Texas Winter 2024-2025

[Quixotic]

Still have light flurries along 380. Rather odd as it was sunny earlier.

Clouds have rolled in. Single digit readings in danger!!!

Got down to ten this morning. Was hoping for a 7 or 8 degree by sunrise.

[Ntxw]

Looking at nighttime satellite this narrow but direct cloud deck and snow is coming off Lake Texoma.

[Lastcall88]

This is the coldest air mass of the season. Bismarck, ND peaked at -26F below average in January and is now at least -41F below normal in this event. One can make the argument normal are higher now, but raw temps it beats that also. It's the coldest for most north of the I-20 corridor in the US. It was along the gulf coast during the snow that it was lower down that way but not due to raw cold itself.

I keep telling people. The warmth is lasting longer into the year but it seems now the cold is stronger later as well. Nice to see numbers back it up
Coldest airmass of All-Time for these specific dates, compounded by overcoming a lot more urban induced heat (higher population density)and no snow cover…this one is pretty phenomenal!

Also of note: after tomorrow, you’ll likely have 9 of 28 Feb low max record highs set just in the past 10 years. 3 in 2015, 4 in 2021 and 2 in 2025. Pretty significant climate trend for late winter seasons

[Lastcall88]

Feel like I’m in the rocky movie fighting the Russian. Come on warmth fight back! Don’t just stand there and get beat up

[Ralph's Weather]

This is the coldest air mass of the season. Bismarck, ND peaked at -26F below average in January and is now at least -41F below normal in this event. One can make the argument normal are higher now, but raw temps it beats that also. It's the coldest for most north of the I-20 corridor in the US. It was along the gulf coast during the snow that it was lower down that way but not due to raw cold itself.

Coldest airmass of All-Time for these specific dates, compounded by overcoming a lot more urban induced heat (higher population density)and no snow cover…this one is pretty phenomenal!

Also of note: after tomorrow, you’ll likely have 9 of 28 Feb low max record highs set just in the past 10 years. 3 in 2015, 4 in 2021 and 2 in 2025. Pretty significant climate trend for late winter seasons

Mid 2010s we had a lot of early season cold that has been absent lately. Lately it has been more late season. Those early season events were driven by active western Pacific typhoon seasons leading to --EPOs lately its been more driven by --AO.

[jasons2k]

It was a chilly 24.6 here. Here is an update from Jeff Lindner.

Cold weather advisories will remain in place for this morning and again tonight.

Sub-freezing at all areas this morning except Galveston (33).

Cold arctic high pressure is now fully entrenched over the area with widespread freezing conditions in place. At 700am temperatures range from the low 20’s in the Huntsville to College Station to Columbus areas to mid to upper 20’s across the rest of the region. When combined with north winds of 10-20mph wind chills are in the 1’s and 10’s over the area. HRRR guidance handled the freeze line well yesterday and the overnight lows this morning and will be following it closely for temperature trends today. Main question is can we break up the low level stratus deck and allow a bit of heating…this did not happen yesterday…but the cloud deck has eroded from the north overnight…interestingly one can see a cloud enhancement streak that extends from Lake Livingston to eastern Harris County as a result of the very cold air passing over the “warmer” lake waters. If clouds are able to clear some today those areas will reach toward the lower 40’s otherwise areas that remain cloudy will stay in the mid 30’s. HRRR only slowly brings the area above freezing later this morning, but it may be hanging on to clouds a bit too long.

Another widespread freeze is expected tonight with lows generally 2-3 degrees warmer than this morning…cold air advection will begin to shut off as the arctic surface high shifts eastward and may get a bit of warm air advection toward morning. Pesky low levels will likely begin to redevelop and expand as Gulf moisture begins to increase into the area and this will cap highs in the 30’s for all areas on Friday.

Coastal system forms off the lower Texas coast Friday and will move across the coastal Gulf waters on Saturday with increasing chances for light rain, drizzle, and fog. Saturday will continue the streak of miserably cold days with temperatures holding in the 40’s with widespread clouds and increasing rain chances. May need to keep an eye out west early Saturday morning (Columbus to College Station region) for a small amount of freezing drizzle/rain if we actually get any precipitation going early enough with low temperatures around 31-32…think this is a very low probability, but with super-cooled surfaces only a very small amount of precipitation could cause a few icy patches. Not expecting any freezing precipitation in the metro area with temperatures warming above freezing prior to the onset of light rain and drizzle. Clouds and showers begin to shift eastward on Sunday, but Sunday will be another cold day with highs in the 50’s.

Much warmer conditions for next week with clearing skies and southerly winds which will increase temperatures into the 70’s and maybe 80’s by mid week. Dewpoints will surge into the 50’s/60’s which will be warmer than the recently chilled nearshore and bays waters…so get ready for sea fog and potentially a prolonged period of it.

Forecasted Lows Friday AM:


Jeff Lindner
Director Hydrologic Operations Division/Meteorologist
Harris County Flood Control District
9900 Northwest Freeway | Houston, Texas 77092
346-286-4000 (main) | 346-286-4165 (direct) | 281-924-2091 (cell)
Jeff.Lindner@hcfcd.hctx.net | Twitter: @jefflindner1

[Ntxw]

12F will likely be the low at DFW for this event this morning.

[cstrunk]

Low of 14.5F at my house.

[wxman22]

6 Degrees here.

[Iceresistance]

I fell to 2°F this morning


https://s3.gifyu.com/images/bSlJQ.png

[orangeblood]

12F will likely be the low at DFW for this event this morning.

Coldest morning this late in the season since 1943, and 3rd coldest All-Time (March 3 1943 10F, March 11 1948 11F)

Austin Mabry set their coldest late season low max high yesterday of 28F All-Time as well, and just tied their coldest low min of 18F set in 1948

Considering the Urbanization since the 1940's, this is arguably the greatest late season Texas Arctic Outbreak since records have been kept!!!

[Ntxw]

12F will likely be the low at DFW for this event this morning.

Coldest morning this late in the season since 1943, and 3rd coldest All-Time (March 3 1943 10F, March 11 1948 11F)

Austin Mabry set their coldest late season low max high yesterday of 28F All-Time as well, and just tied their coldest low min of 18F set in 1948

Considering the Urbanization since the 1940's, this is arguably the greatest late season Texas Arctic Outbreak since records have been kept!!!

In terms of magnitude it's probably top 3 coldest for the last stretch of winter to end winter. Those 1940s dates in March are pretty wild 25/11 for a day. We love to equate snow/ice to cold but that's not always the case, cold is a separate matter. The snowy stretches are much warmer 40s/20s type days. If you were looking for a cold end to winter, this blast is about as much as you will get against climo.

[orangeblood]

12F will likely be the low at DFW for this event this morning.

Coldest morning this late in the season since 1943, and 3rd coldest All-Time (March 3 1943 10F, March 11 1948 11F)

Austin Mabry set their coldest late season low max high yesterday of 28F All-Time as well, and just tied their coldest low min of 18F set in 1948

Considering the Urbanization since the 1940's, this is arguably the greatest late season Texas Arctic Outbreak since records have been kept!!!

In terms of magnitude it's probably top 3 coldest for the last stretch of winter to end winter. Those 1940s dates in March are pretty wild 25/11 for a day. We love to equate snow/ice to cold but that's not always the case, cold is a separate matter. The snowy stretches are much warmer 40s/20s type days. If you were looking for a cold end to winter, this blast is about as much as you will get against climo.

Yep, no doubt. Once you begin a deep dive into the record books, your perspective changes drastically....You start to a have a greater understanding/appreciation of what makes a weather event "rare" and also, recalibration for expectations from your local climo

[Yukon Cornelius]

5 with a negative windchill again this morning. Not looking forward to the 70s next week.

[jasons2k]

One thing that’s pretty remarkable about this event is the gradient, when you consider that Galveston never even got to freezing

[HockeyTx82]

It's colder in Dallas then Calgary Canada right now......

[Ntxw]

Forecast today is to stay below freezing north of I-20 with ample sunshine. That would be very impressive CAA still ongoing to achieve.

[txtwister78]

Once again, another wild card in the forecast to watch today further south regarding temps is cloud cover. Models once again don't have a good handle on this as cloud cover is beginning to expand already SW to NE (much earlier than forecast) across SC TX. This could keep temps below freezing today across much of the region should this hold. It may also have some implications for a higher impact risk of freezing drizzle/light rain for overnight into Friday.

[orangeblood]

Forecast today is to stay below freezing north of I-20 with ample sunshine. That would be very impressive CAA still ongoing to achieve.

Feb 20th thru March - DFW's Coldest days in 125 plus years of record keeping: 1) March 11, 1948 25F/11F 2) Feb 24, 1960 28F/16F 3) March 1, 1922 29F/18F

Thinking today breaks into the #2 spot!

[Ntxw]

Forecast today is to stay below freezing north of I-20 with ample sunshine. That would be very impressive CAA still ongoing to achieve.

Feb 20th thru March - DFW's Coldest days in 125 plus years of record keeping: 1) March 11, 1948 25F/11F 2) Feb 24, 1960 28F/16F 3) March 1, 1922 29F/18F

Thinking today breaks into the #2 spot!

Yesterday 28/13F.