Texas Winter 2025-2026

[GeauxTigers]

With the cold air out west gradually expanding east, and the other surge of cold air coming in from Texarkana, the i35 corridor will probably be the last place to drop below freezing in the immediate metro since that’s about where they’ll ultimately meet.

Is that bad news if I’m 35 miles from I35 near Denton? Or just a delay for the frozen stuff?

Nah, no delay. The subfreezing air was modeled to flood into the area in this way, and it’s still faster that models like the nam and hrrr have been depicting. You also probably won’t see much freezing rain accumulation at ground level at 31/32 degrees, it’ll mainly be on taller things like trees or roofs at those temps. Maybe on your car?

So does that mean my area (Tioga, TX) will get less frzg rain overnight? Or is everything still on track for up here for frz rain overnight night and big sleet tomorrow afternoon with 2nd wave?

[cheezyWXguy]

Is that bad news if I’m 35 miles from I35 near Denton? Or just a delay for the frozen stuff?

Nah, no delay. The subfreezing air was modeled to flood into the area in this way, and it’s still faster that models like the nam and hrrr have been depicting. You also probably won’t see much freezing rain accumulation at ground level at 31/32 degrees, it’ll mainly be on taller things like trees or roofs at those temps. Maybe on your car?

So does that mean my area (Tioga, TX) will get less frzg rain overnight? Or is everything still on track for up here for frz rain overnight night and big sleet tomorrow afternoon with 2nd wave?

Seems to be on track to me, the exact temperature you’re at right now isn’t going to matter much in the grand scheme of things. How much freezing rain vs sleet vs snow we all end up with by the end of this is the million dollar question.

[WacoWx]

At 8a 1/23/26:
9a 50°
10a 49
11a 50 Actual = 47.1°
12p 49
1p 48
2p 47 Actual = 44.2°
3p 46
4p 43
5p 41 Actual = 42.8°
6p 40° Actual = 39.4°
7p 38
8p 37
9p 37
10p 36
11p 36 Actual = 33.6
12a 35
1:00a 34
2a 33
3a 32
4a 32
5a 31
6a 30°

[Iceresistance]

I just measured again, I am now up to 2.5 inches of snow. This is wild

[GeauxTigers]

Nah, no delay. The subfreezing air was modeled to flood into the area in this way, and it’s still faster that models like the nam and hrrr have been depicting. You also probably won’t see much freezing rain accumulation at ground level at 31/32 degrees, it’ll mainly be on taller things like trees or roofs at those temps. Maybe on your car?

So does that mean my area (Tioga, TX) will get less frzg rain overnight? Or is everything still on track for up here for frz rain overnight night and big sleet tomorrow afternoon with 2nd wave?

Seems to be on track to me, the exact temperature you’re at right now isn’t going to matter much in the grand scheme of things. How much freezing rain vs sleet vs snow we all end up with by the end of this is the million dollar question.

Thank you for your input! Stay safe & i hope you get some white stuff!

[Snowman67]

At 8a 1/23/26:
9a 50°
10a 49
11a 50 Actual = 47.1°
12p 49
1p 48
2p 47 Actual = 44.2°
3p 46
4p 43
5p 41 Actual = 42.8°
6p 40° Actual = 39.4°
7p 38
8p 37
9p 37
10p 36
11p 36 Actual = 33.6
12a 35
1:00a 34
2a 33
3a 32
4a 32
5a 31
6a 30°

What site are these readings from?

[txtwister78]

Man that signal continues to grow on the GFS ENS for late next week into the weekend. Going to be pushing 400 pages on here if that continues.

[rendihess]

Longtime lurker here. First thank you for all the info you guys provide us! Question. Why is Flower Mound just sitting at 34 degrees. It’s just not getting colder! Lol! Will it? Or am I doomed.

[downsouthman1]

Longtime lurker here. First thank you for all the info you guys provide us! Question. Why is Flower Mound just sitting at 34 degrees. It’s just not getting colder! Lol! Will it? Or am I doomed.

Trust the process. This is a long duration event yall.

Besides the overall pattern that is developing.

[Iceresistance]

How is it even possible to have over a foot of sleet north of DFW??


https://s12.gifyu.com/images/bkE6I.png

[Captmorg70]

Longtime lurker here. First thank you for all the info you guys provide us! Question. Why is Flower Mound just sitting at 34 degrees. It’s just not getting colder! Lol! Will it? Or am I doomed.

Just north of you in Highland Village/Lewisville. Yea we are staying just slightly above freezing. We’re probably a couple more hours from hitting freezing.

But like already mentioned, long term we will be fine. If anything, we’re just missing out on freezing rain atm.

[WacoWx]

just hit freezing on the west side of McKinney

Hook em!

[UTSARoadrunner4]

A slight deviation from the winter festivities in Oklahoma, South Oklahoma, and Arkansas.

Moderate downpour in Northern Bexar County. Definitely nice to see some rain. Would’ve been better if it was snow. Hopefully what the models are showing for next week actually verifies.

[GeauxTigers]

How is it even possible to have over a foot of sleet north of DFW??

https://s12.gifyu.com/images/bkE6I.png
https://s12.gifyu.com/images/bkE6I.png

I’m in the county showing 12.5- south Grayson county. That would be amazing if it verified!

[rwfromkansas]

Heavy sleet video from Abilene on FB. Just coming down.

[snownado]

I-35 in Moore good grief

https://i.ibb.co/mr7Syk1T/FB-IMG-1769229656714.jpg

Crazy how one place can produce snow like that and also violent tornadoes…

That's the Plains for ya...

[WacoWx]

At 8a 1/23/26:
9a 50°
10a 49
11a 50 Actual = 47.1°
12p 49
1p 48
2p 47 Actual = 44.2°
3p 46
4p 43
5p 41 Actual = 42.8°
6p 40° Actual = 39.4°
7p 38
8p 37
9p 37
10p 36
11p 36 Actual = 33.6
12a 35
1:00a 34
2a 33
3a 32
4a 32
5a 31
6a 30°

What site are these readings from?

Weather.com at 9a this morning. Just a daily benchmark test.

[rendihess]

Longtime lurker here. First thank you for all the info you guys provide us! Question. Why is Flower Mound just sitting at 34 degrees. It’s just not getting colder! Lol! Will it? Or am I doomed.

Just north of you in Highland Village/Lewisville. Yea we are staying just slightly above freezing. We’re probably a couple more hours from hitting freezing.

But like already mentioned, long term we will be fine. If anything, we’re just missing out on freezing rain atm.

Okay. Thank you so much. I’ve been sitting here forever thinking the cold was moving in quicker then it stalled and I panicked. I appreciate the reply and the ease of mind. Nobody wants freezing rain. Ha! Thanks again! ☺️

[Brent]

I-35 in Moore good grief

https://i.ibb.co/mr7Syk1T/FB-IMG-1769229656714.jpg

Crazy how one place can produce snow like that and also violent tornadoes…

That's the Plains for ya...

Oh I'm tripping people out on Facebook when I tell them it was 87 on Christmas!

[cheezyWXguy]

Radar is filling in nicely south of San Angelo at the moment, that'll be moving toward the metro in a couple of hours. Think by then there would be few if any areas that haven't reached freezing north of I20. Prior to that, anyone not at freezing yet is just missing out on some freezing drizzle. No worries here.