TD 20 update #1

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Derek Ortt

TD 20 update #1

#1 Postby Derek Ortt » Thu Dec 04, 2003 9:10 am

only valid if this is upgraded by NHC

http://www.nwhhc.com/atlantic20.html

forecast discussion available this afternoon
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#2 Postby JCT777 » Thu Dec 04, 2003 9:45 am

Thanks for the update, Derek. What a long, strange Atlantic tropics season this has been. And you rarely see a tropical depression or tropical storm in the Atlantic at the same time as an east coast snowstorm. But that could very well be the case in 2 days! :eek:
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#3 Postby rainstorm » Thu Dec 04, 2003 10:57 am

looking good
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Anonymous

#4 Postby Anonymous » Thu Dec 04, 2003 10:59 am

Really, this is looking impressive though.
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#5 Postby HurricaneGirl » Thu Dec 04, 2003 11:17 am

Sweet!
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Derek Ortt

#6 Postby Derek Ortt » Thu Dec 04, 2003 11:33 am

Based on sat imagery, this looks to be a strong tropical storm at the present time and it may be foolish to rule out hurricane intensity
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#7 Postby Guest » Thu Dec 04, 2003 11:59 am

I'm expecting a more westernly move than forecasted.
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#8 Postby wxman57 » Thu Dec 04, 2003 12:00 pm

Derek Ortt wrote:Based on sat imagery, this looks to be a strong tropical storm at the present time and it may be foolish to rule out hurricane intensity


I think the plane will find 45-50 kt flight level winds this afternoon, making this a minimal tropical storm with 35-40 kt surface winds. There is no evidence that this is a strong tropical storm (wind over 50 kts) at this time.
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#9 Postby HurricaneGirl » Thu Dec 04, 2003 12:16 pm

:D WEEEEEEEE!! 8-)
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#10 Postby PTrackerLA » Thu Dec 04, 2003 12:29 pm

Looks great, go december!
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Derek Ortt

#11 Postby Derek Ortt » Thu Dec 04, 2003 1:09 pm

I'm thinking in the 45-50KT rane at the surface based upon the tightness of the center at this time. However, latest sat images are hinting at some westerly shear over the system, so this intensification trend may be leveled off somewhat
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