Texas Spring 2026

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Golfisnoteasy75
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Re: Texas Spring 2026

#101 Postby Golfisnoteasy75 » Fri Mar 06, 2026 7:29 pm

Brent wrote:Lot of sirens here but it's been tracking northwest of me the whole time

At least it will apparently rain maybe. There were models with no rain this morning


Be careful!! Big tornado around you brent!!
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Re: Texas Spring 2026

#102 Postby ElectricStorm » Fri Mar 06, 2026 7:33 pm

Wow that debris ball just blew up significantly on the newest scan approaching Hwy 75 in north Tulsa
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Re: Texas Spring 2026

#103 Postby Golfisnoteasy75 » Fri Mar 06, 2026 7:34 pm

ElectricStorm wrote:Wow that debris ball just blew up significantly on the newest scan approaching Hwy 75 in north Tulsa


Brent lives close i believe
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Re: Texas Spring 2026

#104 Postby Quixotic » Fri Mar 06, 2026 7:47 pm

lol. tor watch canceled for DFW
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Re: Texas Spring 2026

#105 Postby Brent » Fri Mar 06, 2026 8:09 pm

Golfisnoteasy75 wrote:
ElectricStorm wrote:Wow that debris ball just blew up significantly on the newest scan approaching Hwy 75 in north Tulsa


Brent lives close i believe


Other side of the metro pretty much

I've barely even seen any lightning south of 44. Stuff is moving really quickly
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Re: Texas Spring 2026

#106 Postby Brent » Fri Mar 06, 2026 11:09 pm

Looks like Beggs south of the city is the worst hit area with the reported deaths. Massive first responder response

No injuries in Tulsa per the mayor whatever happened

Damage looks fairly light otherwise I'm guessing
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Re: Texas Spring 2026

#107 Postby gpsnowman » Sat Mar 07, 2026 8:43 am

Man the temp dropped 20 degrees in about an hour with strong winds and heavy rain. Beautiful.
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Re: Texas Spring 2026

#108 Postby Ntxw » Sat Mar 07, 2026 9:14 am

gpsnowman wrote:Man the temp dropped 20 degrees in about an hour with strong winds and heavy rain. Beautiful.


All my windows are open. After one hot and muggy start to March it felt really nice!
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Re: Texas Spring 2026

#109 Postby Brent » Sat Mar 07, 2026 9:35 am

After tornado sirens on and off for 2 hours last night and other sirens going off for no reason(funny how they malfunction during a storm) the wind chill is now 34 :lol: feels amazing
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Re: Texas Spring 2026

#110 Postby Edwards Limestone » Sat Mar 07, 2026 11:12 am

Forecasted totals decreasing across my area. Why am I not surprised.
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Re: Texas Spring 2026

#111 Postby Gotwood » Sat Mar 07, 2026 11:20 am

Less than a tenth of an inch at my house so far hopefully get some more in this next wave
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Re: Texas Spring 2026

#112 Postby TomballEd » Sat Mar 07, 2026 11:21 am

My house is just inside the 15% and CIG 1 line for hail. The SPC site I Googled up ( https://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/conditional-intensity-information/ ) describes CIG for tornadoes, not hail. So I don't really know what that means. 3 weeks without rain and my wife's SUV can go into the garage and my car is over 11 years old, I would accept anything an inch or under for the rain.


2md HRRR run in a row where my house is right on the screw zone boundary for today/tonight's thunderstorm event. High res 12Z NAM doesn't show any meaningful rain in metro Houston.
Image


Mid week looks interesting per SPC outlooks in North Texas/Oklahoma.
Image
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Re: Texas Spring 2026

#113 Postby rwfromkansas » Sat Mar 07, 2026 11:26 am

Up to .90 for the week, so I will take it. Better than nothing and close to an inch.
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Re: Texas Spring 2026

#114 Postby gpsnowman » Sat Mar 07, 2026 1:26 pm

Ntxw wrote:
gpsnowman wrote:Man the temp dropped 20 degrees in about an hour with strong winds and heavy rain. Beautiful.


All my windows are open. After one hot and muggy start to March it felt really nice!

Round 2 commencing. Big thunder at work in Coppell
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Re: Texas Spring 2026

#115 Postby Iceresistance » Sat Mar 07, 2026 1:28 pm

I had 1.7 inches of rain, mostly from the unexpectedly heavy storms from the front
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Re: Texas Spring 2026

#116 Postby Iceresistance » Sat Mar 07, 2026 1:29 pm

TomballEd wrote:My house is just inside the 15% and CIG 1 line for hail. The SPC site I Googled up ( https://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/conditional-intensity-information/ ) describes CIG for tornadoes, not hail. So I don't really know what that means. 3 weeks without rain and my wife's SUV can go into the garage and my car is over 11 years old, I would accept anything an inch or under for the rain.


2md HRRR run in a row where my house is right on the screw zone boundary for today/tonight's thunderstorm event. High res 12Z NAM doesn't show any meaningful rain in metro Houston.
https://i.imgur.com/EptiVIv.png


Mid week looks interesting per SPC outlooks in North Texas/Oklahoma.
https://i.imgur.com/uGgJFCt.png

I had people tell me that the hail cigs are 2 inch or greater on the Sig 1 line, and 3.5 inches and larger for the Sig 2 line for hail.
Again, not confirmed on how that works, but I won't be surprised if that's the case
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Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

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Re: Texas Spring 2026

#117 Postby wxman22 » Sat Mar 07, 2026 1:46 pm

Image

Day 4-8 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0234 AM CST Sat Mar 07 2026

Valid 101200Z - 151200Z

...DISCUSSION...
...Days 4-5/Tue-Wed...

An active pattern with severe thunderstorm potential is expected
Tuesday and Wednesday from the southern Plains to the Mid/Lower MS
and OH Valleys. Medium range guidance is in fairly good agreement
during this time. Starting on Tuesday, an upper low over northern
Mexico will shift east/northeast, becoming an open wave as it begins
to merge with a northern stream upper trough developing southeast
across the northern/central Plains through early Wednesday. A belt
of strong southwesterly deep-layer flow will overspread a large warm
sector on Tuesday. Lee cyclogenesis is forecast across the
central/southern High Plains, along with a second surface low
developing over IA as the northern stream upper trough approaches.
This setup will allow for a sharpening dryline/Pacific front across
the southern Plains, while a cold front develops southeast into the
MO/Mid-MS Valley overnight. Strong ascent should focus thunderstorm
development across the warm sector ahead of these surface boundaries
within a strongly sheared environment, and potentially widespread
severe thunderstorm activity is possible.
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Re: Texas Spring 2026

#118 Postby txtwister78 » Sat Mar 07, 2026 3:25 pm

Edwards Limestone wrote:Forecasted totals decreasing across my area. Why am I not surprised.


Cloud cover and a faster progression of the frontal boundary for you unfortunately but front is beginning to activate storm development across NW Bexar County points west. Good news down here.
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Re: Texas Spring 2026

#119 Postby TomballEd » Sat Mar 07, 2026 4:19 pm

txtwister78 wrote:
Edwards Limestone wrote:Forecasted totals decreasing across my area. Why am I not surprised.


Cloud cover and a faster progression of the frontal boundary for you unfortunately but front is beginning to activate storm development across NW Bexar County points west. Good news down here.


SPC says 40% chance of a watch for SCTX. RAP analyzes almost 2500 J/Kg of mixed layer CAPE

Image
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Re: Texas Spring 2026

#120 Postby txtwister78 » Sat Mar 07, 2026 4:40 pm

WPC says localized flooding risk now across SA metro as well.
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