ETA Not good

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Stormchaser16
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ETA Not good

#1 Postby Stormchaser16 » Fri Dec 05, 2003 9:25 am

Weak with the second system, and takes the first out to sea, however it is pretty cold so r/s line will be further south and east, perhaps the storm tonite will not be what it was cracked up to be?
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#2 Postby iCez2003 » Fri Dec 05, 2003 9:26 am

Depends where you are, for Philly it is great, 2nd storm looks primed too...8-14 my call for PHI
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#3 Postby Stormchaser16 » Fri Dec 05, 2003 9:27 am

Well this will be good for the corridor and just NW of there, because it will be all snow and very cold with high ratios and possibly a deformation zone. But on the flip side the ETA is weak with the precip shield for the second storm and out to sea with the first.
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#4 Postby JCT777 » Fri Dec 05, 2003 9:28 am

This would be bad news for snow lovers >100 miles north and west of the DC through BOS corridor, I would assume - as it would mean lesser amounts further north and west.
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#5 Postby Stormchaser16 » Fri Dec 05, 2003 9:30 am

Yes it definately would be a killer for the inland areas, for those hopping for snow further west, this is bad news. For the corridor and JUST NW this is the best thing that possibly could have happened as the ETA sets up great deformation zone smack over the corridor at 30 hours.
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#6 Postby njbeachwx » Fri Dec 05, 2003 9:30 am

good for me....of course I have a huge birthday party for my 5 year old. Damm I am torn. I am becoming bipolar!! SNOW, PARTY, SNOW, PARTY...
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#7 Postby JCT777 » Fri Dec 05, 2003 9:42 am

Any time it snows is a reason for a party! 8-) Looking forward to kicking back tomorrow, drinking a beer and watching the snow fall. Best way to spend a Saturday that I can think of.
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#8 Postby Anonymous » Fri Dec 05, 2003 9:50 am

Woops...misread someone's post wrong. Anyways...eta is a bit juicier for eastern New England, but there is a sharper cutoff in the western half of the region now. Next up...gfs.
Last edited by Anonymous on Fri Dec 05, 2003 9:55 am, edited 1 time in total.
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#9 Postby Stormchaser16 » Fri Dec 05, 2003 9:55 am

Not bad for Boston, in fact quite good for eastern New England, please READ how i said not good for interior NE, I.E back further into NY or northern New England, or for the places that expected 8+ further interior, it IS good for the corridor and just NW though. However if it is a trend then only coastal areas should expect the heavy stuff.
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#10 Postby Stormchaser16 » Fri Dec 05, 2003 9:59 am

In Fact Boston will probably do BETTER then interior MA or interior NE IMO. With the new track of the storm it seems more likely heavy precip will hang up for Eastern New England
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#11 Postby Anonymous » Fri Dec 05, 2003 10:10 am

Stormchaser16 wrote:In Fact Boston will probably do BETTER then interior MA or interior NE IMO. With the new track of the storm it seems more likely heavy precip will hang up for Eastern New England


Yeah, yeah, yeah...like I said I misread your original post. Just woke up and the senses are lagging behind. The entire New England coastline is getting in on 1.5" qpf now. Lookin' good.
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#12 Postby Stormchaser16 » Fri Dec 05, 2003 10:15 am

Id like to see what the GFS does with the second system, because it may seem the ETA is wrong with moving this first low out so quick, it is coming DUE north now, the stronger low to the west seems to have a hold on it, and its only a matter of time before the second stronger coastal low forms.
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#13 Postby Ababa » Fri Dec 05, 2003 10:23 am

jeez this thread got me worried.....gonna be great by me per ETA
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#14 Postby JCT777 » Fri Dec 05, 2003 10:43 am

Don't worry, Ababa. It is looking good now for your call of 10"+ in Central Park.
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#15 Postby Colin » Fri Dec 05, 2003 11:12 am

So, is it bad for me?
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Re: ETA Not good

#16 Postby Guest » Fri Dec 05, 2003 11:16 am

so are you REALLY saying 1 25" liquid -- ALL SNOW for NYC is not ood ?
Holy christ


Stormchaser16 wrote:Weak with the second system, and takes the first out to sea, however it is pretty cold so r/s line will be further south and east, perhaps the storm tonite will not be what it was cracked up to be?
Last edited by Guest on Fri Dec 05, 2003 11:28 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ETA Not good

#17 Postby donsutherland1 » Fri Dec 05, 2003 11:20 am

Stormchaser16,

Both the 12Z GFS and ETA are showing a storm that rivals the historic December 11-12, 1960 blizzard. If the storm materializes as shown on either model, this would be an incredible snowstorm for any time of the year much less early December.
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DT

#18 Postby d » Fri Dec 05, 2003 11:20 am

what are your thoughts on coastal section of NJ and LI, looks like it might be too little too late. I haven't checked out Fous data on latest runs however!!
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#19 Postby ctsnowlover » Fri Dec 05, 2003 11:21 am

I'd say the 12Z ETA and GFS may be historic for early December NYC and Boston snowfall.
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#20 Postby Stormchaser16 » Fri Dec 05, 2003 1:32 pm

DT you BOOB, read the fooking post before you make this comments, i said its not good for INTERIOR areas. Or at least not as good as it was, i said its much better for the corridor, i HATE people twisting my words so knock it off!
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