Texas Fall 2025
Moderator: S2k Moderators
Forum rules
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.
-
Yukon Cornelius
- S2K Supporter

- Posts: 1806
- Age: 41
- Joined: Thu Dec 20, 2012 9:23 pm
- Location: Dean, TX/Westcliffe, CO
-
rwfromkansas
- Category 5

- Posts: 2748
- Joined: Sat Aug 27, 2005 12:47 am
- Location: North Fort Worth
Re: Texas Fall 2025
Okay, since it’s Texas I can deal with low 80’s in November but it’s 89 IMBY. That’s a no from me. Yuck.
2 likes
Re: Texas Fall 2025
It's hot today...but...
There is change on the horizon, big ones. The period leading up to TG will put plenty of rain for a corridor in the region. Then it looks like the models are converging on a colder air mass to settle in late TG week into the first week of Dec. Our first winter storm threat(for the southern plains) may be during that later period. -PNA slight tells me the core of the next cold wave will likely bleed down the plains and into the mountain west.
There is change on the horizon, big ones. The period leading up to TG will put plenty of rain for a corridor in the region. Then it looks like the models are converging on a colder air mass to settle in late TG week into the first week of Dec. Our first winter storm threat(for the southern plains) may be during that later period. -PNA slight tells me the core of the next cold wave will likely bleed down the plains and into the mountain west.
8 likes
The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.
Re: Texas Fall 2025
DFW achieved a high of 89*F today, breaking the previous record of 87*F set in 1960.
1 likes
-
Brent
- S2K Supporter

- Posts: 38323
- Age: 37
- Joined: Sun May 16, 2004 10:30 pm
- Location: Tulsa Oklahoma
- Contact:
Re: Texas Fall 2025
One of the hottest November days ever here
What a lovely fall we've had btw. I don't even want to look up how many days have been above normal
What a lovely fall we've had btw. I don't even want to look up how many days have been above normal
1 likes
#neversummer
-
Stratton23
- Category 5

- Posts: 2974
- Joined: Fri Jul 21, 2023 10:59 pm
- Location: Katy, Tx
Re: Texas Fall 2025
Massive 1051 MB arctic high dropping out of canada at the end of the GFS run, just after thanksgiving
3 likes
Re: Texas Fall 2025
Stratton23 wrote:Massive 1051 MB arctic high dropping out of canada at the end of the GFS run, just after thanksgiving
Posted in the winter thread the GEFS, and there is support.

3 likes
The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.
-
HockeyTx82
- S2K Supporter

- Posts: 2613
- Joined: Tue Oct 27, 2009 11:17 am
- Location: Ponder, TX
Re: Texas Fall 2025
Interesting, I have a photo of my car covered in snow on this day back in 2014 here in North Texas.
1 likes
Don't hold me accountable for anything I post on this forum. Leave the real forecasting up to the professionals.
Location: Ponder, TX (all observation posts are this location unless otherwise noted)
Location: Ponder, TX (all observation posts are this location unless otherwise noted)
-
Brent
- S2K Supporter

- Posts: 38323
- Age: 37
- Joined: Sun May 16, 2004 10:30 pm
- Location: Tulsa Oklahoma
- Contact:
Re: Texas Fall 2025
HockeyTx82 wrote:Interesting, I have a photo of my car covered in snow on this day back in 2014 here in North Texas.
Haha that was my first winter in Dallas and then it never snowed again til the last week of February
One of the only two winters out of seven I saw in DFW with real snow in the metro
So far up here our worst winter still had an inch since. Two winters in a row!
Last edited by Brent on Sun Nov 16, 2025 8:50 pm, edited 1 time in total.
0 likes
#neversummer
- wxman22
- Category 5

- Posts: 1623
- Joined: Mon Jan 30, 2006 12:39 am
- Location: Wichita Falls, TX
- Contact:
Re: Texas Fall 2025
Day 5 slight risk issued for flooding by the WPC.And updated rainfall amounts.




2 likes
-
Yukon Cornelius
- S2K Supporter

- Posts: 1806
- Age: 41
- Joined: Thu Dec 20, 2012 9:23 pm
- Location: Dean, TX/Westcliffe, CO
Re: Texas Fall 2025
Topped out at 93 yesterday. It was the hottest recorded temp up here in November. I have noticed the actual highs have been anywhere from 4-10 degrees over what’s been forecasted. Dumb.
2 likes
#neversummer
Re: Texas Fall 2025
Yukon Cornelius wrote:Topped out at 93 yesterday. It was the hottest recorded temp up here in November. I have noticed the actual highs have been anywhere from 4-10 degrees over what’s been forecasted. Dumb.
Sounds like some pretty bad forecasters up there if that’s the case.
0 likes
-
Yukon Cornelius
- S2K Supporter

- Posts: 1806
- Age: 41
- Joined: Thu Dec 20, 2012 9:23 pm
- Location: Dean, TX/Westcliffe, CO
Re: Texas Fall 2025
Cpv17 wrote:Yukon Cornelius wrote:Topped out at 93 yesterday. It was the hottest recorded temp up here in November. I have noticed the actual highs have been anywhere from 4-10 degrees over what’s been forecasted. Dumb.
Sounds like some pretty bad forecasters up there if that’s the case.
Norman office
0 likes
#neversummer
-
rwfromkansas
- Category 5

- Posts: 2748
- Joined: Sat Aug 27, 2005 12:47 am
- Location: North Fort Worth
Re: Texas Fall 2025
I read on social media that there is a new GFS AI model. But, I can’t find anything. Is it just the GraphCast on Pivotal? That’s not new.
0 likes
-
Brent
- S2K Supporter

- Posts: 38323
- Age: 37
- Joined: Sun May 16, 2004 10:30 pm
- Location: Tulsa Oklahoma
- Contact:
Re: Texas Fall 2025
rwfromkansas wrote:I read on social media that there is a new GFS AI model. But, I can’t find anything. Is it just the GraphCast on Pivotal? That’s not new.
From what I understand it's only on pay sites right now. A met was even talking about it openly and said he couldn't post a link because of that
Probably weathermodels where the fancy euro maps are
0 likes
#neversummer
Re: Texas Fall 2025
I follow Larry Cosgrove closely during the winter months and he is sticking with a cold first week of December but warmer the rest of the month. He's usually pretty accurate. One point of reasoning is that there just isn't enough snowpack yet in Canada to sustain a substantial (longer than a few days) cold outbreak. For once, I hope he is wrong! 
0 likes
- CaptinCrunch
- S2K Supporter

- Posts: 8740
- Age: 57
- Joined: Mon Nov 03, 2003 4:33 pm
- Location: Kennedale, TX (Tarrant Co.)
Re: Texas Fall 2025
Wthrfan wrote:I follow Larry Cosgrove closely during the winter months and he is sticking with a cold first week of December but warmer the rest of the month. He's usually pretty accurate. One point of reasoning is that there just isn't enough snowpack yet in Canada to sustain a substantial (longer than a few days) cold outbreak. For once, I hope he is wrong!

Snow Pack is building across Alaska, and Asia, bur until it builds across lower Canada and northern US cold will be limited to a few days in a row when It does accrue.
4 likes
Re: Texas Fall 2025
Record or near record warmth today and tomorrow. Then the rains come, and we watch what happens post Thanksgiving.
2 likes
The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.
-
Brent
- S2K Supporter

- Posts: 38323
- Age: 37
- Joined: Sun May 16, 2004 10:30 pm
- Location: Tulsa Oklahoma
- Contact:
Re: Texas Fall 2025
The Euro has snow here the day after Thanksgiving 
Also the OKC temperature chart is a steady drop after today til the weekend
Also the OKC temperature chart is a steady drop after today til the weekend
0 likes
#neversummer
Re: Texas Fall 2025
Brent wrote:The Euro has snow here the day after Thanksgiving
Also the OKC temperature chart is a steady drop after today til the weekend
A lot of conflicting info on social media about whether it’s gonna get cold or not. Not too confident about it yet.
1 likes
Return to “USA & Caribbean Weather”
Who is online
Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 26 guests




