Looks like the new year will start with a couple of cyclones in Southern Indian Ocean and Bay of Bengal.
2026 Global Model Runs Discussion (Out thru day 16)
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cycloneye
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2026 Global Model Runs Discussion (Out thru day 16)
Here we go for 2026.
Looks like the new year will start with a couple of cyclones in Southern Indian Ocean and Bay of Bengal.
Looks like the new year will start with a couple of cyclones in Southern Indian Ocean and Bay of Bengal.
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cycloneye
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Re: 2026 Global Model Runs Discussion (Out thru day 16)
Euro goes very strong with the SIO one in the first days of 2026.
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cycloneye
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Re: 2026 Global Model Runs Discussion (Out thru day 16)
Euro for the first days of the new year. 
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TomballEd
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2025 Global Model Runs Discussion (Out thru day 16)
There are a few ECENS members seeing this as well. Op GFS brought the moisture into Texas as ice and snow at 0Z. January EPAC systems contributing to winter storms could be a thing. I'm not sure this post is worthy of starting the 2026 tropical models thread.
6Z run has less freezing/frozen but would have beneficial rains for S Texas
6Z run has less freezing/frozen but would have beneficial rains for S Texas
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Kingarabian
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Re: 2026 Global Model Runs Discussion (Out thru day 16)
CMC and GFS on board for EPAC TCG in 5 days
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RIP Kobe Bryant
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Hurricane2022
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Re: 2026 Global Model Runs Discussion (Out thru day 16)
https://x.com/i/status/2011171657994682823
https://x.com/i/status/2011123308553462236
https://x.com/i/status/2011143737095963046
https://x.com/i/status/2011123308553462236
https://x.com/i/status/2011143737095963046
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Sorry for the bad English sometimes...!
For reliable and detailed information for any meteorological phenomenon, please consult the National Hurricane Center, Joint Typhoon Warning Center , or your local Meteo Center.
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ECCE OMNIA NOVA FACIAM (Ap 21,5).
For reliable and detailed information for any meteorological phenomenon, please consult the National Hurricane Center, Joint Typhoon Warning Center , or your local Meteo Center.
--------
ECCE OMNIA NOVA FACIAM (Ap 21,5).
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Hurricane2022
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Re: 2026 Global Model Runs Discussion (Out thru day 16)
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Sorry for the bad English sometimes...!
For reliable and detailed information for any meteorological phenomenon, please consult the National Hurricane Center, Joint Typhoon Warning Center , or your local Meteo Center.
--------
ECCE OMNIA NOVA FACIAM (Ap 21,5).
For reliable and detailed information for any meteorological phenomenon, please consult the National Hurricane Center, Joint Typhoon Warning Center , or your local Meteo Center.
--------
ECCE OMNIA NOVA FACIAM (Ap 21,5).
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DorkyMcDorkface
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Re: 2026 Global Model Runs Discussion (Out thru day 16)
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Please note the thoughts expressed by this account are solely those of the user and are from a hobbyist perspective. For more comprehensive analysis, consult an actual professional meteorologist or meteorological agency.
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cycloneye
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Re: 2026 Global Model Runs Discussion (Out thru day 16)
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cycloneye
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Re: 2026 Global Model Runs Discussion (Out thru day 16)
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Hurricane2022
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Re: 2026 Global Model Runs Discussion (Out thru day 16)
No comment.
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Sorry for the bad English sometimes...!
For reliable and detailed information for any meteorological phenomenon, please consult the National Hurricane Center, Joint Typhoon Warning Center , or your local Meteo Center.
--------
ECCE OMNIA NOVA FACIAM (Ap 21,5).
For reliable and detailed information for any meteorological phenomenon, please consult the National Hurricane Center, Joint Typhoon Warning Center , or your local Meteo Center.
--------
ECCE OMNIA NOVA FACIAM (Ap 21,5).
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Category5Kaiju
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Re: 2026 Global Model Runs Discussion (Out thru day 16)
GFS is very consistent on the idea that the South Pacific is going to witness a formidable cyclone during the early parts of April.
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Unless explicitly stated, all information in my posts is based on my own opinions and observations. Tropical storms and hurricanes can be extremely dangerous. Refer to an accredited weather research agency or meteorologist if you need to make serious decisions regarding an approaching storm.
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Hurricane2022
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Re: 2026 Global Model Runs Discussion (Out thru day 16)
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Sorry for the bad English sometimes...!
For reliable and detailed information for any meteorological phenomenon, please consult the National Hurricane Center, Joint Typhoon Warning Center , or your local Meteo Center.
--------
ECCE OMNIA NOVA FACIAM (Ap 21,5).
For reliable and detailed information for any meteorological phenomenon, please consult the National Hurricane Center, Joint Typhoon Warning Center , or your local Meteo Center.
--------
ECCE OMNIA NOVA FACIAM (Ap 21,5).
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cycloneye
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Re: 2026 Global Model Runs Discussion (Out thru day 16)
GFS doing GFS things. 
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TomballEd
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Re: 2026 Global Model Runs Discussion (Out thru day 16)
6Z GFS tries but ultimately fails to develop a sub tropical depression about due E of MIA and about due N of Barbados. Early season sub-tropical and baroclinic storms can be a thing during El Nino.
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Category5Kaiju
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Re: 2026 Global Model Runs Discussion (Out thru day 16)
Looks like the GFS was right with the idea that Maila would turn into a Category 5 storm. This is quite impressive, considering Papua New Guinea cyclones are extremely rare in the first place.
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Unless explicitly stated, all information in my posts is based on my own opinions and observations. Tropical storms and hurricanes can be extremely dangerous. Refer to an accredited weather research agency or meteorologist if you need to make serious decisions regarding an approaching storm.
Re: 2026 Global Model Runs Discussion (Out thru day 16)
Category5Kaiju wrote:Looks like the GFS was right with the idea that Maila would turn into a Category 5 storm. This is quite impressive, considering Papua New Guinea cyclones are extremely rare in the first place.
Maila made Aus. Cat. 5, sure, but the GFS was initially predicting a sub-900 hPa high-end SSHWS Category 5. Still impressive that it predicted an intense cyclone would form there at such a lead time, but given that Maila's actual peak intensity (to date) has been 125 kt / 930 hPa, the GFS runs in question seem to have overshot the mark by a substantial margin.
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