Vortex date message=Odette is more stronger=993 mbs

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cycloneye
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Vortex date message=Odette is more stronger=993 mbs

#1 Postby cycloneye » Fri Dec 05, 2003 8:12 am

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAREPNT2.shtml?

55 kts flight level winds at North Quad they found so at 11 AM they will bump up the winds.
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#2 Postby MWatkins » Fri Dec 05, 2003 8:28 am

Not bad at all for a December storm...it's probably been more or less that strong since yesterday...and it's still moving slowly but well to the east of the GFS/TPC guidance. Considering the large area of convection spread out to the east of the system...and that southwesterly shear...once it starts...will displace more thunderstorm activity to the east...looks like you're going to need to take your umbrella and wading boots to work for the next few days.

MW
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#3 Postby cycloneye » Fri Dec 05, 2003 8:37 am

MWatkins wrote:Not bad at all for a December storm...it's probably been more or less that strong since yesterday...and it's still moving slowly but well to the east of the GFS/TPC guidance. Considering the large area of convection spread out to the east of the system...and that southwesterly shear...once it starts...will displace more thunderstorm activity to the east...looks like you're going to need to take your umbrella and wading boots to work for the next few days.

MW


Yep Mike PR may get another rain event from this depending on the track.
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#4 Postby ncweatherwizard » Fri Dec 05, 2003 10:02 am

'Is the center of circulation actually moving east?' I ask. It seems more like we are having difficultly placing the center of circulation, and that it has been somewhat farther southeast than what we have been initiating at. I had suspected that the Recon fix would be as it is in the southeast quadrant; it also is nearly due east of the estimated plot last night, but I can't detect the easterly movement. But it is definitely moving east of the guidance in either case; we're not even at 15N yet. Of course, with the pressure below 1000mb, we may see a little more intensification, maybe to 55kts peak.
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