Texas Fall 2025

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Yukon Cornelius
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Re: Texas Fall 2025

#721 Postby Yukon Cornelius » Sat Nov 15, 2025 2:28 pm

Currently 90 here. Disgusting.
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Re: Texas Fall 2025

#722 Postby rwfromkansas » Sat Nov 15, 2025 3:16 pm

Okay, since it’s Texas I can deal with low 80’s in November but it’s 89 IMBY. That’s a no from me. Yuck.
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Re: Texas Fall 2025

#723 Postby Ntxw » Sat Nov 15, 2025 4:05 pm

It's hot today...but...

There is change on the horizon, big ones. The period leading up to TG will put plenty of rain for a corridor in the region. Then it looks like the models are converging on a colder air mass to settle in late TG week into the first week of Dec. Our first winter storm threat(for the southern plains) may be during that later period. -PNA slight tells me the core of the next cold wave will likely bleed down the plains and into the mountain west.
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Re: Texas Fall 2025

#724 Postby snownado » Sat Nov 15, 2025 8:22 pm

DFW achieved a high of 89*F today, breaking the previous record of 87*F set in 1960.
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Re: Texas Fall 2025

#725 Postby Brent » Sat Nov 15, 2025 8:35 pm

One of the hottest November days ever here :double: :spam:

What a lovely fall we've had btw. I don't even want to look up how many days have been above normal
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Re: Texas Fall 2025

#726 Postby Stratton23 » Sat Nov 15, 2025 9:33 pm

Massive 1051 MB arctic high dropping out of canada at the end of the GFS run, just after thanksgiving
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Re: Texas Fall 2025

#727 Postby Ntxw » Sat Nov 15, 2025 9:34 pm

Stratton23 wrote:Massive 1051 MB arctic high dropping out of canada at the end of the GFS run, just after thanksgiving


Posted in the winter thread the GEFS, and there is support.

Image
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Re: Texas Fall 2025

#728 Postby HockeyTx82 » Sun Nov 16, 2025 8:43 am

Interesting, I have a photo of my car covered in snow on this day back in 2014 here in North Texas.
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Re: Texas Fall 2025

#729 Postby Brent » Sun Nov 16, 2025 8:44 am

HockeyTx82 wrote:Interesting, I have a photo of my car covered in snow on this day back in 2014 here in North Texas.


Haha that was my first winter in Dallas and then it never snowed again til the last week of February :lol: and the biggest storm was in March

One of the only two winters out of seven I saw in DFW with real snow in the metro :eek:

So far up here our worst winter still had an inch since. Two winters in a row! :lol: last year finally broke the streak
Last edited by Brent on Sun Nov 16, 2025 8:50 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Texas Fall 2025

#730 Postby wxman22 » Sun Nov 16, 2025 4:51 pm

Day 5 slight risk issued for flooding by the WPC.And updated rainfall amounts.

Image

Image
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Re: Texas Fall 2025

#731 Postby Yukon Cornelius » Sun Nov 16, 2025 4:53 pm

Topped out at 93 yesterday. It was the hottest recorded temp up here in November. I have noticed the actual highs have been anywhere from 4-10 degrees over what’s been forecasted. Dumb.
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Re: Texas Fall 2025

#732 Postby Cpv17 » Sun Nov 16, 2025 4:55 pm

Yukon Cornelius wrote:Topped out at 93 yesterday. It was the hottest recorded temp up here in November. I have noticed the actual highs have been anywhere from 4-10 degrees over what’s been forecasted. Dumb.


Sounds like some pretty bad forecasters up there if that’s the case.
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Re: Texas Fall 2025

#733 Postby Yukon Cornelius » Sun Nov 16, 2025 5:06 pm

Cpv17 wrote:
Yukon Cornelius wrote:Topped out at 93 yesterday. It was the hottest recorded temp up here in November. I have noticed the actual highs have been anywhere from 4-10 degrees over what’s been forecasted. Dumb.


Sounds like some pretty bad forecasters up there if that’s the case.

Norman office
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Re: Texas Fall 2025

#734 Postby rwfromkansas » Mon Nov 17, 2025 1:19 am

I read on social media that there is a new GFS AI model. But, I can’t find anything. Is it just the GraphCast on Pivotal? That’s not new.
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Re: Texas Fall 2025

#735 Postby Brent » Mon Nov 17, 2025 3:40 am

rwfromkansas wrote:I read on social media that there is a new GFS AI model. But, I can’t find anything. Is it just the GraphCast on Pivotal? That’s not new.


From what I understand it's only on pay sites right now. A met was even talking about it openly and said he couldn't post a link because of that

Probably weathermodels where the fancy euro maps are
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Re: Texas Fall 2025

#736 Postby Wthrfan » Mon Nov 17, 2025 8:26 am

I follow Larry Cosgrove closely during the winter months and he is sticking with a cold first week of December but warmer the rest of the month. He's usually pretty accurate. One point of reasoning is that there just isn't enough snowpack yet in Canada to sustain a substantial (longer than a few days) cold outbreak. For once, I hope he is wrong! :D
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Re: Texas Fall 2025

#737 Postby CaptinCrunch » Mon Nov 17, 2025 9:13 am

Wthrfan wrote:I follow Larry Cosgrove closely during the winter months and he is sticking with a cold first week of December but warmer the rest of the month. He's usually pretty accurate. One point of reasoning is that there just isn't enough snowpack yet in Canada to sustain a substantial (longer than a few days) cold outbreak. For once, I hope he is wrong! :D


Image

Snow Pack is building across Alaska, and Asia, bur until it builds across lower Canada and northern US cold will be limited to a few days in a row when It does accrue. :ggreen:
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Re: Texas Fall 2025

#738 Postby Ntxw » Mon Nov 17, 2025 9:53 am

Record or near record warmth today and tomorrow. Then the rains come, and we watch what happens post Thanksgiving.
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Re: Texas Fall 2025

#739 Postby Brent » Mon Nov 17, 2025 10:02 am

The Euro has snow here the day after Thanksgiving :lol:

Also the OKC temperature chart is a steady drop after today til the weekend
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Re: Texas Fall 2025

#740 Postby Cpv17 » Mon Nov 17, 2025 10:11 am

Brent wrote:The Euro has snow here the day after Thanksgiving :lol:

Also the OKC temperature chart is a steady drop after today til the weekend


A lot of conflicting info on social media about whether it’s gonna get cold or not. Not too confident about it yet.
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