Boston NWS Disc talks about Blizd Conditions Sat PM

[jack615]

This is from their 330pm Disc, what do you all think, could those conditions really occur here tomorrow?

SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY WILL BE INTERESTING TO SAY THE LEAST.
LOW PRESSURE INTENSIFYING EAST OF CAPE COD WILL RESULT IN INCREASING
NORTH WINDS SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY. WE CURRENTLY EXPECT NEAR
BLIZZARD CONDITIONS SAT NIGHT FROM BOSTON AND THE NORTH SHORE INTO
MUCH OF THE MERRIMACK VALLEY. STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED
ACROSS THE COASTAL WATERS.

I AM THINKING THE SNOW WILL TAKE SOME TIME TO WIND DOWN SUNDAY
ACROSS EASTERN MASSACHUSETTS...SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE AND RHODE
ISLAND.


http://www.srh.noaa.gov/data/BOX/AFDBOX

[mike01205]

YES ask DT he was the one Honking this for a long time he deserves the credit

[Fishmn]

When everyone (Including mets being paid Bucko bucks) were saying non-event DT was the lone voice in a sea of downplayers. Kudos to you DT, we had our differences, but when it comes to forcasting you are the man. This storm was so compex that other mets were running for the hills, and you stuck to your guns.

[hooralph]

When everyone (Including mets being paid Bucko bucks) were saying non-event DT was the lone voice in a sea of downplayers. Kudos to you DT, we had our differences, but when it comes to forcasting you are the man. This storm was so compex that other mets were running for the hills, and you stuck to your guns.

Well... easy there. Through midweek he was reminding any of us in SNE how hard it would be to get heavy snow here because of the warm ocean. But... that's behind us and he has had the snow in New England for a few days now.

That said - I haven't heard much talk about the mixing lately. DT do you think Boston itself can get slammed in this? How much do you think precip gets cut down here?

[VortexMax]

We should probably follow one of DT's rules and not jump the gun on kudos too soon, but DT has done well with this system, after the initial dalliance with supressed storm track. And let me be clear, everyone has been ping pong'd by the models this week, to some extent. Let's sit back and enjoy it!

[Anonymous]

When everyone (Including mets being paid Bucko bucks) were saying non-event DT was the lone voice in a sea of downplayers. Kudos to you DT, we had our differences, but when it comes to forcasting you are the man. This storm was so compex that other mets were running for the hills, and you stuck to your guns.

Well... easy there. Through midweek he was reminding any of us in SNE how hard it would be to get heavy snow here because of the warm ocean. But... that's behind us and he has had the snow in New England for a few days now.

That said - I haven't heard much talk about the mixing lately. DT do you think Boston itself can get slammed in this? How much do you think precip gets cut down here?

DT nails most of them and is doing great with this storm, but I think #1 props has to go to JB followed by HM/MT. I'd hafta rank DT right behind them and place NWS BOX in 5th. LC, GG, etc look just about as good right now as the Oakland Raiders. No hard feelings DT...I just feel the other 3 were more optimistic about this event earlier on. As for my top 3: JB never hinched, HM pretty much stood his ground, and MT had his doubts at one point the other day, but still stood by his original prediction.

[VortexMax]

When everyone (Including mets being paid Bucko bucks) were saying non-event DT was the lone voice in a sea of downplayers. Kudos to you DT, we had our differences, but when it comes to forcasting you are the man. This storm was so compex that other mets were running for the hills, and you stuck to your guns.

Well... easy there. Through midweek he was reminding any of us in SNE how hard it would be to get heavy snow here because of the warm ocean. But... that's behind us and he has had the snow in New England for a few days now.

That said - I haven't heard much talk about the mixing lately. DT do you think Boston itself can get slammed in this? How much do you think precip gets cut down here?

Gotta admit, I think everything DT said about warm waters, early Dec, w.r.t snow in coastal locations is exactly correct, most of the time. This is quite rare though.

[hooralph]

When everyone (Including mets being paid Bucko bucks) were saying non-event DT was the lone voice in a sea of downplayers. Kudos to you DT, we had our differences, but when it comes to forcasting you are the man. This storm was so compex that other mets were running for the hills, and you stuck to your guns.

Well... easy there. Through midweek he was reminding any of us in SNE how hard it would be to get heavy snow here because of the warm ocean. But... that's behind us and he has had the snow in New England for a few days now.

That said - I haven't heard much talk about the mixing lately. DT do you think Boston itself can get slammed in this? How much do you think precip gets cut down here?

Gotta admit, I think everything DT said about warm waters, early Dec, w.r.t snow in coastal locations is exactly correct, most of the time. This is quite rare though.

Oh, I agree, and quite frankly, the forecasts right now are little different for the city (only hedging on mixing) than they were on Xmas eve, when we wound up with a sloppy 5 inches in the city, or 3/2001, or 12/30/2000. I worry all night about waking up tomorrow morning sitting at 34 degrees with a stiff E wind, as happened for all 3 of those events.