Texas Fall 2025

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Brent
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Re: Texas Fall 2025

#321 Postby Brent » Sat Oct 11, 2025 8:13 am

gpsnowman wrote:
Ntxw wrote:Next 7 days:

Warm, dry.

When I got to work this morning NBC5 news was on the TV and when I saw the 10 day pop up I realized I haven't purposely watched a local weather report in weeks and that never happens. What's the point? Same s@#t different day.


I don't even know why they bother going 10 days out here

And there's several prominent ones in this state who purposely exaggerate something there....like I'm over it too. The number of times it shows a drastic temperature change with "watching"

It's all about the likes and false hope

and then you wonder why nobody trusts the meteorologists

I mean I pretty much have stopped watching TV but even online I've started unfollowing some of them already this year and it's probably gonna increase with winter hopefully coming

Its been a very eye opening year to me on a lot of fronts to say the least

This is exactly why im trying to go into the winter with no expectations. If it snows great but it's way too time consuming to worry about otherwise when most of the time if its hyped up here it falls apart anyway
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Re: Texas Fall 2025

#322 Postby snownado » Sat Oct 11, 2025 8:40 am

gpsnowman wrote:
Ntxw wrote:Next 7 days:

Warm, dry.

When I got to work this morning NBC5 news was on the TV and when I saw the 10 day pop up I realized I haven't purposely watched a local weather report in weeks and that never happens. What's the point? Same s@#t different day.


I literally sent my mom a screen shot of the 7 day NWS forecast here, and told her that's so she can quit asking me about the weather here every day we talk on the phone. :lol:

Not to pour salt on the wounds and rub it in, but they're (Detroit) getting the fall weather you all would adore (temps in the 60s and low 70s), lol...
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Re: Texas Fall 2025

#323 Postby bubba hotep » Sat Oct 11, 2025 10:35 am

I'm hugging the 06z GFS until futher notice

Image
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Winter time post are almost exclusively focused on the DFW area.

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Re: Texas Fall 2025

#324 Postby Brent » Sat Oct 11, 2025 10:52 am

I do still see at least light at the end of the tunnel beginning next weekend here

No it's not gonna be remotely cold but anything is better than this disaster
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Re: Texas Fall 2025

#325 Postby TomballEd » Sat Oct 11, 2025 5:29 pm

I don't really mind 90F but the drought is worrying.
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Re: Texas Fall 2025

#326 Postby Brent » Sat Oct 11, 2025 5:42 pm

TomballEd wrote:I don't really mind 90F but the drought is worrying.


Same it rained like 20 drops here last night but didn't even wash my car

We're gonna be in bad shape if we don't get some real rain before winter because at least up here winter is always dry
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Re: Texas Fall 2025

#327 Postby Ntxw » Sat Oct 11, 2025 5:44 pm

Yeah think we get a whiff of closer to 'average' maybe a few cool nights in the 50s in about 7-10 days, natural climo will help.
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Re: Texas Fall 2025

#328 Postby Brent » Sat Oct 11, 2025 5:58 pm

No more 80s after next Saturday here

Well see. I hate it's over a week away but it's been consistent and i mean the calendar is gonna have to win sooner or later

I can't believe I'm excited about 70s for highs but it's been ugly
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Re: Texas Fall 2025

#329 Postby rwfromkansas » Sat Oct 11, 2025 6:06 pm

Checked the 12z runs and at least they show stuff happening. Whether it can get this far south is another matter.

I miss Kansas during fall…lol. Even with the warmth they have had some fronts.
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Re: Texas Fall 2025

#330 Postby CaptinCrunch » Sat Oct 11, 2025 6:07 pm

NWS FTW LONG TERM... /NEW/
/Next Week/

Upper level ridging will continue to keep benign but warm weather
in place through the upcoming week. As a result, no rain chances
are currently forecast through at least the first part of next
weekend, and high temperatures will remain 10-15 degrees above
normal each day. Morning lows will be in the upper 50s to upper
60s with afternoon highs in the mid 80s to low 90s.

There is a fairly decent signal in ensemble guidance that rain
chances could return to the forecast during the second half of
next weekend or early the following week. This could be
accompanied by some cooler temperatures, but there is still
significant spread among ensemble members, given this is 8-10 days out. Stay tuned (and keep your fingers crossed)!


Barnes
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Re: Texas Fall 2025

#331 Postby Brent » Sun Oct 12, 2025 8:13 pm

91 today but the year of the record high was a very cold winter at least :spam: :lol:

Yeah I'm grasping at straws
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Re: Texas Fall 2025

#332 Postby Stratton23 » Sun Oct 12, 2025 8:38 pm

Hope we get rain in the next few weeks , but ive lost any optimism about any cooler air this month, ensembles should nothing but a stagnant + EPO aleutian trough pattern going into early november , i literally am disgusted by what im seeing in the models
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Re: Texas Fall 2025

#333 Postby Lagreeneyes03 » Sun Oct 12, 2025 11:12 pm

Larry Cosgrove is not optimistic about any cold even cool weather any times soon. The exact quote was " The heat ridge in Texas may weaken and get suppressed southward next weekend. And then likely rebound in the 11-15 day range."

And zero tropical "situation" landfalls.

This is turning out to be the strangest year yet.
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Re: Texas Fall 2025

#334 Postby Brent » Mon Oct 13, 2025 12:13 am

Lagreeneyes03 wrote:Larry Cosgrove is not optimistic about any cold even cool weather any times soon. The exact quote was " The heat ridge in Texas may weaken and get suppressed southward next weekend. And then likely rebound in the 11-15 day range."

And zero tropical "situation" landfalls.

This is turning out to be the strangest year yet.


Yeah even this hyped up front next weekend we're still above normal right now

I mean it's better than today but that ain't saying much

I dunno blaming the Atlantic can only go so far when nothing even made landfall
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