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Stephanie
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#21 Postby Stephanie » Sat Dec 13, 2003 9:39 am

Great analysis Erica.

The maps that you provided looked like it could definately stay cold enough over Southern NJ for mostly snow. The freezing line doesn't really move that far north at all.
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msbee
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#22 Postby msbee » Sat Dec 13, 2003 10:03 am

This is why I left PA and NYC for the tropics!
stay warm and dry, people!
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#23 Postby Guest » Sat Dec 13, 2003 3:58 pm

Folks I dont agree with some of this forecast and I think that this poster is trying to make a big snow too far east .. The here snow amounts here are a lot like RNS from a few days ago and they are going to bust as well in the eastern sections...

I see no correlation at all to Xmas 2002 storm.... But some weenies over at WWBBB have pushed that idea. Maybe it comes from JB I dont know...


why would anyone post a graphic link of the surface and 850 t line in this istuation and then post the map which is SMALLEST and hardest to see.... in an attempt to show that the 850 zero line is really really lose when it fact it isnt

To forecast 4-8 inches in MRB ( too low) yet then go 3-7 in BALT is without merit. I am NOT saying the forecast is wrong...I dont see how BALT gets as MUCH snow as MRB when BALT 850 temp gos to +5c 950- tempos even warmer and MRB stays below zero the whole event...
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#24 Postby Guest » Sat Dec 13, 2003 6:27 pm

DT wrote:Folks I dont agree with some of this forecast and I think that this poster is trying to make a big snow too far east .. The here snow amounts here are a lot like RNS from a few days ago and they are going to bust as well in the eastern sections...

I see no correlation at all to Xmas 2002 storm.... But some weenies over at WWBBB have pushed that idea. Maybe it comes from JB I dont know...


why would anyone post a graphic link of the surface and 850 t line in this istuation and then post the map which is SMALLEST and hardest to see.... in an attempt to show that the 850 zero line is really really lose when it fact it isnt

To forecast 4-8 inches in MRB ( too low) yet then go 3-7 in BALT is without merit. I am NOT saying the forecast is wrong...I dont see how BALT gets as MUCH snow as MRB when BALT 850 temp gos to +5c 950- tempos even warmer and MRB stays below zero the whole event...


Im game. Good points DT. "If i may" i think what RNS/Erica is thinking which one could buy "Should" the coastal develop as they suggest and move due North (Coast line runs from ssw to nne and ne in some cases" which means you could have a off shore low develop off of the Delmarva which would bring a more northerly wind to the DC area and then have the low move due north and put it over or just west of NY CITY & Boston which of course as we all know would bring in a very good fetch of East to SE winds off of the atlantic farther into the NE Giving places less snow farther inland up that way then the Mid Atlantic as RNS/Erica suggest here. I could be wrong but i think this is what they are suggesting which if this happens then we"ll they are correct. Of course if the track is "Different" then this certainly wont happen.

The other points about the maps i will let RNS/Newxgirl answer because i wouldnt mind hearing that as well................My thoughts on the system are a bit different then this which of course you can see for yourself.....
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