Texas Winter 2025-2026

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txtwister78
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#5901 Postby txtwister78 » Sun Feb 08, 2026 6:45 pm

Cpv17 wrote:
txtwister78 wrote:
TomballEd wrote:Timing issues. The Tuesday storms that produced a tornado warned storm that produced straight line wind or minor tornado damage showed less instability than this a few days back. 700 J/Kg isn't high, straight hodograph but ~60 knots of speed shear and a few days for storm parameters to become more favorable, well, who knows. SPC mentions it but risk is too low to issue an outlook.

https://i.imgur.com/9YlMbri.png


I think Friday evening into Saturday is setting up to be a better chance for some severe storms across portions of the state but definitely something to watch


It probably won’t be much of anything south of I-10 though.


Too early to tell but the 12z Euro disagrees with that
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#5902 Postby Cpv17 » Sun Feb 08, 2026 6:52 pm

txtwister78 wrote:
Cpv17 wrote:
txtwister78 wrote:
I think Friday evening into Saturday is setting up to be a better chance for some severe storms across portions of the state but definitely something to watch


It probably won’t be much of anything south of I-10 though.


Too early to tell but the 12z Euro disagrees with that


I haven’t even looked at it. I’m just being a pessimist because most of the time everything is N of me.
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Brent
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#5903 Postby Brent » Mon Feb 09, 2026 8:33 am

I don't know what to even post at this point. Winter seems to be over :roll: I mean there's zero sign of any even remotely cold air

At least the Euro has a big rain event this weekend maybe... Given our track record though I'll believe it when I see it. Probably be in the southeast again by then. That's where most of the weather has been for months

Bring on El Nino I guess
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#5904 Postby wxman22 » Mon Feb 09, 2026 10:55 am

Good agreement between the models of some much needed rain this weekend across the northern half of the state and OK. Storm season is about to begin! :D
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bubba hotep
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#5905 Postby bubba hotep » Mon Feb 09, 2026 12:38 pm

wxman22 wrote:Good agreement between the models of some much needed rain this weekend across the northern half of the state and OK. Storm season is about to begin! :D


WPC is onboard. However, I would like to see that trend westward as we get closer to the weekend.

Image
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Winter time post are almost exclusively focused on the DFW area.

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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#5906 Postby gpsnowman » Mon Feb 09, 2026 12:49 pm

bubba hotep wrote:
wxman22 wrote:Good agreement between the models of some much needed rain this weekend across the northern half of the state and OK. Storm season is about to begin! :D


WPC is onboard. However, I would like to see that trend westward as we get closer to the weekend.

https://x-hv1.pivotalweather.com/maps/wpc/latest/wpc_qpf_168h_p.us_sc.png

That would be ideal. Nice to see the rain chances increase this week. If it's not going to be cold and snowy bring on spring and rainy season.
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#5907 Postby Stratton23 » Mon Feb 09, 2026 1:18 pm

hopefully we see some drying trends for this weekend or at least delay the system or speed it up to friday , specifically valentines day i would really like it not to rain, yall can have all the rain, i do not want it
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#5908 Postby wxman22 » Mon Feb 09, 2026 4:04 pm

Updated rainfall amounts.

Image
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#5909 Postby Cpv17 » Mon Feb 09, 2026 7:18 pm

I’m going to consider myself lucky if I can muster out a quarter inch this week.
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#5910 Postby Quixotic » Mon Feb 09, 2026 11:51 pm

I look up at the high clouds. These clouds very much indicate a cold and turbulent upper atmosphere. We aren’t done yet with cold and winter wx
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#5911 Postby Brent » Tue Feb 10, 2026 3:45 am

Quixotic wrote:I look up at the high clouds. These clouds very much indicate a cold and turbulent upper atmosphere. We aren’t done yet with cold and winter wx


Yeah I find it hard to believe it's over too on February 10th but like this whole winter outside of 2 weeks has been record setting here so we're pretty much in uncharted waters already

The airport is still at 60 degrees right now. It's just ridiculous at this point
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