Texas Fall 2025

[rwfromkansas]

Speaking of warm, I’m in east Dallas and still have firefly’s in my backyard. In October…… hope this is not a portent of our winter!

My Kansas home is full of them when we go there July 4.

Never seen one here in DFW. Wish I would. Love lightning bugs.

[Ntxw]

Wish I had better news but the 500mb pattern looks to get worse. Outside of fantasy cutoff troughs heights across Alaska and the Bering looks to go even more unfavorable for us. We just have to rely on climo...

[Stratton23]

I think im about done with living in texas, im over this above normal temperature junk, heck even the winter is starting to look ugly down here based on some of the analogs being thrown around by some, It’s impossible to have normal fall weather these days, just absolutely putrid

[Ntxw]

I think im about done with living in texas, im over this above normal temperature junk, heck even the winter is starting to look ugly down here based on some of the analogs being thrown around by some, I think i just need to move to alaska or siberia, consistently having nothing but warmth down here is really going to make me rethink of living here long term

I have to agree. I don't want to get too deep, but weather wise the temperate zone most of us are looking for has shifted north. You probably want to be between I-40 to I-70 zone. South of I-40 the warmer seasons are extending consistently.

[starsfan65]

I think im about done with living in texas, im over this above normal temperature junk, heck even the winter is starting to look ugly down here based on some of the analogs being thrown around by some, It’s impossible to have normal fall weather these days, just absolutely putrid

We need to cool down soon.

[Brent]

Apparently was a grass fire here

Just hard to believe after how good the rain was for months. We're still over a foot above normal for the year!

[Stratton23]

Im growing a little more optimistic about a pattern change beyond the 14th /15th or so, GFS/ Euro have a - NAO blocking pattern over greenland and the NE US, as a result they have multiple troughs digging into the SW US and moving across texas on their respective runs, some rain chances showing up as well as the potential for more cooler air, just something i noticed in the models when looking for clues for a pattern change

[Quixotic]

I think im about done with living in texas, im over this above normal temperature junk, heck even the winter is starting to look ugly down here based on some of the analogs being thrown around by some, It’s impossible to have normal fall weather these days, just absolutely putrid

C’mon podna. Don’t give up.

[Brent]

40s at the end of the GFS here

Eventually no matter how much warmth there is this is gonna have to verify

[Wthrfan]

I think im about done with living in texas, im over this above normal temperature junk, heck even the winter is starting to look ugly down here based on some of the analogs being thrown around by some, I think i just need to move to alaska or siberia, consistently having nothing but warmth down here is really going to make me rethink of living here long term

I have to agree. I don't want to get too deep, but weather wise the temperate zone most of us are looking for has shifted north. You probably want to be between I-40 to I-70 zone. South of I-40 the warmer seasons are extending consistently.

Born and raised in Dallas and now live in the OKC area. I think this is absolutely correct. OKC weather now reminds me more of what it was like growing up in Dallas. I've lived here for 25 years now and have noticed the warmer temps for the most part are extending into October. We will get one to two weeks a year of some pretty cold temps, but even the snowfall as dropped off over the last 10 years with the exception of 20-21.

[bubba hotep]

This pattern sucks. The longevity is rotten.

You can say that again.

[Stratton23]

Interesting trends on the EPS/ AIFS ensemble suites, the trend has been toward eroding aleutian troughing over Alaska , not a - EPO signature yet on those ensembles, but increasing heights for sure, its nor reflected at the surface yet, but I do like the direction the EPS/ AIFS ensembles are going in, strong - NAO block as well could help to slow down storm systems

[Iceresistance]

40s at the end of the GFS here

Eventually no matter how much warmth there is this is gonna have to verify

I wonder if this pattern got gridlocked like this because of Imelda and Humberto

[Stratton23]

Larry Cosgrove is pretty convinced that we are going to have colder air enter the US at some point in october, also has an interesting take on this upcoming winter

[starsfan65]

Larry Cosgrove is pretty convinced that we are going to have colder air enter the US at some point in october, also has an interesting take on this upcoming winter

We meed to start cooling down somehow.

[Stratton23]

While not reflected at the surface yet, the EPS is trending toward a -EPO/- NAO / neutral PNA type pattern in the extended range, starting to see our source region cool down on the GEPS, which has actually trended toward cooler weather for a large part of the US, we will see, but the 500 MB height pattern is starting to look less ugly than what it seemed a few days ago, though we got a long ways to go here

[Brent]

While not reflected at the surface yet, the EPS is trending toward a -EPO/- NAO / neutral PNA type pattern in the extended range, starting to see our source region cool down on the GEPS, which has actually trended toward cooler weather for a large part of the US, we will see, but the 500 MB height pattern is starting to look less ugly than what it seemed a few days ago, though we got a long ways to go here

Even Steve McCauley mentioned a pattern change and anyone in DFW knows when he brings it up it's probably for real

[gpsnowman]

This pattern sucks. The longevity is rotten.

You can say that again.

Fall cancel ❌

[Cpv17]

DP of 75° here this morning on October 6th… yuck!

[mmmmsnouts]

40s at the end of the GFS here

Eventually no matter how much warmth there is this is gonna have to verify

I wonder if this pattern got gridlocked like this because of Imelda and Humberto

One of the forecast discussions brought this up about 10 days ago but you’d think it would have cleared up by now with both of those storms long gone.