TPC mentions SW caribbean area

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Post Reply
Message
Author
User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 146127
Age: 69
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

TPC mentions SW caribbean area

#1 Postby cycloneye » Sat Nov 29, 2003 5:28 pm

http://storm2k.nhcwx.com/cgi-bin/hw3.cg ... hwvmetric=

For the first time they mention this area that some global models are honking on (GFS,NOGAPS,CMC and others) as I posted in another thread so let's see if development happens after the official season date is passed.But the US has nothing to worrie about this as it will move NE towards hispanola or Puerto Rico with the SW flow that the cold front that has turned down the temps in the eastern seaboard moves east in the atlantic.
Last edited by cycloneye on Sat Nov 29, 2003 7:23 pm, edited 3 times in total.
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
Top
ColdFront77

#2 Postby ColdFront77 » Sat Nov 29, 2003 5:43 pm

There is apparently no way this very strong cold front will weaken and/or not have enough of "a reach" to bring this shower and thunderstorm activity anywhere but northeastward.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 146127
Age: 69
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

#3 Postby cycloneye » Sat Nov 29, 2003 7:24 pm

Yes Tom the Us wont see whatever this system does as the flow will be from SW to NE in the caribbean but where I am in PR we may see bad weather by late week.
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
Top
rainstorm

#4 Postby rainstorm » Sat Nov 29, 2003 11:02 pm

very interesting!!
0 likes   
Top
WXBUFFJIM
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1971
Joined: Thu Mar 06, 2003 11:02 am
Location: Baltimore

about this system...

#5 Postby WXBUFFJIM » Sat Nov 29, 2003 11:25 pm

If this develops into even a weak tropical cyclone, it will likely stay in the caribbean and avoid the US. That's the latest thinking right now. We'll see!!!


Also Lupit is weakening east of Japan with winds at last check sustained at 105 mph. This thing will weaken throughout the next few days.

Jim
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Stormsfury
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 10549
Age: 53
Joined: Wed Feb 05, 2003 6:27 pm
Location: Summerville, SC

#6 Postby Stormsfury » Sat Nov 29, 2003 11:52 pm

Image
0 likes   
Top
ColdFront77

Re: about this system...

#7 Postby ColdFront77 » Sat Nov 29, 2003 11:54 pm

cycloneye wrote:Yes Tom the Us wont see whatever this system does as the flow will be from SW to NE in the caribbean but where I am in PR we may see bad weather by late week.

WXBUFFJIM wrote:If this develops into even a weak tropical cyclone, it will likely stay in the caribbean and avoid the US. That's the latest thinking right now. We'll see!!!

I agree with the assessment of the this feature, what ever it does will move northeastward, but after all these years there may of been a strong cold front that has missed this sort of system and/or the front could rapidly weaken, at just the same rate that a front can strengthen. :)

Thus, like Jim said, this is the latest thinking right now.
0 likes   
Top
Post Reply

Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: Bizzles, Google Adsense [Bot], HurricaneBelle, jgh, jlauderdal, Lizzytiz1, MetroMike, sunny and 102 guests