November QBO: -17.86

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Stormsfury
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November QBO: -17.86

#1 Postby Stormsfury » Sun Dec 07, 2003 10:23 pm

QBO remains quite negative (or easterly through November ... IMHO, the QBO won't go westerly until February ... what kind of implications for the winter? Well, didn't hurt the latest Nor'easter ... but a more expert opinion would suffice ...

BTW, below is the table of QBO indecies since 1948 ...

<IFRAME border=0 tag align=center src="http://www.cdc.noaa.gov/correlation/qbo.data" frameBorder=0 width="100%" height=400 target="blank"></IFRAME>
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#2 Postby RNS » Sun Dec 07, 2003 10:34 pm

1968/69 had two major events in FEB (the Lindsey storm and another). Strong east QBO values usually correlate with decreased tendency for major east coast snowstorms however there are several exceptions to that rule..the 1969 storms and the latest event are prefect examples.
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#3 Postby Stormsfury » Sun Dec 07, 2003 10:41 pm

RNS wrote:1968/69 had two major events in FEB (the Lindsey storm and another). Strong east QBO values usually correlate with decreased tendency for major east coast snowstorms however there are several exceptions to that rule..the 1969 storms and the latest event are prefect examples.


Both had VERY ACTIVE Atlantic Hurricane Seasons ... 1969 had 18 storms, 2003 had 15 (barring any MORE late season surprises) ... a good indicator in how strong the ATL signals really are right now ...

SF
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#4 Postby RNS » Sun Dec 07, 2003 10:48 pm

Stormsfury wrote:
RNS wrote:1968/69 had two major events in FEB (the Lindsey storm and another). Strong east QBO values usually correlate with decreased tendency for major east coast snowstorms however there are several exceptions to that rule..the 1969 storms and the latest event are prefect examples.


Both had VERY ACTIVE Atlantic Hurricane Seasons ... 1969 had 18 storms, 2003 had 15 (barring any MORE late season surprises) ... a good indicator in how strong the ATL signals really are right now ...

SF


This would indicate to me that the QBO influence on the overall pattern may be mitigated.
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