The statistical NHC98 model is by far the best performer of the models so far...but I would venture that in the end the dynamical models will catch up. This is as of 12Z today...sorry about the format. I'ld working to develop a way to publish this to a web-page that will update when the models run...but this is all I have for now:
BASIN..MODEL_NUM...TIME_FIX...Cases..Avg_Error
AL.....A98E........012........5........50
AL.....GFDL........012........3........68
AL.....BAMM........012........5........72
Al.....AVN........012........2........73
AL.....LBAR........012........5........77
AL.....BAMD........012........5........83
AL.....OFCL........012........3........85
AL.....BAMS........012........5........103
AL.....NGPS........012........2........105
BASIN..MODEL_NUM...TIME_FIX....Cases..Avg_Error
AL.....A98E........024.........5.........82
AL.....GFDL........024.........2.........98
AL.....NGPS........024.........2.........104
AL.....BAMM........024.........5.........150
AL.....BAMD........024.........5.........180
AL.....LBAR........024.........5.........182
AL.....BAMS........024.........5.........203
AL.....OFCL........024.........1.........205
MW
Odette Models so Far...Stats Models Best
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