2025 NATL hurricane season is here

[cycloneye]

We keep waiting for Andrea to form but mother nature will dictate when will occur and not computer models.

[Dean_175]

We keep waiting for Andrea to form but mother nature will dictate when will occur and not computer models.

https://i.imgur.com/Ijm1aYG.png

Maybe Andrea is tired of being a sloppy (sub) tropical system every time and wants to level up.

[cycloneye]

Quiet start since 2014.

 https://x.com/TylerJStanfield/status/1936636888640549057

[AnnularCane]

We keep waiting for Andrea to form but mother nature will dictate when will occur and not computer models.

https://i.imgur.com/Ijm1aYG.png

Maybe Andrea is tired of being a sloppy (sub) tropical system every time and wants to level up.

Oh my....poor Andrea. Maybe in 2031!

[cycloneye]

All is tranquil in the basin as we are on the last days of June.

[cycloneye]

After TS Chantal and now it's remnants are causing flooding in NC and Virginia, all is quiet on the rest of the basin and there are no development expected thru the next 7 days. Mike points out an area near the Bahamas.

 https://x.com/tropicalupdate/status/1942197488179450193

[WeatherBoy2000]

After TS Chantal and now it's remnants are causing flooding in NC and Virginia, all is quiet on the rest of the basin and there are no development expected thru the next 7 days. Mike points out an area near the Bahamas.

 https://x.com/tropicalupdate/status/1942197488179450193

There is a very minor euro signal:

 https://x.com/PC_WeatherBoy/status/1942190792879059173

[cycloneye]

Nothing on the pipe for the next 7 days.

[cycloneye]

Basin will be tranquil for the next 7 days.

[cycloneye]

Posting here the loop of the strongest tropical wave that has emerged from Africa so far in 2025, but it's future is not so bright because of the sal and dry air in the MDR. Neverless is neat to look at it.

[cycloneye]

This other wave around 40W has a small spin to it but will have the same result of the other one behind with the sal and dry air.

[chaser1]

Posting here the loop of the strongest tropical wave that has emerged from Africa so far in 2025, but it's future is not so bright because of the sal and dry air in the MDR. Neverless is neat to look at it.

https://i.imgur.com/HzWvWSh.gif

https://i.imgur.com/8RjQI6b.gif

https://i.imgur.com/dAvZvff.jpeg

https://i.imgur.com/8HJddMR.png

Side note: there seems to be a somewhat curiously northward component to the motion of the highest convection with this wave. Obviously less impactful than the massive dearth of dry air out there, but I'm just curiously eyeballing that motion as possible suggestive of a bit of weak mid level troughing off the W African coastline. It may be simply transitory but it could also be foretelling of future strong TW motion of potential Cape Verde systems that have a fairly established MLC, once the dust clears and as we approach "prime time".

[cycloneye]

NHC keeping an eye on it.

 https://x.com/NHC_TAFB/status/1943723026672910670

[cycloneye]

Despite how hostil it is, this guy is doing this.

[ChrisH-UK]

Despite how hostil it is, this guy is doing this.

Not looking as good now but has a decent curling up on it and might start pulling in moisture from the south.

[cycloneye]

All is quiet.

[cycloneye]

94L is now gone and the basin is without areas of interest, although there are tropical waves that will keep marching westbound. The question is when will the next invest be up.

[cycloneye]

Here is Michael Lowry's 7/22/25 discussion about how are things in the basin and what to expect in the next few weeks as August arrives.

https://michaelrlowry.substack.com/p/ch ... e-atlantic

[tropicwatch]

94L is now gone and the basin is without areas of interest, although there are tropical waves that will keep marching westbound. The question is when will the next invest be up.

The low entering the gulf the next couple of days might take a shot at it. You know how lows can be in the gulf with or without model support

[cycloneye]

Basin continues quiet apart from some rumblings of models.