All Frozen Event for DC, and here's why.

[DCP]

Once we're within 24 hour of an event, I like to look at current observations upstream, and radar trends to get the best picture of what will happen with a system. In looking at the 12-hour radar loop, it looks like an all frozen scenario for the DC area, but with less QPF than the models say. A slug of moisture will come through tonight, with most of the heavier precip to the north towards the Mason-Dixon line. (Richmond south and east may not get much at all.) This batch of moisture should be nearly all snow, but possibly sleet towards morning. Then, by 9am or so, the precip will end, right as temps aloft and at the surface rise above freezing. Then, I think most of Sunday is dry. It's possible some of the N and E suburbs could get some rain showers later in the day as the coastal low throws some moisture back, but that's about it. I'm calling for 2-3 inches of snow/sleet in the DC area.

The jackpot will be north-central PA through central NY state, Vermont, and the northern half of NH and most of Maine (75 miles inland). 12 inches plus is a good bet.

[Anonymous]

I'll take that, DCP!!! Three inches snow with no rain is fine with me!!!!


We don't need another drop of rain here for at least 3 weeks!!! We get too much more rain here, we will have floods. It's tough to dry out in winter when temps average in the low 40s.

I LOVE your forecast!!! Bring it on!!!!! Just leave the 'heavy at times' rain out of our region. From heavy rain, we need a break...........a LONG break......



BTW, DCP.......Welcome to Storm2K, it's always nice to see a new face!
Again, excellent forecast!

Have a wonderful day!!




JEB

[Guest]

WRONGa.... wishing really really hard doesnt make it so

Once we're within 24 hour of an event, I like to look at
current observations upstream, and radar trends to get the best picture of what will happen with a system. In looking at the 12-hour radar loop, it looks like an all frozen scenario for the DC area, but with less QPF than the models say. A slug of moisture will come through tonight, with most of the heavier precip to the north towards the Mason-Dixon line. (Richmond south and east may not get much at all.) This batch of moisture should be nearly all snow, but possibly sleet towards morning. Then, by 9am or so, the precip will end, right as temps aloft and at the surface rise above freezing. Then, I think most of Sunday is dry. It's possible some of the N and E suburbs could get some rain showers later in the day as the coastal low throws some moisture back, but that's about it. I'm calling for 2-3 inches of snow/sleet in the DC area.

The jackpot will be north-central PA through central NY state, Vermont, and the northern half of NH and most of Maine (75 miles inland). 12 inches plus is a good bet.

[wrkh99]

Anouther Lame post from DT


Why don't you explain why you think he is wrong ?