ATL: ERIN - Recon

[cycloneye]

First mission next thursday night.

BEGIN FIXES ON TROPICAL STORM ERIN AT
15/0000Z NEAR 18.7N 51.4W.

[StormWeather]

First mission next thursday night.

BEGIN FIXES ON TROPICAL STORM ERIN AT
15/0000Z NEAR 18.7N 51.4W.

Should be interesting once the time comes.

[cycloneye]

Maybe Chris_ in Tampa knows the answer to this question. Why the first mission will be at nightime and not in daytime?

[NotSparta]

Maybe Chris_ in Tampa knows the answer to this question. Why the first mission will be at nightime and not in daytime?

My guess is that's when it's forecast to get far west enough to have recon in there

[cycloneye]

From todays TCPOD. Apart from the first mission from Air Force on Thursday night, there will be two NOAA ones with the first one on that night and the other on friday morning.

A. BEGIN 6-HRLY FIXES ON TROPICAL STORM ERIN AT 15/0000Z NEAR
17.8N 51.3W.
B. POSSIBLE NOAA P-3 TAIL DOPPLER RADAR MISSIONS INTO ERIN FOR
15/0000Z AND 15/1200Z, DEPARTING TBPB AT 14/2000Z AND
15/0800Z.

[dukeblue219]

That is a long, long recon flight. Can't imagine they'll be able to loiter on-station for more than a pass or two...

[cycloneye]

That is a long, long recon flight. Can't imagine they'll be able to loiter on-station for more than a pass or two...

They will depart from St Croix the AF planes and NOAA from Barbados.

[cycloneye]

Great explanation from Dr Knabb at TWC about the first missions.

 https://x.com/wxunfiltered/status/1955427148241703381

[cycloneye]

Four planes are flying to St Croix AF and Barbados NOAA to begin the missions on thursday night.

[cycloneye]

The Wednesday TCPOD has a few missions between fixes and the sample of the upper atmosphere.

ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. TROPICAL STORM ERIN
FLIGHT ONE - NOAA 43 FLIGHT TWO - TEAL 74
A. 15/0000Z A. 15/0600Z
B. NOAA3 0105A ERIN B. AFXXX 0205A ERIN
C. 14/2000Z C. 15/0330Z
D. 17.4N 51.5W D. 17.8N 52.9W
E. 14/2130Z TO 15/0130Z E. 15/0530Z TO 15/0900Z
F. SFC TO 10,000 FT F. SFC TO 10,000 FT
G. FIX & TAIL DOPPLER RADAR G. FIX
H. NO WRA ACTIVATION H. NO WRA ACTIVATION

FLIGHT THREE - NOAA 42 FLIGHT FOUR - TEAL 75
A. 15/1200Z A. 15/1200Z,1800Z
B. NOAA2 0305A ERIN B. AFXXX 0405A ERIN
C. 15/0800Z C. 15/0945Z
D. 18.2N 54.3W D. 18.2N 54.3W
E. 15/0900Z TO 15/1300Z E. 15/1130Z TO 15/1800Z
F. SFC TO 15,000 FT F. SFC TO 15,000 FT
G. TAIL DOPPLER RADAR G. FIX
H. NO WRA ACTIVATION H. NO WRA ACTIVATION

3. SUCCEEDING DAY OUTLOOK:
A. CONTINUE 6-HOURLY FIXES ON ERIN WHILE SYSTEM REMAINS
A THREAT.
B. TWO MORE TAIL DOPPLER RADAR MISSIONS INTO ERIN, FOR
16/0000Z AND 16/1200Z, DEPARTING TBPB AT 15/2000Z
AND 16/0800Z RESPECTIVELY.
C. A NOAA G-IV SYNOPTIC SURVEILLANCE MISSION AROUND ERIN
FOR 16/0000Z, DEPARTING TBPB AT 15/1730Z.

[cycloneye]

Ready to go!!!!

 https://x.com/53rdWRS/status/1955992788870254695

[cycloneye]

TCPOD for Friday and Saturday. Plenty of missions that will give the models plenty of data.

I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. TROPICAL STORM ERIN
FLIGHT ONE - NOAA 49 FLIGHT TWO - NOAA 43
A. 16/0000Z A. 16/0000Z
B. NOAA9 0505A ERIN B. NOAA3 0605A ERIN
C. 15/1730Z C. 15/2000Z
D. NA D. 18.0N 57.9W
E. NA E. 15/2100Z TO 16/0200Z
F. 41,000 TO 45,000 FT F. SFC TO 15,000 FT
G. SYNOPTIC SURVEILLANCE G. TAIL DOPPLER RADAR
H. NO WRA ACTIVATION H. NO WRA ACTIVATION

FLIGHT THREE - TEAL 76 FLIGHT FOUR - NOAA 42
A. 15/2330Z,16/0530Z A. 16/1200Z
B. AFXXX 0705A ERIN B. NOAA2 0805A ERIN
C. 15/2130Z C. 16/0800Z
D. 18.0N 57.9W D. 19.4N 60.7W
E. 15/2300Z TO 16/0530Z E. 16/0900Z TO 16/1400Z
F. SFC TO 15,000 FT F. SFC TO 15,000 FT
G. FIX G. TAIL DOPPLER RADAR
H. NO WRA ACTIVATION H. NO WRA ACTIVATION

FLIGHT FIVE - TEAL 74
A. 16/1130Z,1730Z
B. AFXXX 00905A ERIN
C. 16/1015Z
D. 19.4N 60.7W
E. 16/1100Z TO 16/1730Z
F. SFC TO 15,000 FT
G. FIX
H. NO WRA ACTIVATION

2. SUCCEEDING DAY OUTLOOK:
A. CONTINUE 6-HOURLY FIXES.
B. ANOTHER NOAA 49 G-IV SYNOPTIC SURVEILLANCE MISSION AROUND
ERIN FOR 17/0000Z, DEPARTING TBPB AT 16/1730Z.
C. POSSIBLE NOAA P-3 TAIL DOPPLER RADAR MISSION INTO ERIN FOR
17/0000Z, DEPARTING TBPB AT 16/2000Z.

[cycloneye]

NOAA plane is on route to Erin. Who wants to post the data as I have to go?

[CrazyC83]

URNT15 KWBC 142150
NOAA3 0105A ERIN HDOB 08 20250814
214030 1553N 05230W 6950 03196 0055 +107 +067 268018 018 /// /// 03
214100 1555N 05229W 6951 03194 0052 +108 +066 265018 019 /// /// 03
214130 1557N 05228W 6951 03194 0050 +110 +066 265018 018 /// /// 03
214200 1559N 05227W 6950 03195 0051 +109 +062 263019 019 /// /// 03
214230 1601N 05225W 6951 03196 0054 +108 +064 264018 018 /// /// 03
214300 1603N 05224W 6951 03195 0051 +110 +067 263016 017 /// /// 03
214330 1604N 05223W 6951 03192 0051 +108 +072 257017 018 /// /// 03
214400 1606N 05222W 6952 03190 0057 +102 +069 255019 019 /// /// 03
214430 1608N 05221W 6951 03191 0064 +096 +073 261019 020 /// /// 03
214500 1610N 05220W 6955 03188 0068 +093 +077 258021 021 /// /// 03
214530 1612N 05219W 6955 03188 0068 +093 +075 259021 021 /// /// 03
214600 1614N 05217W 6951 03190 0070 +090 +077 262021 021 /// /// 03
214630 1616N 05216W 6952 03189 0070 +088 +085 257020 021 /// /// 03
214700 1618N 05215W 6947 03192 0071 +087 +092 275020 021 /// /// 05
214730 1620N 05214W 6969 03168 0070 +089 +097 288022 023 /// /// 05
214800 1622N 05213W 6966 03172 0066 +092 +094 295025 026 /// /// 05
214830 1623N 05212W 6972 03162 0062 +094 +097 292025 026 /// /// 05
214900 1625N 05211W 6967 03169 0065 +092 +098 291024 024 /// /// 05
214930 1627N 05210W 6967 03167 0066 +090 +100 292023 025 /// /// 05
215000 1629N 05209W 6955 03185 0062 +091 +106 302026 028 /// /// 05

[CrazyC83]

903
URNT15 KWBC 142200
NOAA3 0105A ERIN HDOB 09 20250814
215030 1631N 05207W 6951 03180 0047 +097 +094 298021 027 /// /// 03
215100 1632N 05206W 6959 03175 0057 +092 +098 297021 023 /// /// 05
215130 1634N 05205W 6943 03192 0055 +090 +110 310022 024 /// /// 05
215200 1636N 05204W 6945 03186 0047 +096 +112 336033 037 /// /// 05
215230 1638N 05203W 6971 03149 0047 +096 +111 352036 039 /// /// 05
215300 1639N 05202W 6978 03141 0036 +103 +109 006034 036 /// /// 05
215330 1640N 05201W 6975 03148 0039 +101 +111 356030 032 /// /// 05
215400 1641N 05159W 6947 03180 0038 +100 +115 351031 033 /// /// 05
215430 1642N 05157W 6962 03155 0037 +096 +117 351030 033 /// /// 05
215500 1643N 05155W 6955 03163 0038 +096 +112 017037 040 /// /// 05
215530 1644N 05154W 6970 03150 0032 +104 +109 017038 041 /// /// 05
215600 1645N 05152W 6970 03149 0024 +111 +098 005034 039 /// /// 03
215630 1646N 05150W 6955 03168 0026 +108 +091 000032 034 /// /// 03
215700 1647N 05148W 6964 03156 0025 +106 +091 351030 032 /// /// 03
215730 1647N 05146W 6955 03159 0027 +100 +107 344028 029 /// /// 05
215800 1648N 05144W 6944 03173 0026 +098 +105 005029 032 /// /// 05
215830 1649N 05142W 6956 03148 0019 +097 +104 017029 032 /// /// 05
215900 1649N 05140W 6957 03145 0014 +100 +111 018024 029 /// /// 05
215930 1650N 05138W 6957 03141 0010 +100 +107 025024 027 /// /// 05
220000 1650N 05136W 6956 03143 0007 +100 +110 026021 022 /// /// 05

[CrazyC83]

134
URNT15 KWBC 142210
NOAA3 0105A ERIN HDOB 10 20250814
220030 1651N 05134W 6956 03143 0004 +102 +105 031018 021 /// /// 05
220100 1651N 05132W 6966 03131 9990 +114 +102 045015 017 /// /// 03
220130 1652N 05131W 6991 03098 9992 +113 +104 072010 013 /// /// 03
220200 1654N 05130W 6976 03115 9983 +119 +110 088009 011 /// /// 03
220230 1656N 05129W 6967 03128 9982 +119 +112 115018 022 /// /// 03
220300 1658N 05128W 6955 03145 9988 +116 +121 121028 031 /// /// 05
220330 1700N 05127W 6971 03127 9987 +121 +103 134038 042 /// /// 03
220400 1702N 05126W 6952 03157 9988 +125 +089 141055 062 /// /// 03
220430 1704N 05125W 6947 03163 9984 +134 +067 148066 068 /// /// 03
220500 1706N 05123W 6929 03200 9992 +137 +059 144060 065 /// /// 03
220530 1708N 05122W 6958 03166 9989 +144 +054 145054 059 /// /// 03
220600 1710N 05121W 6956 03172 0002 +136 +057 150052 054 /// /// 03
220630 1712N 05120W 6941 03195 0006 +138 +051 150049 053 /// /// 03
220700 1714N 05119W 6935 03203 0004 +141 +047 148045 047 /// /// 03
220730 1716N 05117W 6936 03209 0022 +131 +055 149033 038 /// /// 03
220800 1718N 05116W 6953 03194 0023 +133 +057 147029 036 /// /// 03
220830 1720N 05115W 6956 03188 0027 +129 +064 141027 029 /// /// 03
220900 1721N 05114W 6955 03191 0026 +132 +061 136030 032 /// /// 03
220930 1723N 05113W 6966 03180 0028 +130 +065 133029 032 /// /// 03
221000 1725N 05112W 6956 03190 0028 +131 +051 126029 030 /// /// 03

68 kt FL winds (supports 60 kt intensity). Pressure 998 mb.

[CrazyC83]

962
URNT15 KWBC 142220
NOAA3 0105A ERIN HDOB 11 20250814
221030 1727N 05111W 6955 03191 0019 +140 +043 121030 031 /// /// 03
221100 1729N 05110W 6956 03190 0019 +140 +043 125031 032 /// /// 03
221130 1731N 05109W 6955 03193 0023 +138 +044 125034 034 /// /// 03
221200 1733N 05108W 6955 03194 0026 +136 +046 124034 034 /// /// 03
221230 1734N 05106W 6959 03189 0032 +131 +048 126034 034 /// /// 03
221300 1736N 05105W 6956 03193 0039 +126 +048 125033 033 /// /// 03
221330 1738N 05104W 6956 03194 0041 +125 +050 126034 035 /// /// 03
221400 1740N 05103W 6959 03191 0042 +125 +050 126035 035 /// /// 03
221430 1741N 05102W 6956 03194 0037 +128 +049 126034 035 /// /// 03
221500 1743N 05101W 6956 03194 0039 +127 +049 126032 034 /// /// 03
221530 1745N 05100W 6955 03197 0043 +125 +050 130033 034 /// /// 03
221600 1747N 05059W 6955 03202 0048 +124 +050 130034 034 /// /// 03
221630 1749N 05058W 6958 03198 0048 +124 +050 129036 037 /// /// 03
221700 1751N 05057W 6955 03200 0049 +122 +052 125037 038 /// /// 03
221730 1752N 05056W 6956 03199 0051 +121 +055 121035 036 /// /// 03
221800 1754N 05055W 6956 03199 0055 +117 +058 120035 036 /// /// 03
221830 1756N 05054W 6956 03200 0060 +114 +060 122035 037 /// /// 03
221900 1758N 05052W 6957 03201 0060 +116 +061 123034 034 /// /// 03
221930 1800N 05051W 6956 03206 0062 +116 +059 125036 038 /// /// 03
222000 1801N 05050W 6955 03207 0062 +118 +051 122037 038 /// /// 03

[CrazyC83]

472
URNT15 KWBC 142230
NOAA3 0105A ERIN HDOB 12 20250814
222030 1803N 05049W 6955 03210 0067 +116 +051 122037 037 /// /// 03
222100 1805N 05048W 6955 03209 0065 +117 +053 125037 037 /// /// 03
222130 1807N 05047W 6954 03211 0064 +119 +056 123037 037 /// /// 03
222200 1809N 05046W 6954 03211 0064 +119 +058 120037 037 /// /// 03
222230 1811N 05045W 6957 03207 0068 +115 +063 120036 037 /// /// 03
222300 1812N 05044W 6957 03207 0070 +113 +063 119037 037 /// /// 03
222330 1814N 05043W 6956 03210 0072 +113 +069 117036 036 /// /// 03
222400 1816N 05042W 6956 03211 0075 +111 +075 119036 036 /// /// 03
222430 1818N 05040W 6955 03212 0074 +112 +077 119036 036 /// /// 03
222500 1819N 05039W 6955 03213 0075 +111 +079 119036 036 /// /// 03
222530 1821N 05038W 6956 03213 0076 +110 +084 120035 035 /// /// 03
222600 1823N 05039W 6961 03210 0077 +111 +081 118036 036 /// /// 03
222630 1824N 05041W 6957 03210 0075 +112 +076 114037 037 /// /// 03
222700 1823N 05043W 6956 03212 0075 +112 +074 113036 037 /// /// 03
222730 1823N 05046W 6956 03210 0073 +111 +074 112035 036 /// /// 03
222800 1823N 05048W 6956 03209 0072 +111 +073 112036 036 /// /// 03
222830 1823N 05050W 6956 03209 0072 +111 +074 112036 037 /// /// 03
222900 1824N 05053W 6955 03210 0073 +111 +074 111036 037 /// /// 03
222930 1824N 05055W 6956 03210 0074 +110 +074 109036 037 /// /// 03
223000 1824N 05058W 6955 03211 0072 +111 +073 107037 037 /// /// 03

[CrazyC83]

972
URNT15 KWBC 142240
NOAA3 0105A ERIN HDOB 13 20250814
223030 1824N 05100W 6955 03210 0068 +115 +068 106036 037 /// /// 03
223100 1824N 05103W 6955 03210 0064 +119 +066 106037 038 /// /// 03
223130 1824N 05105W 6955 03211 0063 +118 +074 108039 040 /// /// 03
223200 1824N 05108W 6955 03210 0063 +118 +075 108041 041 /// /// 03
223230 1824N 05110W 6955 03209 0067 +113 +082 106042 042 /// /// 03
223300 1825N 05113W 6955 03210 0070 +112 +072 104042 042 /// /// 03
223330 1825N 05116W 6954 03209 0065 +116 +067 105041 042 /// /// 03
223400 1825N 05118W 6955 03212 0062 +121 +062 105039 040 /// /// 03
223430 1825N 05121W 6954 03211 0056 +124 +063 105037 039 /// /// 03
223500 1825N 05123W 6954 03210 0055 +124 +062 105038 040 /// /// 03
223530 1825N 05126W 6955 03207 0057 +122 +064 105040 041 /// /// 03
223600 1825N 05129W 6956 03206 0058 +120 +066 102041 042 /// /// 03
223630 1826N 05131W 6955 03208 0059 +120 +061 099039 040 /// /// 03
223700 1826N 05134W 6955 03209 0061 +119 +062 098038 039 /// /// 03
223730 1827N 05136W 6955 03209 0061 +120 +062 099039 039 /// /// 03
223800 1827N 05139W 6955 03207 0060 +120 +061 100039 039 /// /// 03
223830 1828N 05141W 6955 03210 0061 +120 +064 100039 039 /// /// 03
223900 1828N 05144W 6955 03210 0060 +121 +062 099038 039 /// /// 03
223930 1829N 05146W 6956 03208 0060 +120 +063 100039 040 /// /// 03
224000 1829N 05149W 6955 03210 0061 +120 +061 098038 039 /// /// 03

[CrazyC83]

194
URNT15 KWBC 142300
NOAA3 0105A ERIN HDOB 15 20250814
225030 1830N 05241W 6955 03215 0078 +111 +064 068035 035 /// /// 03
225100 1830N 05244W 6955 03215 0081 +109 +064 069035 035 /// /// 03
225130 1830N 05246W 6955 03217 0084 +108 +067 067035 035 /// /// 03
225200 1829N 05249W 6956 03215 0084 +107 +068 068037 037 /// /// 03
225230 1829N 05251W 6955 03216 0085 +107 +068 068036 037 /// /// 03
225300 1829N 05254W 6955 03217 0087 +105 +076 067036 036 /// /// 03
225330 1829N 05256W 6955 03217 0088 +103 +077 068036 037 /// /// 03
225400 1828N 05259W 6956 03214 0088 +102 +080 068038 038 /// /// 03
225430 1828N 05301W 6955 03216 0091 +100 +084 069038 039 /// /// 03
225500 1828N 05304W 6957 03212 0091 +100 +079 067038 040 /// /// 03
225530 1828N 05306W 6955 03216 0086 +106 +075 065036 037 /// /// 03
225600 1827N 05309W 6955 03216 0086 +106 +076 063038 038 /// /// 03
225630 1826N 05311W 6957 03215 0089 +103 +075 058036 039 /// /// 03
225700 1824N 05312W 6956 03217 0088 +105 +072 059034 035 /// /// 03
225730 1822N 05311W 6958 03215 0089 +104 +071 058032 034 /// /// 03
225800 1822N 05309W 6955 03217 0089 +103 +078 064033 033 /// /// 03
225830 1823N 05307W 6955 03217 0088 +104 +080 068032 033 /// /// 03
225900 1825N 05308W 6956 03215 0087 +105 +075 069034 035 /// /// 03
225930 1827N 05309W 6953 03221 0087 +106 +073 065035 036 /// /// 03
230000 1829N 05308W 6956 03215 0086 +106 +074 061033 035 /// /// 03