Sat Dec 27, 2003 2:51 pm

I said no...not similar at all...

SnowWeatherMan · #3 Postby **SnowWeatherMan** » Sat Dec 27, 2003 3:39 pm

Not even close... 92/93 was definitely an ENSO winter, 03/04 will be more neutral if not La Nina oriented. Plus like SF mentioned, you can see the zonal in Dec 92 and the SE Ridge right now.

Guest · #4 Postby **Guest** » Sat Dec 27, 2003 3:46 pm

Nope no simularities. Cant figure out what the deal is with this and the worse yet 2001 - 2002 analog which even a few morons has suggested! Yes your a big moron if you think this winter will be like 2001 - 2002!

roarusdogus · #5 Postby **roarusdogus** » Sat Dec 27, 2003 8:43 pm

king of weather wrote: Yes your a big moron if you think this winter will be like 2001 - 2002!

Honestly, it will probably be a long time before we see another 01-02 type winter. They are rare.

#6 Postby **vbhoutex** » Sat Dec 27, 2003 10:42 pm

U R right SF! That is purely zonal in 92-93 and we are not in a zonal now for sure. Doesn't look like we will be going zonal anytime soon either. And as stated, the maps show an ENSO pattern for 92-93 which we definitely do not have this winter.

ColdFront77 · #7 Postby **ColdFront77** » Sun Dec 28, 2003 12:49 am

This implies map reading skills. Certainly the minority think these maps are similar.

#8 Postby **Stephanie** » Sun Dec 28, 2003 10:31 am

No similarities that I can see!

verycoolnin · #9 Postby **verycoolnin** » Sun Dec 28, 2003 5:22 pm

Yes your a big moron if you think this winter will be like 2001 - 2002!

2001/2002 was actaully a good winter for SE virginia, we picked up a foot of snow from one storm.

Why 92-93 analog hold no merit IMHO...

Does the 2003 map look similar to 1992?

Why 92-93 analog hold no merit IMHO...

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